Iga Swiatek and Kaia Kanepi will clash against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.22
Kaia Kanepi -> 4.75
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Kaia Kanepi
There is no head to head record between Iga Swiatek and Kaia Kanepi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-4 | 22-3 | 3-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Iga reached the quarter after beating Harriet Dart 6-3 6-0, Rebecca Peterson 6-2 6-2, Daria Kasatkina 6-2 6-3 and Sorana Cirstea 5-7 6-3 6-3.
In the 4th round against Cirstea, The Pole recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 105 points vs Cirstea’s 95. Iga was pretty aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 64% of her first serves in, winning 76% (52/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 24% (9/38) on the 2nd serve. Iga broke Cirstea 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Swiatek has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 77% of her matches (157-48). 7-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a composed56-24 record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Pole’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Iga has a compiled 7-1 win-loss record in 2022, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Kaia Kanepi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-22 | 6-10 | 11-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-19 | 15-11 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-14 | 16-8 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-5 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 115, Kanepi reached the quarter after defeating Angelique Kerber 6-4 6-3, Marie Bouzkova 6-2 7-63, Maddison Inglis 2-6 6-2 6-0 and Aryna Sabalenka 5-7 6-2 7-67.
In the 4th round against Sabalenka, Kanepi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 7-67). During the match Kanepi scored 111 points vs Sabalenka’s 102. Kanepi was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Kanepi managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Kaia Kanepi was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (38/52) of her 1st serve and 59% (32/54) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. Kaia broke Sabalenka 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kaia has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Estonian has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2022, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2009, 2018 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 95 |
| Pts | 305-234 | 329-275 |
| Total Points | 539 | 604 |
| Winners | 124 | 106 |
| %Winners | 41% | 32% |
Both Swiatek and Kanepi played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek conceded 1 set, while Kaia Kanepi lost 2 sets. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Kanepi (9 vs 10). Therefore, Swiatek played 17 games less than Kanepi. The Pole scored 124 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Kanepi blasted 106 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 176/276 | 148/302 |
| %1st in | 64% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 124/176 | 106/148 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 49/100 | 81/154 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 53% |
Swiatek scored 7 aces (1.8 per match). Kanepi made 17 aces (4.3 per match). Swiatek won 70% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Kanepi won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 20 |
| Converted | 20/38 | 20/42 |
| % Converted | 53% | 48% |
| Conceded | 28 | 20 |
| Saved | 21 | 8 |
| % Saved | 75% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 12 |
Iga broke her opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Pole surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Kanepi broke her opponents 20 times with a 48% conversion rate. Kaia conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R1 Dart |
R2 Peterson |
R3 Kasatkina |
R4 Cirstea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 5-7 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 17 | 30 | 78 | |
| pts | 63-37 | 64-42 | 73-60 | 105-95 | 305-234 | |
| Total points | 100 | 106 | 133 | 200 | 539 | |
| Winners | 19 | 22 | 31 | 52 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 34% | 42% | 50% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 25/44 | 33/51 | 50/75 | 68/106 | 176/276 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 65% | 67% | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 22/33 | 31/50 | 52/68 | 124/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 67% | 62% | 76% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 12/18 | 15/25 | 9/38 | 49/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 67% | 60% | 24% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/9 | 4/8 | 6/14 | 20/38 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 56% | 50% | 43% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 28 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/1 | 8/9 | 8/12 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 0% | 89% | 67% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Kanepi | ||||||
| R1 Kerber |
R2 Bouzkova |
R3 Inglis |
R4 Sabalenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 7-63 | 2-6 6-2 6-0 | 5-7 6-2 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 22 | 33 | 95 | |
| pts | 73-59 | 72-58 | 73-56 | 111-102 | 329-275 | |
| Total points | 132 | 130 | 129 | 213 | 604 | |
| Winners | 25 | 21 | 22 | 38 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 29% | 30% | 34% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 29/60 | 26/65 | 52/106 | 148/302 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 48% | 40% | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 21/29 | 22/26 | 38/52 | 106/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 72% | 85% | 73% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 15/31 | 16/39 | 32/54 | 81/154 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 48% | 41% | 59% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/11 | 7/9 | 4/13 | 20/42 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 45% | 78% | 31% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/4 | 0/4 | 5/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 25% | 0% | 63% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
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LL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Madison KeysKeys – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anna Danilina/Beatriz Haddad MaiaDanilina/Beatriz Haddad Maia – Rebecca Peterson/Anastasia PotapovaPeterson/Anastasia Potapova (4-6 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shuko Aoyama/Ena ShibaharaAoyama/Ena Shibahara – Petra Martic/Shelby RogersMartic/Shelby Rogers (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Julien BenneteauBenneteau (6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gilles MullerMuller – Aljaz BedeneBedene (6-3 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Vasek PospisilPospisil (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ivo KarlovicKarlovic – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Alize CornetCornet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Kaia KanepiKanepi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
