Reilly Opelka and Lorenzo Musetti will face off in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Reilly Opelka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Reilly Opelka is the pick to win this match.
Reilly Opelka -> 1.36
Lorenzo Musetti -> 3.26

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Prediction and head to head Reilly Opelka vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This will be the 3rd time that Reilly Opelka and Lorenzo Musetti face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Opelka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Opelka won 7-6(1) 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.

Highlights Reilly Opelka vs Lorenzo Musetti – U.S. Open 02-September-2021

Reilly Opelka

Reilly Opelka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
50
High
17
LLWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-28 14-11 5-6 7-6 7-5 0-0
2024 8-10 2-8 0-0 3-1 3-1 0-0
2023 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0
2022 21-15 10-7 6-5 4-0 1-3 0-0
2021 21-23 14-11 6-4 1-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 17 (career-high), Reilly will start his run in Indian Wells after he played his last match in Delray Beach where he lost 7-6(1) 7-6(4) to Norrie in the final on the 20th of February.

Opelka has an aggregate 11-4 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was winning the title in in Dallas where he defeated Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(3).

Talking about his overall career, The American has an overall 198-150 record. He has a positive 97-78 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.

Indian Wells
Opelka's Record

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 56 (career-high), Musetti reached the 2nd round after beating Marcos Giron 6-3 7-5.

In the 1st round, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-3 7-5). During the match Musetti scored 72 points vs Giron’s 56. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was very effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Giron 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

Musetti has an aggregate 5-5 win-loss record in 2022, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.

Indian Wells
Musetti's Record

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

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