Paula Badosa Gibert and Veronika Kudermetova will play each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.666
Veronika Kudermetova -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa Gibert vs. Veronika Kudermetova

This will be the 4th time that Paula Badosa Gibert and Veronika Kudermetova play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Kudermetova (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Kudermetova won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in Charleston back in 2021.

Highlights Veronika Kudermetova vs Paula Badosa Gibert – Charleston 10-April-2021

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Paula Badosa Gibert

Paula Badosa Gibert

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
25
High
2
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-13 13-8 3-2 0-1 2-2 0-0
2024 37-19 26-11 6-5 0-1 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Badosa reached the quarter after beating Tereza Martincova 6-2 7-64, Sara Sorribes Tormo 7-64 6-1 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-4.

In the 4th round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Annie Fernandez (6-4 6-4). During the match, Badosa scored 80 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 67. Badosa was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Badosa made 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 63% of her first serves in, winning 79% (37/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Annie Fernandez 3 times after converting 25% of her break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paula hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Badosa has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (292-154). 12-4 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has an aggregate 110-56 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Sydney where she beat Barbora Krejcikova in the final 6-3 4-6 7-6(4).

The Spaniard has a composed 12-4 win-loss record in 2022, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Badosa's Record

Veronika Kudermetova

Veronika Kudermetova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
30
High
9
LWLLWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-25 22-16 9-5 0-0 4-4 0-0
2024 18-25 10-16 3-5 0-0 5-4 0-0
2023 34-22 18-14 8-5 1-1 7-2 0-0
2022 39-20 27-13 7-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 33-24 15-13 14-4 3-4 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 24 (career-high), Veronika got to the quarter after beating Naomi Osaka 6-0 6-4, Marie Bouzkova 6-4 0-2 ret. and Marketa Vondrousova 7-65 6-75 7-5.

In the 4th round, Veronika defeated Vondrousova (7-65 6-75 7-5). During the match Kudermetova scored 127 points vs Vondrousova’s 117. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about serving, Kudermetova struck 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Veronika Kudermetova was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (59/78) of her 1st serve and 53% (25/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Kudermetova broke Vondrousova twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Veronika has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Melbourne and Dubai.

The Russian has an overall 11-5 win-loss record in 2022, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.

Indian Wells
Kudermetova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

P.Badosa
V.Kudermetova
5h:17
5h:17
Time on court​
5h:20
5h:20
1h:42
1h:42
Last match​
!
2h:52
2h:52
3
3
Match played
3
3
61
61
Games Played​
66
66
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
234
234
Total points​
228
228
78
78
Avg point​
76
76
90
90
Winners
98
98
30
30
Avg Winners​
32.7
32.7
38%
38%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
15
15
3.3
3.3
Avg Aces
5
5
16
16
Double Faults
3
3
!
5.3
5.3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
90/125
90/125
1st won total​
98/133
98/133
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
41/80
41/80
2nd won total​
43/84
43/84
51%
51%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
12/31
12/31
BP won
8/16
8/16
4/10.3
4/10.3
Avg BP won
2.7/5.3
2.7/5.3
39%
39%
Won
50%
50%
17
17
Conceded
15
15
5.7
5.7
Avg Conceded
5
5
5
5
Broken
3
3
1.7
1.7
Avg Broken
1
1
12
12
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Badosa Kudermetova
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 61 66
Pts 234-187 228-201
Total Points 421 429
Winners 90 98
%Winners 38% 43%

Both Badosa and Kudermetova played 3 matches. At the moment, Veronika Kudermetova surrendered 2 sets while Paula Badosa Gibert hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Badosa has played 2 set(s) less than Kudermetova (6 vs 8). Therefore, Badosa played 5 games less than Kudermetova. The Spaniard scored 90 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Veronika blasted 98 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Badosa Kudermetova
Aces 10 15
Avg per match 3.3 5
1st in 125/205 133/217
%1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 90/125 98/133
%1st pts 72% 74%
2nd pts 41/80 43/84
%2nd pts 51% 51%

Badosa bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Kudermetova managed to score 15 aces (5 per match). Badosa won 72% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kudermetova won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Badosa Kudermetova
Won 12 8
Converted 12/31 8/16
% Converted 39% 50%
Conceded 17 15
Saved 12 12
% Saved 71% 80%
Times Broken 5 3

The Spaniard broke her opponents 12 times with a 39% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Kudermetova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.

Badosa
R2
Martincova
R3
Sorribes Tormo
R4
Annie Fernandez
Total
Score 6-2 7-64 7-64 6-1 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 21 20 20 61
pts 76-59 78-61 80-67 234-187
Total points 135 139 147 421
Winners 32 21 37 90
%Winners 42% 27% 46% 38%
SERVE
Aces 5 1 4 10
Double Faults 6 3 7 16
1st in 41/65 37/65 47/75 125/205
% 1st in 63% 57% 63% 61%
1st pts 32/41 21/37 37/47 90/125
% 1st pts 78% 57% 79% 72%
2nd pts 13/24 15/28 13/28 41/80
% 2nd pts 54% 54% 46% 51%
Breaks
Won 3 6 3 12
Converted 3/8 6/11 3/12 12/31
Converted % 38% 55% 25% 39%
Conceded 2 9 6 17
Saved 1/2 6/9 5/6 12
Saved % 50% 67% 83% 67%
Times Broken 1 3 1 5
Kudermetova
R2
Osaka
R3
Bouzkova
R4
Vondrousova
Total
Score 6-0 6-4 6-4 0-2 ret. 7-65 6-75 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 16 12 38 66
pts 63-40 38-44 127-117 228-201
Total points 103 82 244 429
Winners 23 16 59 98
%Winners 37% 42% 46% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 3 8 15
Double Faults 1 1 1 3
1st in 30/53 25/39 78/125 133/217
% 1st in 57% 64% 62% 61%
1st pts 23/30 16/25 59/78 98/133
% 1st pts 77% 64% 76% 74%
2nd pts 14/23 4/14 25/47 43/84
% 2nd pts 61% 29% 53% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 2 2 8
Converted 4/8 2/4 2/4 8/16
Converted % 50% 50% 50% 50%
Conceded 4 5 6 15
Saved 4/4 3/5 5/6 12
Saved % 100% 60% 83% 81%
Times Broken 0 2 1 3

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw