Daniil Medvedev and Yoshihito Nishioka will face off in the quarter of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on ESTADIO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.159
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 5.95
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Yoshihito Nishioka
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Yoshihito Nishioka square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Medvedev won 4-6 7-6(1) 6-2 in the qualifications in Cincinnati back in 2018.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Russian reached the quarter after beating Benoit Paire 6-3 6-4 and Pablo Andujar 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Andujar (6-1 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 55 points vs Andujar’s 29. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev fired 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was quite effective on serve to win 88% (22/25) of his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniil broke Andujar 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (390-163). 11-2 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an overall 166-56 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final at the Australian Open .
The Russian has an overall 11-2 win-loss record in 2022, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Yoshihito Nishioka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 16-14 | 0-2 | 10-2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-24 | 17-15 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 103, the Japanese reached the quarter after beating Cedrik-Marcel Stebe 1-6 6-3 6-4, Peter Gojowczyk 6-3 6-2, Feliciano Lopez 2-6 6-0 6-4 and Taylor Harry Fritz 3-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Fritz, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Nishioka scored 82 points vs Fritz’s 76. Nishioka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Nishioka managed to score 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Yoshihito Nishioka was very effective on serve to win 76% (44/58) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Fritz 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Nishioka’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Columbus Challenger and the Cleveland Challenger.
Nishioka has a composed 16-6 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 94 |
| Pts | 135-90 | 305-270 |
| Total Points | 225 | 575 |
| Winners | 50 | 131 |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% |
Medvedev played 2 matches while Nishioka competed in 4 matches. Nishioka started his run from the qualifications while Medvedev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yoshihito Nishioka conceded 3 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 7 set(s) less than Nishioka (4 vs 11). Therefore, Medvedev played 60 games less than Nishioka. The Russian scored 50 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Yoshihito recorded 131 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0.8 |
| 1st in | 62/110 | 199/289 |
| %1st in | 56% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 50/62 | 131/199 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 25/48 | 52/90 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 58% |
Medvedev made 10 aces (5 per match). Nishioka blasted 3 aces (0.8 per match). Medvedev won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 17 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 17/36 |
| % Converted | 53% | 47% |
| Conceded | 5 | 25 |
| Saved | 4 | 15 |
| % Saved | 80% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 10 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Daniil lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 17 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Paire | R2 Andujar | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 34 | |
| pts | 80-61 | 55-29 | 135-90 | |
| Total points | 141 | 84 | 225 | |
| Winners | 28 | 22 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 37/64 | 25/46 | 62/110 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 54% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 22/25 | 50/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 88% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 12/21 | 25/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 57% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/6 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 67% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nishioka | ||||||
| Q1 Stebe | Q3 Gojowczyk | R1 Lopez | R2 Fritz | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 2-6 6-0 6-4 | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 | 24 | 27 | 94 | |
| pts | 83-89 | 55-36 | 85-69 | 82-76 | 305-270 | |
| Total points | 172 | 91 | 154 | 158 | 575 | |
| Winners | 32 | 26 | 29 | 44 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 47% | 34% | 54% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 59/87 | 32/46 | 50/70 | 58/86 | 199/289 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 70% | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/59 | 26/32 | 29/50 | 44/58 | 131/199 | |
| % 1st pts | 54% | 81% | 58% | 76% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 8/14 | 13/20 | 15/28 | 52/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | 65% | 54% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/7 | 6/15 | 3/5 | 17/36 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 57% | 40% | 60% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 25 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 0/1 | 1/5 | 5/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 0% | 20% | 83% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Peter GojowczykGojowczyk (3-0) – H2H and prediction