Liudmila Samsonova and Danka Kovinic will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 2 sets.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.34
Danka Kovinic -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Danka Kovinic
There is no head to head record between Liudmila Samsonova and Danka Kovinic since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-23 | 15-15 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Ludmilla got to the 3rd round after defeating Ann Li 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Li, Samsonova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Samsonova scored 98 points vs Li’s 95. Samsonova was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Samsonova fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 53% of her first serves in, winning 63% (34/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (26/47) on the 2nd serve. Samsonova broke Li 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Samsonova has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 64% of her matches (209-116). 5-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Samsonova has a composed52-34 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Ludmilla has an overall 5-5 win-loss record in 2022, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Danka Kovinic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-16 | 4-8 | 10-7 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-21 | 6-8 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-20 | 4-12 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 71, Danka reached the 3rd round after beating Jil Teichmann 7-5 7-5 and Karolina Pliskova 2-6 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Pliskova, Danka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Kovinic scored 104 points vs Pliskova’s 102. Kovinic was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Kovinic fired 3 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Danka Kovinic lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kovinic put 56% of her first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (14/42) on the 2nd serve. Danka broke Pliskova 6 times after converting 38% of her break points (6/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kovinic has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Kovinic has an overall 6-4 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samsonova | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 54 |
| Pts | 98-95 | 193-177 |
| Total Points | 193 | 370 |
| Winners | 34 | 66 |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% |
Samsonova played 1 match while Kovinic competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Liudmila Samsonova conceded 1 set, while Danka Kovinic surrendered 1 set. Samsonova has played 2 set(s) less than Kovinic (3 vs 5). Therefore, Samsonova played 25 games less than Kovinic. The Russian scored 34 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Kovinic blasted 66 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samsonova | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 54/101 | 95/183 |
| %1st in | 53% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 34/54 | 66/95 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 26/47 | 37/88 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 42% |
Samsonova scored 5 aces . Kovinic fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Samsonova won 63% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kovinic won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samsonova | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 12 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 12/27 |
| % Converted | 45% | 44% |
| Conceded | 16 | 18 |
| Saved | 13 | 8 |
| % Saved | 81% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 10 |
The Russian broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Ludmilla conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 81% of the break points that she conceded. Kovinic broke her opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. The conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded.
| Samsonova | |||
| R2 Li | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 98-95 | 98-95 | |
| Total points | 193 | 193 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 54/101 | 54/101 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 34/54 | 34/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/47 | 26/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 | |
| Saved | 13/16 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 81% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Kovinic | ||||
| R1 Belen Teichmann | R2 Pliskova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 2-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 30 | 54 | |
| pts | 89-75 | 104-102 | 193-177 | |
| Total points | 164 | 206 | 370 | |
| Winners | 28 | 38 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 41/87 | 54/96 | 95/183 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 56% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 38/54 | 66/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 70% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/46 | 14/42 | 37/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/16 | 12/27 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 38% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 40% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-5 7-67) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Kristina KucovaKucova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-5 6-70 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-74 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Astra SharmaSharma (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Kaja JuvanJuvan (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (5-7 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (0-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-1 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Alize CornetCornet (6-4 0-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Simona HalepHalep – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-2 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Harriet DartDart – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Ann LiLi (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (7-5 7-66) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Belinda BencicBencic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Misaki DoiDoi (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Claire LiuLiu (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexandr DolgopolovDolgopolov – Horacio ZeballosZeballos (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Ernests GulbisGulbis (4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen – Pablo CuevasCuevas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- David FerrerFerrer – Dustin BrownBrown (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey KuznetsovKuznetsov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (4-6 7-65 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Kaja JuvanJuvan (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-5 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Kristina KucovaKucova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-7(4) 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-5 6-7(0) 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Astra SharmaSharma (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Cori GauffGauff (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Danka KovinicKovinic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Clara TausonTauson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Angelique KerberKerber (4-5) – H2H and prediction
- Harriet DartDart – Kaia KanepiKanepi (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Alison RiskeRiske (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Petra KvitovaKvitova (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction