[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Daniil Medvedev’s draw vs Monfils, Bautista Agut, Tsitsipas, Nadal, Berrettini to win Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Daniil Medvedev may need to oust Gael Monfils, Roberto Bautista Agut, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Rafael Nadal, Matteo Berrettini to conquer the tournament in the BNP Paribas Open.

Daniil Medvedev Stats info

Daniil Medvedev is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Daniil has defeated Tomas Machac 6-3 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Gael Monfils.

Draw Prediction with head to head records

This is Daniil Medvedev’s projected draw with the plausible opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Medvedev has a a positive record (12-11) with the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Tomas Machac (158) – 6-3 6-2
R3 – Gael Monfils (28) – H2H 1-1
R4 – Roberto Bautista Agut (15) – H2H 0-3
or Carlos Alcaraz (19) – H2H 1-0
1/4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas (5) – H2H 7-2
or Cameron Norrie (12) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Rafael Nadal (4) – H2H 1-5
or Casper Ruud (8) – H2H 3-0
Fin – Matteo Berrettini (6) – H2H 3-0
or Andrey Rublev (7) – H2H 5-1
Medvedev
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Gael Monfils’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

14 - 7win/loss in 2025

Rank
52
High
6
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 14-7 13-5 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 18-17 8-7 2-4 7-3 1-3 0-0
2020 16-7 7-3 0-3 9-1 0-0 0-0
2019 37-19 17-7 6-4 13-5 1-3 0-0
2018 34-20 8-6 10-10 11-2 5-2 0-0
2017 20-14 11-6 3-4 1-1 5-3 0-0
2016 44-17 33-8 7-3 4-5 0-1 0-0
2015 34-18 4-5 12-5 12-5 6-3 0-0

Gael Monfils has a 9-3 record in 2022, 9-2 on hard. In connection to the last 19 years, Monfils has a 223-118 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Gael won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where he overcame Karen Khachanov in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the French player surrendered to Alexander Zverev in the 4th round 6-1 6-3.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Gael Monfils

This match would represent the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Gael Monfils square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Medvedev and Monfils (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Roberto Bautista Agut’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Roberto Bautista Agut

39 - 20win/loss in 2025

Rank
21
High
9
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-20 17-9 7-3 9-6 6-2 0-0
2021 29-25 14-10 7-7 4-5 4-3 0-0
2020 20-8 13-4 4-2 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 42-22 22-10 8-7 5-3 7-2 0-0
2018 33-20 13-7 11-7 6-5 3-1 0-0
2017 48-21 23-8 11-7 9-4 5-2 0-0
2016 48-23 28-11 8-5 9-5 3-2 0-0
2015 42-29 12-11 13-9 14-6 3-3 0-0

Roberto Bautista Agut has a 15-4 record in 2022, 12-3 on hard. Regarding the previous 17 years, Bautista-Agut has a 260-128 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of the current season was winning the competition in Doha where he overcame Nikoloz Basilashvili in the final 6-3 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Roberto surrendered to Cameron Norrie in the 3rd round 6-4 5-7 6-3.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Roberto Bautista Agut

This would be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Roberto Bautista Agut face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Bautista-Agut (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Daniil Medvedev could face Carlos Alcaraz. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev.

1/4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-2 for Daniil Medvedev

61 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0
2020 29-14 11-6 11-3 7-5 0-0 0-0
2019 54-25 22-12 15-5 15-5 2-3 0-0
2018 56-30 19-13 15-6 16-8 6-3 0-0
2017 57-31 14-8 25-12 14-8 4-3 0-0
2016 49-18 16-7 30-6 1-3 0-0 2-2
2015 32-18 23-14 9-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 15-5 record in 2022, 10-3 on hard. Talking about the last 8 years, Tsitsipas has a 141-71 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Stefanos won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Stefanos’s most significant result of the current year was getting to the final Rotterdam.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Tsitsipas capitulated to Nikoloz Basilashvili in the quarter 6-4 2-6 6-4.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

This match would represent the 10th time that Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas clash against each other. The head to head is 7-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Daniil Medvedev could face Cameron Norrie. Their H2H is 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev.

1/2 – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-1 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 16-0 record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 20 years, Nadal has a 434-106 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Nadal will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best achievement of the season was conquering the tournament in Melbourne where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3, at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5, and in Acapulco where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Spaniard didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Rafael Nadal

This match would represent the 7th time that Daniil Medvedev and Rafael Nadal square off. The head to head is 5-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Daniil Medvedev may square off with Casper Ruud. Their H2H is 3-0 for Daniil Medvedev.

Final – Matteo Berrettini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Daniil Medvedev

32 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
16
High
6
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0
2020 9-6 5-3 4-2 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 48-25 15-10 12-4 9-9 12-2 0-0
2018 44-28 17-12 14-8 9-4 4-4 0-0
2017 45-19 23-8 12-8 3-2 0-0 7-1
2016 17-10 0-0 12-4 0-4 0-0 5-2
2015 44-20 32-12 10-6 0-1 0-0 2-1

Matteo Berrettini has a 8-5 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on hard. In the last 9 years, the Italian has a 113-54 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 7 of his last 10 matches.

The Italian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Matteo lost to Taylor Harry Fritz in the 3rd round 6-4 6-3.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Matteo Berrettini

This would be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Daniil Medvedev may compete against Andrey Rublev. Their H2H is 5-1 for Daniil Medvedev.