Jelle Sels and Francesco Maestrelli will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Forli 5 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on CITTA’ DI FORLI’. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelle Sels who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelle Sels is the pick to win this match.
Jelle Sels -> 1.53
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.44
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Prediction and head to head Jelle Sels vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between Jelle Sels and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jelle Sels
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-14 | 13-6 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 18-10 | 0-1 | 14-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 322, Jelle reached the 1st round after beating Aldin Setkic 7-5 7-5.
Sels has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 55% of his matches (244-200). 2-6 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sels has an aggregate49-48 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
Jelle has an overall 2-6 win-loss record in 2022, 2-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Forli 5 Challenger
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-21 | 5-5 | 14-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 737 (career-high), the Italian got to the 1st round after beating Benjamin Hassan 6-4 7-65 and Giulio Zeppieri 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Zeppieri (7-5 6-4). During the match Maestrelli scored 84 points vs Zeppieri’s 70. Francesco was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Maestrelli scored 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 58% of his first serves in, winning 79% (34/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. Maestrelli broke Zeppieri 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
The Italian has an overall 5-2 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sels | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 45 |
| Pts | 74-62 | 158-136 |
| Total Points | 136 | 294 |
| Winners | 31 | 67 |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% |
Sels played 1 match while Maestrelli competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Sels has played 2 set(s) less than Maestrelli (2 vs 4). Therefore, Sels played 21 games less than Maestrelli. Sels scored 31 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli managed to score 67 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sels | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 35/65 | 87/148 |
| %1st in | 54% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 31/35 | 67/87 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 32/61 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 52% |
Sels struck 11 aces . Maestrelli made 17 aces (8.5 per match). Sels won 89% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sels | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 6 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 6/16 |
| % Converted | 67% | 38% |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The Dutch broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Sels was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. Maestrelli broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sels | ||||
| Q1 Setkic |
Q3 Ritschard |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 7-68 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 23 | 47 | |
| pts | 74-62 | – | 74-62 | |
| Total points | 136 | 0 | 136 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | ||
| %Winners | 42% | 0% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | ||
| 1st in | 35/65 | / | 35/65 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 0% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 31/35 | / | 31/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 0% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | / | 19/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 0% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | ||
| Converted | 2/3 | / | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 0% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | ||
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/ | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | ||
| Maestrelli | ||||
| Q1 Hassan |
Q3 Zeppieri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 45 | |
| pts | 74-66 | 84-70 | 158-136 | |
| Total points | 140 | 154 | 294 | |
| Winners | 33 | 34 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 44/74 | 43/74 | 87/148 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 34/43 | 67/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 14/31 | 32/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 45% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 4/14 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 29% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 7/9 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 78% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLLWW
LLLLWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Forli 5 Challenger
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Gastao EliasElias (6-75 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jack DraperDraper – Jesper De JongDe Jong (4-6 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Michael MmohMmoh – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Elmar EjupovicEjupovic (6-75 6-3 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mats MoraingMoraing – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas MachacMachac – Lukas LackoLacko (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Brayden SchnurSchnur – Hugo GrenierGrenier (3-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mirza BasicBasic – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (6-2 6-711 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip HoranskyHoransky – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (6-77 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tim Van RijthovenTim – Franco AgamenoneFranco (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mirza BasicBasic – Mats MoraingMoraing (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Salvatore CarusoCaruso – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Illya MarchenkoMarchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelle SelsSels – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brayden SchnurSchnur – Filip HoranskyHoransky (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (1-0) – H2H and prediction
