Matteo Martineau and Corentin Denolly will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Santiago Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on CANCHA 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Martineau who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Martineau is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Martineau -> 1.6
Corentin Denolly -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Martineau vs. Corentin Denolly

This will be the 4th time that Matteo Martineau and Corentin Denolly fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Denolly (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Denolly won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 1st round in the Brest Challenger back in 2018.

Matteo Martineau

Matteo Martineau

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
322
High
170
LWLLWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-35 2-9 7-12 18-13 0-1 0-0
2024 30-33 2-4 7-13 18-13 3-3 0-0
2023 50-36 0-1 23-17 18-15 0-0 9-3
2022 36-31 2-1 23-20 11-9 0-1 0-0
2021 41-26 4-4 27-15 7-6 0-0 3-1

Ranked no. 343, Matteo reached the qualifications after defeating Gabriel Tumasonis 2-6 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications against Tumasonis, Martineau recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Martineau scored 89 points vs Tumasonis’s 85. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Martineau recorded 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Martineau lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Martineau put 70% of his first serves in, winning 64% (32/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Tumasonis 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

Martineau has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (168-131). 2-1 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Martineau has a composed68-56 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

Matteo has an aggregate 4-6 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santiago Challenger

The French player has never competed in this tournament before.

Santiago Challenger
Martineau's Record

Corentin Denolly

Corentin Denolly

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
379
High
269
LLWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-29 3-6 25-21 1-1 0-1 0-0
2024 55-23 0-0 55-23 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 33-18 0-0 32-15 1-3 0-0 0-0
2022 39-20 0-0 39-20 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 27-24 2-4 23-16 2-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 456, Denolly reached the qualifications after beating Tomas Lipovsek Puches 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, Corentin had a good straight sets win against Lipovsek Puches (6-4 6-3). During the match Denolly scored 63 points vs Lipovsek Puches’s 48. Denolly was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Denolly fired 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Corentin Denolly lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Denolly put 71% of his first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Lipovsek Puches 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Denolly’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15+H Bagnoles de l’Orne and M15 Antalya.

Corentin has an aggregate 12-4 win-loss record in 2022, 12-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Santiago Challenger
Denolly's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Martineau
C.Denolly
!
1h:58
1h:58
Time on court​
1h:18
1h:18
1h:58
1h:58
Last match​
1h:18
1h:18
1
1
Match played
1
1
27
27
Games Played​
19
19
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
89
89
Total points​
63
63
89
89
Avg point​
63
63
32
32
Winners
25
25
32
32
Avg Winners​
25
25
36%
36%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
3
3
!
11
11
Avg Aces
3
3
3
3
Double Faults
0
0
3
3
Avg Double Faults
0
0
32/50
32/50
1st won total​
25/37
25/37
64%
64%
1st won %
68%
68%
11/21
11/21
2nd won total​
10/15
10/15
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
67%
67%
-- Break Points --
5/15
5/15
BP won
4/8
4/8
5/15
5/15
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
33%
33%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
3
3
6
6
Avg Conceded
3
3
4
4
Broken
2
2
4
4
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Martineau Denolly
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 27 19
Pts 89-85 63-48
Total Points 174 111
Winners 32 25
%Winners 36% 40%

Both Martineau and Denolly played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Matteo Martineau surrendered 1 set while Corentin Denolly hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Martineau has played 1 set more than Denolly (3 vs 2). Therefore, Martineau played 8 games more than Denolly. Matteo scored 32 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The French player blasted 25 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Martineau Denolly
Aces 11 3
Avg per match 11 3
1st in 50/71 37/52
%1st in 70% 71%
1st pts 32/50 25/37
%1st pts 64% 68%
2nd pts 11/21 10/15
%2nd pts 52% 67%

Martineau managed to score 11 aces . Denolly managed to score 3 aces . Martineau won 64% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Denolly won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Martineau Denolly
Won 5 4
Converted 5/15 4/8
% Converted 33% 50%
Conceded 6 3
Saved 2 1
% Saved 33% 33%
Times Broken 4 2

Martineau broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Matteo dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Martineau
Q1
Tumasonis
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 89-85 89-85
Total points 174 174
Winners 32 32
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 11 11
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 50/71 50/71
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 32/50 32/50
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 11/21 11/21
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/15 5/15
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 2/6 2
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 4 4
Denolly
Q1
Lipovsek Puches
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 63-48 63-48
Total points 111 111
Winners 25 25
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 37/52 37/52
% 1st in 71% 71%
1st pts 25/37 25/37
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 10/15 10/15
% 2nd pts 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2

Upcoming matches in the draw