Sebastian Baez and Thiago Moura Monteiro will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Rio Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on QUADRA GUGA KUERTEN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.61
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Thiago Moura Monteiro
This will be the 3rd time that Sebastian Baez and Thiago Moura Monteiro clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Baez won 6-1 6-4 in the final in the Campinas Challenger back in 2021.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-27 | 3-9 | 17-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 72 (career-high), the Argentine got to the 1st round after beating Nikola Milojevic 6-73 6-3 6-4 and Yannick Hanfmann 2-6 7-62 7-62.
In the qualifications against Hanfmann, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-62 7-62).During the match, Baez scored less points (4) than Hanfmann. In fact, the world no. 72 won 98 points vs Hanfmann’s. That means that Baez was more focused during the important points. Sebastian was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 8 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 75% of his first serves in, winning 57% (45/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Hanfmann 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in this event to win 51% of the points he played.
Baez has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (162-68). 5-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Baez has an overall142-55 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Argentine has a compiled 10-6 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Baez has never competed in this tournament before.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-30 | 3-4 | 23-25 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-27 | 8-8 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the Brazilian will start his run in Rio De Janeiro after he played his last match in Buenos Aires where he lost 2-6 6-3 7-5 to Verdasco in the 2nd round on the 9th of February.
Moura Monteiro has a composed 5-6 win-loss record in 2022, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
In terms of his career, Moura Monteiro has an overall 392-281 record. He has a positive 319-208 record on clay.
Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Juncheng ShangShang (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Pablo AndujarAndujar (3-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Dusan LajovicLajovic (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Fabio FogniniFognini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Christian GarinGarin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Laslo DjereDjere (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Benoit PairePaire (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-0) – H2H and prediction