Naoki Nakagawa and Sadio Doumbia will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Monterrey Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:30 pm on CANCHA 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naoki Nakagawa who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naoki Nakagawa is the pick to win this match.
Naoki Nakagawa -> 1.43
Sadio Doumbia -> 2.74
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Prediction and head to head Naoki Nakagawa vs. Sadio Doumbia
There is no head to head record between Naoki Nakagawa and Sadio Doumbia since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Naoki Nakagawa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-11 | 11-10 | 1-1 | 8-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 504, Nakagawa reached the qualifications after defeating Emiliano Aguilera 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Aguilera (6-4 6-4). During the match, Nakagawa scored 67 points vs Aguilera’s 59. Naoki was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakagawa struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Naoki Nakagawa lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nakagawa put 50% of his first serves in, winning 90% (26/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Nakagawa broke Aguilera 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Nakagawa has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (228-144). 1-0 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakagawa has an aggregate119-75 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Japanese has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Monterrey Challenger
Nakagawa has never competed in this tournament before.
Sadio Doumbia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 41-29 | 18-9 | 18-15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 42-32 | 11-9 | 17-16 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 5-1 |
Ranked no. 548, Doumbia got to the qualifications after beating Manuel Sanchez 2-6 7-65 7-65.
In the qualifications against Sanchez, Doumbia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-65 7-65).During the match Doumbia scored less points (8) than Sanchez. In fact, the world no. 504 won 98 points vs Sanchez’s. That means that Doumbia was more focused during the important points. Doumbia was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Doumbia fired 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Sadio Doumbia lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Doumbia put 54% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (29/49) on the 2nd serve. Doumbia broke Sanchez twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
The French player has a composed 1-1 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakagawa | Doumbia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 34 |
| Pts | 67-59 | 98-106 |
| Total Points | 126 | 204 |
| Winners | 26 | 40 |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% |
Both Nakagawa and Doumbia played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Sadio Doumbia conceded 1 set while Naoki Nakagawa hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nakagawa has played 1 set(s) less than Doumbia (2 vs 3). Therefore, Nakagawa played 14 games less than Doumbia. Naoki scored 26 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 40 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakagawa | Doumbia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 29/58 | 58/107 |
| %1st in | 50% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 26/29 | 40/58 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 29/49 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 59% |
Nakagawa recorded 2 aces . Doumbia bagged 3 aces . Nakagawa won 90% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Doumbia won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakagawa | Doumbia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Saved | 2 | 6 |
| % Saved | 67% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Naoki broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Doumbia broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Doumbia conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakagawa | |||
| Q1 Aguilera |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 67-59 | 67-59 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/58 | 29/58 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 26/29 | 26/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 14/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Doumbia | |||
| Q1 Sanchez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-65 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 98-106 | 98-106 | |
| Total points | 204 | 204 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 58/107 | 58/107 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 40/58 | 40/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/49 | 29/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLLW
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