Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will clash against each other in the quarter of the Rio Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on QUADRA GUGA KUERTEN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.666
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia -> 2.32
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
This will be the 3rd time that Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Berrettini and Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 6-2 7-6(3) 4-6 2-6 7-6(5) in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2022.
Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Australian Open 21-January-2022
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Matteo got to the quarter after beating Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-4 6-76 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Matteo defeated Moura Monteiro (6-4 6-76 6-3). During the match, Berrettini scored 102 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 93. Berrettini was quite aggressive to blast 64 winners.
Regarding the service games, Berrettini fired 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 79% of his first serves in, winning 79% (64/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Moura Monteiro 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Berrettini has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (255-127). 1-0 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Berrettini has a composed78-38 record in the last 9 years on clay.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .
The Italian has a composed 7-3 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Berrettini has never competed in this tournament before.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|
Ranked no. 29 (career-high), Alcaraz reached the quarter after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 2-6 6-2 6-1 and Federico Delbonis 6-4 7-61.
In the 2nd round, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Delbonis (6-4 7-61). During the match Alcaraz scored 70 points vs Delbonis’s 60. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Alcaraz recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 64% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Delbonis 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Carlos has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 46 |
| Pts | 102-93 | 152-129 |
| Total Points | 195 | 281 |
| Winners | 64 | 62 |
| %Winners | 63% | 41% |
Berrettini played 1 match while Alcaraz competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Berrettini dropped 1 set, while Carlos Alcaraz Garfia lost 1 set. Berrettini has played 2 set(s) less than Alcaraz (3 vs 5). Therefore, Berrettini played 14 games less than Alcaraz. The Italian scored 64 winners (63% of the total points). On the other side, Alcaraz recorded 62 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 2 |
| 1st in | 81/103 | 95/150 |
| %1st in | 79% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 64/81 | 62/95 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 32/55 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 58% |
Berrettini managed to score 14 aces . Alcaraz made 4 aces (2 per match). Berrettini won 79% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 8 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded | 3 | 15 |
| Saved | 2 | 10 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Matteo broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Berrettini dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | |||
| R2 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-76 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 102-93 | 102-93 | |
| Total points | 195 | 195 | |
| Winners | 64 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 63% | 63% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 81/103 | 81/103 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 64/81 | 64/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 9/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R1 Munar Clar |
R2 Delbonis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | 46 | |
| pts | 82-69 | 70-60 | 152-129 | |
| Total points | 151 | 130 | 281 | |
| Winners | 33 | 29 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 53/84 | 42/66 | 95/150 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 33/53 | 29/42 | 62/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 69% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 15/24 | 32/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 63% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/5 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 60% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 0/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 0% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWLW
Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia/Pablo Carreno-BustaAlcaraz Garfia/Pablo Carreno-Busta (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Pablo Andujar/Pedro Martinez PorteroAndujar/Pedro Martinez Portero (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo AndujarAndujar – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Federico CoriaCoria (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
