Maria Sakkari and Irina-Camelia Begu will face off in the semifinal of the St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Sibur Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.47
Irina-Camelia Begu -> 2.85
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Irina-Camelia Begu
This will be the 3rd time that Maria Sakkari and Irina-Camelia Begu play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Sakkari and Begu (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sakkari won 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the quarter in Seoul back in 2018.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Greek reached the semifinal after beating Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-4, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-2 6-4 and Elise Mertens 7-67 6-2.
In the quarter, Maria had a good straight sets win against Mertens (7-67 6-2). During the match, Sakkari scored 92 points vs Mertens’s 76. Maria was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari bagged 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 4 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 57% of her first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (15/38) on the 2nd serve. Sakkari broke Mertens 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (337-209). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sakkari has a compiled17-11 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
Maria has a compiled 7-2 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in St. Petersburg
Irina-Camelia Begu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-13 | 1-2 | 29-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-14 | 5-7 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-17 | 7-9 | 20-5 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-17 | 16-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-11 | 15-5 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56, Irina-Camelia got to the semifinal after defeating Shuai Zhang 6-3 6-1, Petra Kvitova 6-4 6-0 and Tereza Martincova 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, Begu had a good straight sets win against Martincova (6-4 6-2). During the match Begu scored 60 points vs Martincova’s 49. The Romanian was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Begu bagged 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Irina-Camelia Begu was very effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of her 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Irina-Camelia broke Martincova 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Irina-Camelia hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Begu has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 50 |
| Pts | 231-192 | 184-133 |
| Total Points | 423 | 317 |
| Winners | 94 | 70 |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% |
Both Sakkari and Begu played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Begu have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Sakkari played 9 games more than Begu. The Greek scored 94 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Irina-Camelia fired 70 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 135/227 | 94/171 |
| %1st in | 59% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 94/135 | 70/94 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 43/92 | 43/77 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 56% |
Sakkari recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Begu blasted 15 aces (5 per match). Sakkari won 70% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Begu won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 13 |
| Converted | 13/25 | 13/23 |
| % Converted | 52% | 57% |
| Conceded | 31 | 10 |
| Saved | 25 | 8 |
| % Saved | 81% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Sakkari broke her opponents 13 times with a 52% conversion rate. Maria conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 81% of the break points that she conceded. Irina-Camelia broke her opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. Begu conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||||
| R1 Potapova |
R2 Alexandrova |
1/4 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 7-67 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 21 | 59 | |
| pts | 79-71 | 60-45 | 92-76 | 231-192 | |
| Total points | 150 | 105 | 168 | 423 | |
| Winners | 37 | 23 | 34 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 38% | 37% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 55/90 | 29/48 | 51/89 | 135/227 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 60% | 57% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 23/29 | 34/51 | 94/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 79% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/35 | 14/19 | 15/38 | 43/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 74% | 39% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/7 | 6/11 | 13/25 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 43% | 55% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 0 | 17 | 31 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 0/0 | 13/17 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 76% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Begu | |||||
| R1 Zhang |
R2 Kvitova |
1/4 Martincova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 18 | 50 | |
| pts | 68-44 | 56-40 | 60-49 | 184-133 | |
| Total points | 112 | 96 | 109 | 317 | |
| Winners | 23 | 19 | 28 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | 47% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 29/55 | 26/51 | 39/65 | 94/171 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 51% | 60% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 19/26 | 28/39 | 70/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 73% | 72% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 14/25 | 15/26 | 43/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 56% | 58% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/6 | 3/4 | 13/23 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 83% | 75% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/1 | 4/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 0% | 100% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLL
WWWWWLLWLW Tennis Scores in St. Petersburg
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Richard GasquetGasquet (4-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roger FedererFederer – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (1-2) – H2H and prediction
