Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek will fight against each other in the quarter of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.95
Iga Swiatek -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 2-6 6-2 7-5 in the R in Guadalajara back in 2021.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek – Guadalajara 13-November-2021
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-5 | 23-4 | 8-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian reached the quarter after defeating Alize Cornet 6-2 6-2 and Jil Teichmann 6-2 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Belen Teichmann (6-2 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 62 points vs Belen Teichmann’s 36. Sabalenka was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka scored just 1 ace and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 74% of her first serves in, winning 68% (19/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Belen Teichmann 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 61% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 66% of her matches (236-122). 6-4 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled140-65 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Aryna has a composed 6-4 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-8 | 21-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Iga got to the quarter after beating Viktorija Golubic 6-2 3-6 6-2 and Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-0.
In the 3rd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-3 6-0). During the match Swiatek scored 56 points vs Kasatkina’s 32. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Swiatek was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 76% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Kasatkina 5 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
The Pole’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide and at the Australian Open .
The Pole has a compiled 11-3 win-loss record in 2022, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 40 |
| Pts | 125-79 | 140-101 |
| Total Points | 204 | 241 |
| Winners | 43 | 60 |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% |
Both Sabalenka and Swiatek played 2 matches. At the moment, Iga Swiatek dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Swiatek (4 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 9 games less than Swiatek. Aryna scored 43 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Swiatek recorded 60 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0 |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 90/130 |
| %1st in | 66% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 43/57 | 60/90 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 21/40 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 53% |
Sabalenka managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Swiatek didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sabalenka won 75% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Swiatek won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 11 |
| Converted | 10/19 | 11/15 |
| % Converted | 53% | 73% |
| Conceded | 2 | 15 |
| Saved | 1 | 10 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Belarussian dropped her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Swiatek broke her opponents 11 times with a 73% conversion rate. Swiatek conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Cornet |
R3 Belen Teichmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 31 | |
| pts | 63-43 | 62-36 | 125-79 | |
| Total points | 106 | 98 | 204 | |
| Winners | 24 | 19 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 31% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 29/48 | 28/38 | 57/86 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 74% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 19/28 | 43/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 68% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 7/10 | 17/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 70% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/11 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Swiatek | ||||
| R2 Golubic |
R3 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 15 | 40 | |
| pts | 84-69 | 56-32 | 140-101 | |
| Total points | 153 | 88 | 241 | |
| Winners | 34 | 26 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 51/79 | 39/51 | 90/130 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 76% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 26/39 | 60/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 8/12 | 21/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 67% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/5 | 11/15 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 100% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 4 | 15 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 3/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 75% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWLWWW
LWWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Doha
- Cori Gauff/Jessica PegulaGauff/Jessica Pegula – Ena Shibahara/Shuai ZhangShibahara/Shuai Zhang (3-6 7-5 9-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Fernando VerdascoVerdasco (2-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos BaghdatisBaghdatis – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (6-70 6-3 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuichi SugitaSugita – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andreas SeppiSeppi – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (3-1) – H2H and prediction
