Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz will clash against each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.666
Cameron Norrie -> 2.32
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This will be the 2nd time that Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 6-4 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie – U.S. Open 30-August-2021
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-15 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Cameron reached the quarter after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 6-3 6-3, Nikoloz Basilashvili 3-6 6-3 6-1 and Jenson Brooksby 6-2 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-2 6-4). During the match, Norrie scored 72 points vs Brooksby’s 55. Cameron was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Norrie recorded 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 73% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Brooksby 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Norrie has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (276-160). 11-5 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Norrie has an overall 185-80 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Delray Beach where he overcame Reilly Opelka in the final 7-6(1) 7-6(4).
Norrie has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2022, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the quarter after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-3, Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 6-0 and Gael Monfils 7-5 6-1.
In the 4th round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Monfils (7-5 6-1). During the match Alcaraz scored 68 points vs Monfils’s 42. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Alcaraz struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Carlos Alcaraz was extremely efficient on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Monfils 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2.
Alcaraz has a composed 11-1 win-loss record in 2022, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 51 |
| Pts | 227-177 | 192-125 |
| Total Points | 404 | 317 |
| Winners | 92 | 70 |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% |
Both Norrie and Alcaraz played 3 matches. At the moment, Cameron Norrie lost 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t lost a set so far. Norrie has played 1 set more than Alcaraz (7 vs 6). Therefore, Norrie played 10 games more than Alcaraz. The Brit scored 92 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos recorded 70 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 125/185 | 90/143 |
| %1st in | 68% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 92/125 | 70/90 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 30/60 | 32/53 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 60% |
Norrie recorded 8 aces (2.7 per match). Alcaraz managed to score 8 aces (2.7 per match). Norrie won 74% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 14 |
| Converted | 15/28 | 14/25 |
| % Converted | 54% | 56% |
| Conceded | 16 | 7 |
| Saved | 10 | 5 |
| % Saved | 63% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Norrie broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||||
| R2 Martinez Portero |
R3 Basilashvili |
R4 Brooksby |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 | 18 | 61 | |
| pts | 66-50 | 89-72 | 72-55 | 227-177 | |
| Total points | 116 | 161 | 127 | 404 | |
| Winners | 26 | 36 | 30 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/55 | 46/70 | 44/60 | 125/185 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 66% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 36/46 | 30/44 | 92/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 78% | 68% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 9/24 | 9/16 | 30/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 38% | 56% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/11 | 5/9 | 15/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 56% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/5 | 5/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 40% | 71% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R2 Mcdonald |
R3 Bautista-Agut |
R4 Monfils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 14 | 19 | 51 | |
| pts | 67-53 | 57-30 | 68-42 | 192-125 | |
| Total points | 120 | 87 | 110 | 317 | |
| Winners | 21 | 23 | 26 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 40% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/57 | 27/43 | 30/43 | 90/143 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 63% | 70% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 21/33 | 23/27 | 26/30 | 70/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 85% | 87% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 8/16 | 10/13 | 32/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 50% | 77% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 14/25 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | 57% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | – | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLLLW
WLWLLWLWWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tommy PaulPaul (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Steve JohnsonJohnson (7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 2-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexander BublikBublik (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-74 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-65 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Daniel EvansEvans (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-0) – H2H and prediction
