Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Cristian Rodriguez will square off in the 2nd round of the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.333
Cristian Rodriguez -> 3.3
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Cristian Rodriguez
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Cristian Rodriguez fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rodriguez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Rodriguez won 7-6(7) 6-2 in the qualifications in the Lima Challenger back in 2018.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-18 | 2-1 | 33-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 215, the Argentine reached the 2nd round after beating Orlando Luz 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Luz (6-2 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 59 points vs Luz’s 46. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored just 1 ace during the match and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Luz 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (168-93). 3-1 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate147-77 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Argentine has an aggregate 4-3 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
Ugo Carabelli has never competed in this tournament before.
Cristian Rodriguez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 0-0 | 21-22 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-10 | 2-3 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 40-18 | 20-4 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 437, the Colombian reached the 2nd round after defeating Alejandro Mendoza 6-74 6-1 6-2 and Boris Arias 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Rodriguez had a good straight sets win against Arias (6-3 6-2). During the match Rodriguez scored 61 points vs Arias’s 41. Rodriguez was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Rodriguez fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Cristian Rodriguez was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Cristian broke Arias 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Rodriguez has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 45 |
| Pts | 59-46 | 159-110 |
| Total Points | 105 | 269 |
| Winners | 24 | 65 |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% |
Ugo Carabelli played 1 match while Rodriguez competed in 2 matches. Rodriguez started his run from the qualifications while Ugo Carabelli had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Cristian Rodriguez dropped 1 set while Camilo Ugo Carabelli hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 3 set(s) less than Rodriguez (2 vs 5). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 27 games less than Rodriguez. The Argentine scored 24 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Rodriguez managed to score 65 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 74/119 |
| %1st in | 63% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 65/74 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 30/45 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 67% |
Ugo Carabelli managed to score 1 ace . Rodriguez also blasted 17 aces (8.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Rodriguez won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 71% | 47% |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Saved | 6 | 3 |
| % Saved | 75% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Camilo lost his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Rodriguez broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Rodriguez conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| R1 Luz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 59-46 | 59-46 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 36/57 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 24/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 12/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Rodriguez | ||||
| Q3 Mendoza |
R1 Arias |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 | 45 | |
| pts | 98-69 | 61-41 | 159-110 | |
| Total points | 167 | 102 | 269 | |
| Winners | 41 | 24 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 2 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 46/75 | 28/44 | 74/119 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 64% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 41/46 | 24/28 | 65/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 86% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 12/16 | 30/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 75% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/10 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 30% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWWW
Tennis Scores in Santa Cruz De La Sierra Challenger
- Gonzalo LamaLama – Carlos Gomez-HerreraGomez-Herrera (7-64 7-63) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Andrej MartinMartin (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Michel VernierVernier (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Matias Franco DescotteFranco Descotte (6-73 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicolas AlvarezAlvarez – Diego HidalgoHidalgo (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristian RodriguezRodriguez – Boris AriasArias (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (7-64 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (4-6 7-5 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Orlando LuzLuz (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – Federico ZeballosZeballos (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Facundo MenaMena – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Darian KingKing (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gonzalo LamaLama – Pedro CachinCachin (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo DellienDellien – Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas AlvarezAlvarez – Zdenek KolarKolar (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – Facundo MenaMena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Cristian RodriguezRodriguez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (1-2) – H2H and prediction
