Kaia Kanepi and Harriet Dart will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kaia Kanepi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kaia Kanepi is the pick to win this match.
Kaia Kanepi -> 1.285
Harriet Dart -> 3.8
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Prediction and head to head Kaia Kanepi vs. Harriet Dart
This will be the 2nd time that Kaia Kanepi and Harriet Dart fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kanepi (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kanepi won 6-4 6-4 in the final in the Cotentin back in 2020.
Kaia Kanepi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-22 | 6-10 | 11-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-19 | 15-11 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-14 | 16-8 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-5 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 63, Kanepi reached the 3rd round after defeating Robin Montgomery 6-3 6-3 and Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Estonian had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-4 6-3). During the match, Kanepi scored 67 points vs Bencic’s 51. The Estonian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kanepi struck 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Kaia Kanepi was very efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of her 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Kaia broke Bencic 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Estonian hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points she played.
Kanepi has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (211-110). 7-2 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kanepi has a composed 88-51 match record in the last years on hard.
The Estonian has a compiled 7-2 win-loss record in 2022, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Harriet Dart
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-23 | 15-12 | 0-5 | 9-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-27 | 12-12 | 3-7 | 5-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-32 | 27-19 | 1-3 | 6-5 | 8-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-29 | 17-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-23 | 17-12 | 8-4 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 122, Dart got to the 3rd round after beating Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-3 ret., Lesley Pattinama Kerkhove 6-1 7-5, Anastasia Gasanova 6-2 3-6 6-3, Ana Konjuh 6-1 3-1 ret. and Elina Svitolina 2-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Svitolina, Harriet recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-3). During the match Dart scored 100 points vs Svitolina’s 90. Harriet was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Dart scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Harriet Dart lost the serve 7 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Dart put 46% of her first serves in, winning 54% (21/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (21/45) on the 2nd serve. Dart broke Svitolina 8 times after converting 38% of her break points (8/21).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Brit has a composed 11-6 win-loss record in 2022, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Dart has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kanepi | Dart |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 82 |
| Pts | 131-96 | 300-239 |
| Total Points | 227 | 539 |
| Winners | 46 | 68 |
| %Winners | 35% | 23% |
Kanepi played 2 matches while Dart competed in 4 matches. Dart started her run from the qualifications while Kanepi had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Harriet Dart lost 2 sets while Kaia Kanepi hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kanepi has played 7 set(s) less than Dart (4 vs 11). Therefore, Kanepi played 45 games less than Dart. Kanepi scored 46 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit bagged 68 winners (23%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kanepi | Dart |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 62/122 | 118/254 |
| %1st in | 51% | 46% |
| 1st pts | 46/62 | 68/118 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 29/60 | 72/136 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 53% |
Kanepi fired 6 aces (3 per match). Dart bagged 11 aces (2.8 per match). Kanepi won 74% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Dart won 58% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kanepi | Dart |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 26 |
| Converted | 10/16 | 26/50 |
| % Converted | 63% | 52% |
| Conceded | 12 | 30 |
| Saved | 7 | 14 |
| % Saved | 58% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 16 |
Kaia broke her opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. Kanepi dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. The Brit broke her opponents 26 times with a 52% conversion rate. Dart conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kanepi | ||||
| R1 Montgomery |
R2 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 64-45 | 67-51 | 131-96 | |
| Total points | 109 | 118 | 227 | |
| Winners | 22 | 24 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 30/62 | 32/60 | 62/122 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 53% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 24/32 | 46/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/32 | 16/28 | 29/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 57% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/8 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 2/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 50% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Dart | ||||||||||
| Q1 Kerkhove |
Q3 Gasanova |
R1 Lajovic |
R1 Konjuh |
R1 Lajovic |
R2 Velkovska |
R2 Svitolina |
R2 Velkovska |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 6-3 ret. | 6-1 3-1 ret. | 6-3 ret. | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | 2-6 6-3 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 156 | |
| pts | 75-55 | 79-66 | – | 46-28 | – | – | 100-90 | – | 300-239 | |
| Total points | 130 | 145 | 0 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 0 | 539 | |
| Winners | 17 | 15 | 15 | 21 | 68 | |||||
| %Winners | 23% | 19% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 23% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | |||||
| 1st in | 28/54 | 30/70 | / | 21/46 | / | / | 39/84 | / | 118/254 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 43% | 0% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 46% | 0% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 17/28 | 15/30 | / | 15/21 | / | / | 21/39 | / | 68/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 50% | 0% | 71% | 0% | 0% | 54% | 0% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 22/40 | / | 16/25 | / | / | 21/45 | / | 72/136 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 55% | 0% | 64% | 0% | 0% | 47% | 0% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||||
| Won | 8 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 26 | |||||
| Converted | 8/15 | 7/9 | / | 3/5 | / | / | 8/21 | / | 26/50 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 78% | 0% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 0% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 30 | |||||
| Saved | 5/9 | 0/5 | 0/ | 2/2 | 0/ | 0/ | 7/14 | 0/ | 14 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 0% | – | 100% | – | – | 50% | – | 103% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16 | |||||
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Kristina KucovaKucova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-5 7-67) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-74 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-5 6-70 6-4) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Astra SharmaSharma (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Kaja JuvanJuvan (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-1 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Claire LiuLiu (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (5-7 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Ann LiLi (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (7-5 7-66) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Alize CornetCornet (6-4 0-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Misaki DoiDoi (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (0-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Belinda BencicBencic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Simona HalepHalep – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-2 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Harriet DartDart – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexandr DolgopolovDolgopolov – Horacio ZeballosZeballos (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Ernests GulbisGulbis (4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- David FerrerFerrer – Dustin BrownBrown (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey KuznetsovKuznetsov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (4-6 7-65 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen – Pablo CuevasCuevas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Kaja JuvanJuvan (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-5 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Kristina KucovaKucova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-7(4) 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-5 6-7(0) 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Astra SharmaSharma (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Cori GauffGauff (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Danka KovinicKovinic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Clara TausonTauson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Angelique KerberKerber (4-5) – H2H and prediction
- Harriet DartDart – Kaia KanepiKanepi (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Alison RiskeRiske (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Petra KvitovaKvitova (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
