Illya Marchenko and Jozef Kovalik will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:30 pm on GRANDSTAND 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Illya Marchenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Illya Marchenko is the pick to win this match.
Illya Marchenko -> 1.47
Jozef Kovalik -> 2.68
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Prediction and head to head Illya Marchenko vs. Jozef Kovalik
This will be the 3rd time that Illya Marchenko and Jozef Kovalik fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Marchenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Marchenko won 7-5 6-3 in the qualifications in Sofia back in 2020.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 160, the Ukrainian reached the qualifications after defeating Maxime Janvier 6-4 7-63.
In the qualifications, Illya had a good straight sets win against Janvier (6-4 7-63). During the match, Marchenko scored 77 points vs Janvier’s 72. The Ukrainian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Marchenko bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Illya Marchenko was quite efficient on serve to win 73% (30/41) of his 1st serve and 68% (27/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Ukrainian broke Janvier once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Marchenko has a positive record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (275-211). 1-1 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Marchenko has a composed 107-87 match record in the last years on hard.
Illya has a composed 1-1 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-25 | 3-5 | 30-15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-16 | 2-3 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 170, Jozef reached the qualifications after defeating Andrey Golubev 6-4 7-62.
In the qualifications, Kovalik had a good straight sets win against Golubev (6-4 7-62). During the match Kovalik scored 78 points vs Golubev’s 68. Jozef was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Kovalik scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Jozef Kovalik was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kovalik broke Golubev twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Jozef has an overall 1-4 win-loss record in 2022, 1-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Jozef has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Marchenko | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 |
| Pts | 77-72 | 78-68 |
| Total Points | 149 | 146 |
| Winners | 30 | 32 |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% |
Both Marchenko and Kovalik played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Marchenko and Kovalik have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (23). Illya scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Slovakian fired 32 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Marchenko | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 41/81 | 45/71 |
| %1st in | 51% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 32/45 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 27/40 | 17/26 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 65% |
Marchenko managed to score 5 aces . Kovalik blasted 1 ace . Marchenko won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Marchenko | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 2 |
| Converted | 1/4 | 2/3 |
| % Converted | 25% | 67% |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 |
| Saved | 7 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Illya broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Illya very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 7 break points. The Slovakian broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Jozef conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Marchenko | |||
| Q1 Janvier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 77-72 | 77-72 | |
| Total points | 149 | 149 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/81 | 41/81 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 30/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/40 | 27/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kovalik | |||
| Q1 Golubev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 78-68 | 78-68 | |
| Total points | 146 | 146 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 45/71 | 45/71 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/45 | 32/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 17/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Jozef KovalikKovalik (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Malek JaziriJaziri – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel EvansEvans – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Joao SousaSousa – Thomas FabbianoFabbiano (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Lloyd HarrisHarris (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri VeselyVesely – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Andy MurrayMurray (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
