Ashleigh Barty and Danielle Rose Collins will face off in the final of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ashleigh Barty who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ashleigh Barty is the pick to win this match.
Ashleigh Barty -> 1.32
Danielle Rose Collins -> 3.8
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Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Danielle Rose Collins
This will be the 5th time that Ashleigh Barty and Danielle Rose Collins fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Barty (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Collins won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Adelaide back in 2021.
Highlights Danielle Rose Collins vs Ashleigh Barty – Adelaide 24-February-2021
Ashleigh Barty
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 11-0 | 11-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-8 | 21-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-3 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 57-13 | 32-9 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 46-19 | 24-10 | 7-5 | 3-1 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Ashleigh got to the final after defeating Lesya Tsurenko 6-0 6-1, Lucia Bronzetti 6-1 6-1, Camila Giorgi 6-2 6-3, Amanda Anisimova 6-4 6-3, Jessica Pegula 6-2 6-0 and Madison Keys 6-1 6-3.
In the semifinal, Ashleigh had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-1 6-3). During the match, Barty scored 65 points vs Keys’s 39. Ashleigh was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Barty blasted 5 aces and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Ashleigh Barty was very effective on serve to win 86% (24/28) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ashleigh broke Keys 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ashleigh hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 62% of the points she played.
Barty has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 75% of her matches (258-86). 10-0 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Barty has a composed 140-43 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Adelaide where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 6-3 6-2.
Ashleigh has an aggregate 10-0 win-loss record in 2022, 10-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Danielle Rose Collins
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-17 | 20-10 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, the American got to the final after defeating Caroline Dolehide 6-1 6-3, Ana Konjuh 6-4 6-3, Clara Tauson 4-6 6-4 7-5, Elise Mertens 4-6 6-4 6-4, Alize Cornet 7-5 6-1 and Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, Collins had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-4 6-1). During the match Collins scored 63 points vs Swiatek’s 40. The American was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Collins blasted 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Collins put 64% of her first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. Collins broke Swiatek 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Collins’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .
The American has an aggregate 6-0 win-loss record in 2022, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Barty | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 133 |
| Pts | 361-221 | 481-382 |
| Total Points | 582 | 863 |
| Winners | 137 | 183 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Both Barty and Collins played 6 matches. At the moment, Danielle Rose Collins lost 2 sets while Ashleigh Barty hasn’t dropped a set so far. Barty has played 2 set(s) less than Collins (12 vs 14). Therefore, Barty played 40 games less than Collins. The Australian scored 137 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Danielle recorded 183 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Barty | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 35 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 4 |
| 1st in | 166/281 | 242/417 |
| %1st in | 59% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 137/166 | 183/242 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 68/115 | 89/175 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 51% |
Barty fired 35 aces (5.8 per match). Collins struck 24 aces (4 per match). Barty won 83% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Barty | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 26 | 27 |
| Converted | 26/45 | 27/62 |
| % Converted | 58% | 44% |
| Conceded | 14 | 32 |
| Saved | 13 | 20 |
| % Saved | 93% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 12 |
Barty broke her opponents 26 times with a 58% conversion rate. Barty surrendered her serve once and she saved 93% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 27 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Barty | ||||||||
| R1 Tsurenko |
R2 Bronzetti |
R3 Giorgi |
R4 Anisimova |
1/4 Pegula |
1/2 Keys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 93 | |
| pts | 55-28 | 53-23 | 54-37 | 71-56 | 63-38 | 65-39 | 361-221 | |
| Total points | 83 | 76 | 91 | 127 | 101 | 104 | 582 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | 25 | 28 | 22 | 24 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% | 46% | 39% | 35% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 26/45 | 22/43 | 27/48 | 36/54 | 27/45 | 28/46 | 166/281 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 51% | 56% | 67% | 60% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 19/26 | 19/22 | 25/27 | 28/36 | 22/27 | 24/28 | 137/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 86% | 93% | 78% | 81% | 86% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/21 | 13/21 | 9/18 | 10/18 | 12/18 | 68/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 57% | 62% | 50% | 56% | 67% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 26 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/6 | 3/5 | 4/11 | 5/9 | 4/6 | 26/45 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 83% | 60% | 36% | 56% | 67% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 100% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Collins | ||||||||
| R1 Dolehide |
R2 Konjuh |
R3 Tauson |
R4 Mertens |
1/4 Cornet |
1/2 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 32 | 30 | 19 | 17 | 133 | |
| pts | 64-40 | 69-53 | 105-92 | 110-104 | 70-53 | 63-40 | 481-382 | |
| Total points | 104 | 122 | 197 | 214 | 123 | 103 | 863 | |
| Winners | 23 | 31 | 43 | 33 | 28 | 25 | 183 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% | 41% | 30% | 40% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | |
| 1st in | 32/51 | 42/67 | 53/93 | 52/99 | 31/57 | 32/50 | 242/417 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | 57% | 53% | 54% | 64% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 31/42 | 43/53 | 33/52 | 28/31 | 25/32 | 183/242 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 74% | 81% | 63% | 90% | 78% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 15/25 | 19/40 | 25/47 | 11/26 | 7/18 | 89/175 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 60% | 48% | 53% | 42% | 39% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 27 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/3 | 4/13 | 5/18 | 4/9 | 6/10 | 27/62 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 100% | 31% | 28% | 44% | 60% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 5/9 | 2/3 | 1/3 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 80% | 50% | 56% | 67% | 33% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Gilles MullerMuller – Ivo KarlovicKarlovic (7-65 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (3-1) – H2H and prediction
