Kaia Kanepi upsets Sabalenka in the 4th round of the Australian Open – AUSTRALIAN OPEN RESULTS

AUSTRALIAN OPEN - MELBOURNE DRAW AND RESULTS. Kanepi shocks Sabalenka to square off with Iga Swiatek in the quarter

Prediction and head to head Kaia Kanepi vs. Aryna Sabalenka

Kaia Kanepi surprises Aryna Sabalenka 5-7 6-2 7-6(7) in the 4th round in Melbourne on Monday. Kanepi will have to play Iga Swiatek in the quarter. The match lasted 2 hours and 19 minutes. This will be her most significant achievement in this event. In the past, the best she could do in the past was reaching the 3rd round in 2009, 2018 and 2021. Here you can see her history at this event.

Kanepi
Melbourne
Kanepi's Record

Kaia added to her prize money $ 300,000 after winning this match. She has won already $ 600,000 after this win. If she wins the next match, the Estonian will add $ 500,000 to her earnings to get in total $ 1,100,000 in total.

Stats: aces, double faults, breaks, winners

Kanepi
Sabalenka
5-7 6-2 7-67
2h:19
111
111
Total points
102
102
38
38
Winners
48
48
34%
34%
Ratio Winners
47%
47%
30
30
Unforced
46
46
39%
39%
Ratio Unforced
61%
61%
4/7
4/7
Net Approaches
12/16
12/16
57%
57%
Perc
75%
75%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
7
7
4
4
Double Faults
15
15
49%
49%
1st in
64%
64%
73%
73%
1st won
71%
71%
38/52
38/52
1st won
48/68
48/68
59%
59%
2nd won
46%
46%
32/54
32/54
2nd won
18/39
18/39
178
178
Fastest serve
190
190
165
165
AVG 1st Serve
172
172
141
141
AVG 2nd Serve
150
150
-- Break Points --
4/13
4/13
Total
3/8
3/8
31%
31%
Won
38%
38%
See Full Stats

At the end of the match, the Estonian scored 111 points vs. Sabalenka’s 102.

Kanepi

Kanepi won this match even if she was not so effective in converting her break points as she converted only 31% (4/13) of the procured opportunities.

Sabalenka

On the other side, Sabalenka was struggling when converting her break points (only 38%3/8). That was one of the key issues for her loss.

After this encounter, the head to head between Kanepi and Sabalenka is 2-0 for Kaia.

Draw and next match H2H: Kaia Kanepi vs. Iga Swiatek – stats

Kanepi will take on Swiatek in the quarter.

There is no head to head record between Kaia Kanepi and Iga Swiatek since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Kaia Kanepi Draw info

Live score progression and stats

The set was pretty even as both players managed to hold serve with the notable exception of 1 break that Aryna conquered in the 12th game (7-5).

Aryna was spot on in converting all her break points in the 2nd (1-0 15-40 and 30-40) and the 12th game (6-5 0-40). Also, on the other side, the Estonian was spot on in converting all her break points in the 11th game (5-5 15-40 and 30-40).

They played 69 points. Sabalenka was the one to win the set after conquering 7 more points than Kaia (38-31). Aryna dropped 10 points on serve (26-10). Regarding the other side of the net, the Estonian conceded 12 points on serve (21-12).

Kanepi started the set in the best possible way after breaking Aryna Sabalenka in the 1st game (1-0) before consolidating her break and lead 4-0. Kaia managed to strengthen her lead after breaking the Belarussian in the 3rd (3-0) game before winning the set (6-2).

Sabalenka lost the 3rd game (3-0) when she had 3 consecutive game points when leading 40-0. One of the most important stints of the set was when Kaia won 4 consecutive games in the 2nd set to change the scoreline from 0-0 to 4-0.

The Estonian converted 40% of her break points (2/5). She had 5 break points opportunities in the 1st (0-0 30-40) and the 3rd game (2-0 40-A, 40-A, 40-A and 40-A). On the other side, the Belarussian wasn’t able to convert 1 break point in the 4th game (0-3 30-40).

They contested 51 points. The Estonian won 9 more points than Sabalenka (30-21). Kanepi surrendered 5 points on serve (17-5). On the losing side, Aryna conceded 13 points on serve (16-13).

Kanepi was quite dominant at the beginning of the set to break Aryna Sabalenka in the 1st game (1-0). Nevertheless, there was more to do for the Estonian to win the set as Sabalenka managed to break back in the 8th (4-4) and in the 10th (5-5) game. Kaia maintained her focus before winning the set at the tiebreak at 7.

Kanepi failed to serve out the set when leading 5-4 to be broken at 40.

Tiebreak

Kanepi won 5 minibreaks in the 4th (3-1), 12th (6-6), 13th (7-6), 16th (9-7) and 17th (10-7) point. On the other side, Sabalenka won 3 minibreaks in the 10th (5-5), 11th (6-5) and 14th (7-7) point.

This was the tiebreak sequence: 0-1, 1-1, 2-1, 3-1, 3-2, 4-2, 5-2, 5-3, 5-4, 5-5, 5-6, 6-6, 7-6, 7-7, 8-7, 9-7, 10-7

The Estonian converted 33% of her break points (2/6). She had 6 break points opportunities in the 1st (0-0 15-40), the 7th (4-2 15-40, 30-40, 40-A and 40-A) and the 9th game (4-4 0-40). Kanepi saved 1 set point when she was trailing 5-6. Furthermore, on the other side, Aryna converted 50% of her break points (2/4). She had her opportunities in the 8th (3-4 40-A and 40-A) and the 10th game (4-5 40-A and 40-A).

They contested 93 points. Kanepi was the one to win the set after conquering 7 points more than the Belarussian (50-43). The Estonian lost 19 points on serve (32-19). on the other side of the net, the Belarussian conceded 18 points on serve (24-18).

 

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