Jasmine Paolini and Dayana Yastremska will face off in the quarter of the Open 6 Sens for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on Court Central. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dayana Yastremska who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dayana Yastremska is the pick to win this match.
Dayana Yastremska -> 1.81
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.09
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Dayana Yastremska
This will be the 4th time that Jasmine Paolini and Dayana Yastremska square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Paolini won 6-4 3-6 6-2 in the 1st round in Linz back in 2021.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Irina Maria Bara 4-6 7-5 6-3 and Tamara Korpatsch 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Korpatsch (6-1 6-2). During the match, Paolini scored 57 points vs Korpatsch’s 31. Jasmine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paolini couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of her 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Korpatsch 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Paolini has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 59% of her matches (282-199). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has an overall27-28 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
The Italian has a compiled 5-5 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Lyon
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Dayana Yastremska
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-22 | 12-12 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-29 | 19-13 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 7-11 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140, Dayana reached the quarter after beating Ana Bogdan 3-6 7-67 7-67 and Cristina Bucsa 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-2 6-3). During the match Yastremska scored 60 points vs Bucsa’s 46. Dayana was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Yastremska blasted 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Dayana Yastremska lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Yastremska put 65% of her first serves in, winning 64% (23/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Bucsa 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yastremska has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 52 |
| Pts | 166-129 | 182-170 |
| Total Points | 295 | 352 |
| Winners | 70 | 72 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Paolini and Yastremska played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini surrendered 1 set, while Dayana Yastremska conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Paolini and Yastremska have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Paolini played 6 games less than Yastremska. Jasmine scored 70 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian made 72 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 99/158 | 112/185 |
| %1st in | 63% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 70/99 | 72/112 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 31/59 | 37/73 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 51% |
Paolini managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Yastremska bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Paolini won 71% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/15 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded | 12 | 20 |
| Saved | 8 | 13 |
| % Saved | 67% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Paolini broke her opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Yastremska broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Dayana conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | ||||
| R1 Maria Bara |
R2 Korpatsch |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 15 | 46 | |
| pts | 109-98 | 57-31 | 166-129 | |
| Total points | 207 | 88 | 295 | |
| Winners | 42 | 28 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 49% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 62/107 | 37/51 | 99/158 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 73% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 42/62 | 28/37 | 70/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 9/14 | 31/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 64% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/5 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 3/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 100% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Yastremska | ||||
| R1 Bogdan |
R2 Bucsa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-67 7-67 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 17 | 52 | |
| pts | 122-124 | 60-46 | 182-170 | |
| Total points | 246 | 106 | 352 | |
| Winners | 49 | 23 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 76/130 | 36/55 | 112/185 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 65% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 49/76 | 23/36 | 72/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/54 | 11/19 | 37/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 58% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/9 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 4 | 20 | |
| Saved | 11/16 | 2/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 50% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWW
L Tennis Scores in Lyon
- Tomas BerdychBerdych – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (7-62 2-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Gilles MullerMuller (3-6 7-66 7-5 5-7 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sam QuerreyQuerrey – Andy MurrayMurray (3-6 6-4 6-74 6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roger FedererFederer – Milos RaonicRaonic (6-4 6-2 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Vitalia DiatchenkoDiatchenko – Shuai ZhangZhang (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-1) – H2H and prediction
