Pablo Carreno-Busta and Fabio Fognini will face off in the 2nd round of the Rio Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on QUADRA GUGA KUERTEN. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.49
Fabio Fognini -> 2.7
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Fabio Fognini
This will be the 9th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Fabio Fognini play each other. The head to head is 7-1 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Fognini won 6-2 1-6 6-4 in the semifinal in Atp cup back in 2021.
Highlights Fabio Fognini vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Atp cup 06-February-2021
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Pablo will start his run in Rio de Janeiro after he played his last match at the Australian Open where he lost 7-5 7-6(4) 6-4 to Berrettini in the 4th round on the 23rd of January.
The Spaniard has a compiled 7-2 win-loss record in 2022, 0-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
This will be the first match of the season on clay.
Talking about his overall career, Carreno-Busta has an overall 529-287 record. He has a positive 329-158 record on clay.
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2017. See his history.
Fabio Fognini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-28 | 7-10 | 23-12 | 2-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-23 | 0-8 | 23-12 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-26 | 10-9 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-24 | 12-12 | 7-8 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Facundo Bagnis 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, Fabio had a good straight sets win against Bagnis (6-2 6-4). During the match Fognini scored 60 points vs Bagnis’s 45. Fabio was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Fognini recorded 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Fabio Fognini was very effective on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fabio broke Bagnis 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
The Italian has an overall 3-3 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico DelbonisDelbonis – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Laslo DjereDjere (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Dusan LajovicLajovic (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Benoit PairePaire (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Federico CoriaCoria – Cristian GarinGarin (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Pablo AndujarAndujar (3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Juncheng ShangShang (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Benoit Paire/Albert Ramos-VinolasPaire/Albert Ramos-Vinolas – Tomislav Brkic/Nikola CacicBrkic/Nikola Cacic (4-6 6-3 10-8) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico DelbonisDelbonis – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Dusan LajovicLajovic (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Federico CoriaCoria – Cristian GarinGarin (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Laslo DjereDjere (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Benoit PairePaire (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Federico CoriaCoria (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Pablo CuevasCuevas (1-9) – H2H and prediction
- Federico DelbonisDelbonis – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Fabio FogniniFognini (7-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction