Ashleigh Barty and Madison Keys will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ashleigh Barty who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ashleigh Barty is the pick to win this match.
Ashleigh Barty -> 1.25
Madison Keys -> 4.55
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Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 4th time that Ashleigh Barty and Madison Keys square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Barty (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Barty won 6-3 7-5 in the quarter in Paris back in 2019.
Ashleigh Barty
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 11-0 | 11-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-8 | 21-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-3 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 57-13 | 32-9 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 46-19 | 24-10 | 7-5 | 3-1 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Barty got to the semifinal after beating Lesya Tsurenko 6-0 6-1, Lucia Bronzetti 6-1 6-1, Camila Giorgi 6-2 6-3, Amanda Anisimova 6-4 6-3 and Jessica Pegula 6-2 6-0.
In the quarter, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Pegula (6-2 6-0). During the match, Barty scored 63 points vs Pegula’s 38. Barty was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Barty blasted 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ashleigh Barty was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (22/27) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Barty broke Pegula 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Barty hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 62% of the points she played.
Barty has a great record in the last 10 years having won 75% of her matches (257-86). 9-0 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Barty has an overall 139-43 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Adelaide where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 6-3 6-2.
Ashleigh has an aggregate 9-0 win-loss record in 2022, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 51, the American got to the semifinal after beating Sofia Kenin 7-62 7-5, Jaqueline Cristian 6-2 7-5, Qiang Wang 4-6 6-3 7-62, Paula Badosa Gibert 6-3 6-1 and Barbora Krejcikova 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Keys had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-3 6-2). During the match Keys scored 76 points vs Krejcikova’s 55. Madison was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Keys made 11 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 72% of her first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (6/18) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Krejcikova 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Madison has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Adelaide where she beat Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.
The American has a composed 11-1 win-loss record in 2022, 11-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2015. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Barty | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 77 | 110 |
| Pts | 296-182 | 426-331 |
| Total Points | 478 | 757 |
| Winners | 113 | 176 |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% |
Both Barty and Keys played 5 matches. At the moment, Madison Keys surrendered 1 set while Ashleigh Barty hasn’t lost a set so far. Barty has played 1 set(s) less than Keys (10 vs 11). Therefore, Barty played 33 games less than Keys. Barty scored 113 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 176 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Barty | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 7 |
| 1st in | 138/235 | 245/371 |
| %1st in | 59% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 113/138 | 176/245 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 56/97 | 63/126 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 50% |
Barty scored 30 aces (6 per match). Keys struck 35 aces (7 per match). Barty won 82% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Barty | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 22 |
| Converted | 22/39 | 22/56 |
| % Converted | 56% | 39% |
| Conceded | 12 | 31 |
| Saved | 11 | 20 |
| % Saved | 92% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 11 |
Ashleigh broke her opponents 22 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Australian dropped her serve once and she saved 92% of the break points that she conceded. Madison broke her opponents 22 times with a 39% conversion rate. Keys conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.
| Barty | |||||||
| R1 Tsurenko |
R2 Bronzetti |
R3 Giorgi |
R4 Anisimova |
1/4 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 77 | |
| pts | 55-28 | 53-23 | 54-37 | 71-56 | 63-38 | 296-182 | |
| Total points | 83 | 76 | 91 | 127 | 101 | 478 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | 25 | 28 | 22 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% | 46% | 39% | 35% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 26/45 | 22/43 | 27/48 | 36/54 | 27/45 | 138/235 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 51% | 56% | 67% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 19/26 | 19/22 | 25/27 | 28/36 | 22/27 | 113/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 86% | 93% | 78% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/21 | 13/21 | 9/18 | 10/18 | 56/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 57% | 62% | 50% | 56% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/6 | 3/5 | 4/11 | 5/9 | 22/39 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 83% | 60% | 36% | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 100% | 80% | 100% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Keys | |||||||
| R1 Kenin |
R2 Cristian |
R3 Wang |
R4 Badosa |
1/4 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-5 | 6-2 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 7-62 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 20 | 32 | 16 | 17 | 110 | |
| pts | 82-67 | 81-60 | 118-101 | 69-48 | 76-55 | 426-331 | |
| Total points | 149 | 141 | 219 | 117 | 131 | 757 | |
| Winners | 42 | 31 | 42 | 25 | 36 | 176 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 38% | 36% | 36% | 47% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 50/74 | 47/72 | 68/111 | 33/49 | 47/65 | 245/371 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 65% | 61% | 67% | 72% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 42/50 | 31/47 | 42/68 | 25/33 | 36/47 | 176/245 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 66% | 62% | 76% | 77% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 13/25 | 24/43 | 8/16 | 6/18 | 63/126 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 52% | 56% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 5/12 | 6/12 | 5/16 | 4/12 | 22/56 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 42% | 50% | 31% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 31 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/10 | 3/9 | 0/1 | 7/8 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 33% | 0% | 88% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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- Gilles MullerMuller – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-65 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Madison KeysKeys (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
