Liudmila Samsonova and Danka Kovinic will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.34
Danka Kovinic -> 3.38

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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Danka Kovinic

There is no head to head record between Liudmila Samsonova and Danka Kovinic since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
17
High
12
LWLWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-23 15-15 8-5 0-0 7-3 0-0
2024 26-23 12-15 6-5 0-0 8-3 0-0
2023 34-24 25-15 4-4 1-1 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0

Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Ludmilla got to the 3rd round after defeating Ann Li 4-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Li, Samsonova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Samsonova scored 98 points vs Li’s 95. Samsonova was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Samsonova fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 53% of her first serves in, winning 63% (34/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (26/47) on the 2nd serve. Samsonova broke Li 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Samsonova has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 64% of her matches (209-116). 5-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Samsonova has a composed52-34 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Ludmilla has an overall 5-5 win-loss record in 2022, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Samsonova's Record

Danka Kovinic

Danka Kovinic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
603
High
46
LLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 3-4 1-2 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 3-4 2-3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 16-16 4-8 10-7 2-1 0-0 0-0
2022 29-21 6-8 23-11 0-1 0-1 0-0
2021 14-20 4-12 10-6 0-1 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 71, Danka reached the 3rd round after beating Jil Teichmann 7-5 7-5 and Karolina Pliskova 2-6 7-5 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Pliskova, Danka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Kovinic scored 104 points vs Pliskova’s 102. Kovinic was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Kovinic fired 3 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Danka Kovinic lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kovinic put 56% of her first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (14/42) on the 2nd serve. Danka broke Pliskova 6 times after converting 38% of her break points (6/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kovinic has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Kovinic has an overall 6-4 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See her history.

Indian Wells
Kovinic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Samsonova
D.Kovinic
2h:21
2h:21
Time on court​
!
4h:34
4h:34
!
2h:21
2h:21
Last match​
!
2h:31
2h:31
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
29
29
Games Played​
54
54
3
3
Set played​​
5
5
98
98
Total points​
193
193
98
98
Avg point​
96.5
96.5
34
34
Winners
66
66
34
34
Avg Winners​
33
33
35%
35%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
5
5
5
5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
3
3
Double Faults
12
12
3
3
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
34/54
34/54
1st won total​
66/95
66/95
63%
63%
1st won %
69%
69%
26/47
26/47
2nd won total​
37/88
37/88
55%
55%
2nd won %
42%
42%
-- Break Points --
5/11
5/11
BP won
12/27
12/27
5/11
5/11
Avg BP won
6/13.5
6/13.5
45%
45%
Won
44%
44%
16
16
Conceded
18
18
16
16
Avg Conceded
9
9
3
3
Broken
10
10
3
3
Avg Broken
!
5
5
13
13
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Samsonova Kovinic
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 5
Tot Games 29 54
Pts 98-95 193-177
Total Points 193 370
Winners 34 66
%Winners 35% 34%

Samsonova played 1 match while Kovinic competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Liudmila Samsonova conceded 1 set, while Danka Kovinic surrendered 1 set. Samsonova has played 2 set(s) less than Kovinic (3 vs 5). Therefore, Samsonova played 25 games less than Kovinic. The Russian scored 34 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Kovinic blasted 66 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Samsonova Kovinic
Aces 5 5
Avg per match 5 2.5
1st in 54/101 95/183
%1st in 53% 52%
1st pts 34/54 66/95
%1st pts 63% 69%
2nd pts 26/47 37/88
%2nd pts 55% 42%

Samsonova scored 5 aces . Kovinic fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Samsonova won 63% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kovinic won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Samsonova Kovinic
Won 5 12
Converted 5/11 12/27
% Converted 45% 44%
Conceded 16 18
Saved 13 8
% Saved 81% 44%
Times Broken 3 10

The Russian broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Ludmilla conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 81% of the break points that she conceded. Kovinic broke her opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. The conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded.

Samsonova
R2
Li
Total
Score 4-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 98-95 98-95
Total points 193 193
Winners 34 34
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 54/101 54/101
% 1st in 53% 53%
1st pts 34/54 34/54
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 26/47 26/47
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/11 5/11
Converted % 45% 45%
Conceded 16 16
Saved 13/16 13
Saved % 81% 81%
Times Broken 3 3
Kovinic
R1
Belen Teichmann
R2
Pliskova
Total
Score 7-5 7-5 2-6 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 24 30 54
pts 89-75 104-102 193-177
Total points 164 206 370
Winners 28 38 66
%Winners 31% 37% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 5
Double Faults 5 7 12
1st in 41/87 54/96 95/183
% 1st in 47% 56% 52%
1st pts 28/41 38/54 66/95
% 1st pts 68% 70% 69%
2nd pts 23/46 14/42 37/88
% 2nd pts 50% 33% 42%
Breaks
Won 6 6 12
Converted 6/11 6/16 12/27
Converted % 55% 38% 44%
Conceded 8 10 18
Saved 4/8 4/10 8
Saved % 50% 40% 90%
Times Broken 4 6 10

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw