Pedro Martinez Portero and Sebastian Baez will square off in the final of the Chile Dove Men+Care Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:00 pm on CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.78
Pedro Martinez Portero -> 2.13

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Prediction and head to head Pedro Martinez Portero vs. Sebastian Baez

This will be the 2nd time that Pedro Martinez Portero and Sebastian Baez play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Baez won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in the Zagreb Challenger back in 2021.

Pedro Martinez Portero

Pedro Martinez Portero

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
45
High
40
LLLWLLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-27 7-9 22-13 1-2 0-3 0-0
2023 44-35 6-9 33-25 5-0 0-1 0-0
2022 21-30 7-12 13-13 0-2 1-3 0-0
2021 32-25 4-5 21-13 5-5 2-2 0-0
2020 35-13 6-5 29-8 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 72, Pedro got to the final after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 5-7 7-5, Yannick Hanfmann 6-2 6-2 and Alejandro Tabilo 5-7 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal against Tabilo, Martinez Portero recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match, Martinez Portero scored 103 points vs Tabilo’s 99. Martinez Portero was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Regarding the service games, Martinez Portero bagged 2 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Pedro Martinez Portero lost the serve 5 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Martinez Portero put 66% of his first serves in, winning 60% (44/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the 2nd serve. Martinez Portero broke Tabilo 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pedro has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Martinez Portero has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (348-191). 6-3 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Martinez Portero has an overall287-140 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

Martinez Portero’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Santiago.

Pedro has a composed 8-5 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Santiago

Pedro has never competed in this tournament before.

Santiago
Martinez Portero's Record

Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
26
High
18
LLLWLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-24 5-9 26-11 0-1 0-3 0-0
2023 33-27 9-7 22-13 1-5 1-2 0-0
2022 35-32 6-12 27-12 0-6 2-2 0-0
2021 56-16 2-1 52-12 2-2 0-1 0-0
2020 28-13 10-3 18-9 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 78, Baez got to the final after beating Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-4, Juan Ignacio Londero 6-3 6-3, Thiago Moura Monteiro 7-5 3-6 6-4 and Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4 4-6 6-2.

In the semifinal, Sebastian defeated Ramos-Vinolas (6-4 4-6 6-2). During the match Baez scored 105 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 97. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Baez recorded 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 66% of his first serves in, winning 64% (42/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Ramos-Vinolas 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Baez has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Argentine’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Santiago.

The Argentine has an overall 14-7 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Santiago

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.

Santiago
Baez's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

P.Martinez Portero
S.Baez
7h:46
7h:46
Time on court​
8h:12
8h:12
!
2h:54
2h:54
Last match​
!
2h:32
2h:32
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
82
82
Games Played​
97
97
8
8
Set played​​
10
10
272
272
Total points​
337
337
90.7
90.7
Avg point​
84.3
84.3
120
120
Winners
145
145
40
40
Avg Winners​
36.3
36.3
44%
44%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
8
8
1.3
1.3
Avg Aces
2
2
15
15
Double Faults
10
10
5
5
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
120/177
120/177
1st won total​
145/222
145/222
68%
68%
1st won %
65%
65%
52/99
52/99
2nd won total​
50/94
50/94
53%
53%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
14/28
14/28
BP won
19/36
19/36
4.7/9.3
4.7/9.3
Avg BP won
4.8/9
4.8/9
50%
50%
Won
!
53%
53%
32
32
Conceded
37
37
10.7
10.7
Avg Conceded
9.3
9.3
8
8
Broken
11
11
2.7
2.7
Avg Broken
2.8
2.8
24
24
Saved
26
26

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Martinez Portero Baez
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 8 10
Tot Games 82 97
Pts 272-245 337-307
Total Points 517 644
Winners 120 145
%Winners 44% 43%

Martinez Portero played 3 matches while Baez competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pedro Martinez Portero lost 2 sets, while Sebastian Baez lost 2 sets. Martinez Portero has played 2 set(s) less than Baez (8 vs 10). Therefore, Martinez Portero played 15 games less than Baez. The Spaniard scored 120 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian scored 145 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Martinez Portero Baez
Aces 4 8
Avg per match 1.3 2
1st in 177/276 222/316
%1st in 64% 70%
1st pts 120/177 145/222
%1st pts 68% 65%
2nd pts 52/99 50/94
%2nd pts 53% 53%

Martinez Portero managed to score 4 aces (1.3 per match). Baez struck 8 aces (2 per match). Martinez Portero won 68% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Martinez Portero Baez
Won 14 19
Converted 14/28 19/36
% Converted 50% 53%
Conceded 32 37
Saved 24 26
% Saved 75% 70%
Times Broken 8 11

Pedro broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pedro dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 19 times with a 53% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Martinez Portero
R2
Munar Clar
1/4
Hanfmann
1/2
Tabilo
Total
Score 6-4 5-7 7-5 6-2 6-2 5-7 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 34 16 32 82
pts 110-107 59-39 103-99 272-245
Total points 217 98 202 517
Winners 47 29 44 120
%Winners 43% 49% 43% 44%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 2 4
Double Faults 4 2 9 15
1st in 69/111 35/54 73/111 177/276
% 1st in 62% 65% 66% 64%
1st pts 47/69 29/35 44/73 120/177
% 1st pts 68% 83% 60% 68%
2nd pts 24/42 8/19 20/38 52/99
% 2nd pts 57% 42% 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 4 6 14
Converted 4/11 4/6 6/11 14/28
Converted % 36% 67% 55% 50%
Conceded 11 6 15 32
Saved 8/11 6/6 10/15 24
Saved % 73% 100% 67% 80%
Times Broken 3 0 5 8
Baez
R1
Pablo Patino-Samudio
R2
Londero
1/4
Moura Monteiro
1/2
Ramos-Vinolas
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-3 7-5 3-6 6-4 6-4 4-6 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 20 18 31 28 97
pts 66-56 64-49 102-105 105-97 337-307
Total points 122 113 207 202 644
Winners 32 21 50 42 145
%Winners 48% 33% 49% 40% 43%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3 2 8
Double Faults 3 2 3 2 10
1st in 43/59 35/50 78/107 66/100 222/316
% 1st in 73% 70% 73% 66% 70%
1st pts 32/43 21/35 50/78 42/66 145/222
% 1st pts 74% 60% 64% 64% 65%
2nd pts 9/16 6/15 13/29 22/34 50/94
% 2nd pts 56% 40% 45% 65% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 7 5 4 19
Converted 3/6 7/12 5/8 4/10 19/36
Converted % 50% 58% 63% 40% 53%
Conceded 3 9 13 12 37
Saved 2/3 5/9 9/13 10/12 26
Saved % 67% 56% 69% 83% 92%
Times Broken 1 4 4 2 11

Tennis Scores in Santiago

  • Rafael Matos/Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMatos/Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesAndre Goransson/Nathaniel LammonsGoransson/Nathaniel Lammons (7-68 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez PorteroSebastian BaezBaez (0-1) – H2H and prediction