Rafael Nadal and Denis Shapovalov will clash against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.41
Denis Shapovalov -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Denis Shapovalov
This will be the 5th time that Rafael Nadal and Denis Shapovalov square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but Shapovalov has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Nadal won 3-6 6-4 7-6(3) in the 3rd round in Rome back in 2021.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Denis Shapovalov – Rome 13-May-2021
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-7 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Nadal got to the quarter after defeating Marcos Giron 6-1 6-4 6-2, Yannick Hanfmann 6-2 6-3 6-4, Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1 and Adrian Mannarino 7-614 6-2 6-2.
In the 4th round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (7-614 6-2 6-2). During the match, Nadal scored 107 points vs Mannarino’s 85. Rafael was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal blasted 16 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was quite efficient on serve to win 88% (42/48) of his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Mannarino 5 times after converting 29% of his break points (5/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Nadal has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (452-87). 7-0 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has an aggregate 183-43 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3.
Nadal has an overall 7-0 win-loss record in 2022, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-24 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-15 | 8-6 | 5-2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Shapovalov got to the quarter after beating Laslo Djere 7-63 6-4 3-6 7-63, Soon-Woo Kwon 7-66 6-73 6-76 7-5 6-2, Reilly Opelka 7-64 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 7-65 6-3.
In the 4th round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 7-65 6-3). During the match Shapovalov scored 104 points vs Zverev’s 88. Denis was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Shapovalov scored 3 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 63% of his first serves in, winning 77% (50/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (18/39) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Zverev 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Canadian has a composed 7-1 win-loss record in 2022, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 16 |
| Tot Games | 114 | 177 |
| Pts | 418-308 | 587-524 |
| Total Points | 726 | 1111 |
| Winners | 175 | 264 |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% |
Both Nadal and Shapovalov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal conceded 1 set, while Denis Shapovalov lost 4 sets. Nadal has played 3 set(s) less than Shapovalov (13 vs 16). Therefore, Nadal played 63 games less than Shapovalov. Nadal scored 175 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Denis fired 264 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 55 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 13.8 |
| 1st in | 211/343 | 327/534 |
| %1st in | 62% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 175/211 | 264/327 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 80/132 | 103/207 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 50% |
Nadal made 28 aces (7 per match). Shapovalov made 55 aces (13.8 per match). Nadal won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 18 |
| Converted | 19/57 | 18/47 |
| % Converted | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded | 11 | 23 |
| Saved | 9 | 11 |
| % Saved | 82% | 48% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 12 |
Nadal broke his opponents 19 times with a 33% conversion rate. Rafael surrendered his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Denis broke his opponents 18 times with a 38% conversion rate. Denis conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 48% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||||
| R1 Giron |
R2 Hanfmann |
R3 Khachanov |
R4 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1 | 7-614 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 27 | 33 | 29 | 114 | |
| pts | 91-55 | 102-79 | 118-89 | 107-85 | 418-308 | |
| Total points | 146 | 181 | 207 | 192 | 726 | |
| Winners | 43 | 35 | 55 | 42 | 175 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 34% | 47% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 51/72 | 46/85 | 66/98 | 48/88 | 211/343 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 54% | 67% | 55% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 43/51 | 35/46 | 55/66 | 42/48 | 175/211 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 76% | 83% | 88% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 25/39 | 18/32 | 24/40 | 80/132 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 64% | 56% | 60% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/16 | 5/15 | 5/17 | 19/57 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 25% | 33% | 29% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 80% | 50% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Shapovalov | ||||||
| R1 Djere |
R2 Kwon |
R3 Opelka |
R4 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 3-6 7-63 | 7-66 6-73 6-76 7-5 6-2 | 7-64 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Tot Games | 45 | 59 | 42 | 31 | 177 | |
| pts | 142-133 | 200-179 | 141-124 | 104-88 | 587-524 | |
| Total points | 275 | 379 | 265 | 192 | 1111 | |
| Winners | 58 | 97 | 59 | 50 | 264 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 42% | 48% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 55 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31 | |
| 1st in | 71/126 | 120/181 | 71/123 | 65/104 | 327/534 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 66% | 58% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 58/71 | 97/120 | 59/71 | 50/65 | 264/327 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 81% | 83% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/55 | 26/61 | 31/52 | 18/39 | 103/207 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 43% | 60% | 46% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 7/19 | 3/12 | 4/6 | 18/47 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 37% | 25% | 67% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 43% | 60% | 60% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLLW
WWWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Pablo Andujar/Pedro Martinez PorteroAndujar/Pedro Martinez Portero (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Pablo AndujarAndujar (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Maxime CressyCressy – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-2 6-76 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-0 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benoit PairePaire (6-3 7-5 6-72 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Andrey RublevRublev (7-5 7-63 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 1-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 7-5 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (6-2 7-63 4-6 2-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (7-64 6-74 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Cristian GarinGarin (7-64 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-78 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-64 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Rafael NadalNadal (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime CressyCressy – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
