[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Alex De Minaur’s draw vs Sinner, Tsitsipas, Medvedev, Nadal to win Australian Open

Australian Open draw preview with H2H - Alex De Minaur may need to oust Jannik Sinner, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Daniil Medvedev, Rafael Nadal to conquer the tournament in the Australian Open.

Alex De Minaur Stats info

Alex De Minaur is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Australian Open. The Australian has defeated Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3, Kamil Majchrzak 6-4 6-4 6-2 and Pablo Andujar 6-4 6-4 6-2 to reach the 4th round where he will face Jannik Sinner.

Draw Prediction with head to head records

This is Alex De Minaur’s projected draw including the presumable opposition in Australian Open. Alex has a weak record (1-17) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Lorenzo Musetti (60) – 3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3
R2 – Kamil Majchrzak (107) – 6-4 6-4 6-2
R3 – Pablo Andujar (83) – 6-4 6-4 6-2
R4 – Jannik Sinner (10) – H2H 0-2
1/4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas (4) – H2H 1-8
or Taylor Harry Fritz (22) – H2H 4-1
1/2 – Daniil Medvedev (2) – H2H 0-4
or Felix Auger Aliassime (9) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Rafael Nadal (5) – H2H 0-3
or Matteo Berrettini (7) – H2H 2-1
De Minaur
Latest Updated
Draw

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R4 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Jannik Sinner

47 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 6-0 win-loss record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 5 years, Sinner has a 55-28 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year in Australian Open the Italian capitulated to Denis Shapovalov in the 1st round 3-6 6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Jannik Sinner

This contest would be 3rd time that Alex De Minaur and Jannik Sinner play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-1 for Stefanos Tsitsipas

61 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0
2020 29-14 11-6 11-3 7-5 0-0 0-0
2019 54-25 22-12 15-5 15-5 2-3 0-0
2018 56-30 19-13 15-6 16-8 6-3 0-0
2017 57-31 14-8 25-12 14-8 4-3 0-0
2016 49-18 16-7 30-6 1-3 0-0 2-2
2015 32-18 23-14 9-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 4-1 record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. Regarding the previous 8 years, Stefanos has a 135-69 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year in Australian Open Stefanos was defeated by Daniil Medvedev in the semifinal 6-4 6-2 7-5.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

This match would represent the 10th time that Alex De Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas play each other. The head to head is 8-1 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Alex De Minaur could compete against Taylor Harry Fritz. Their H2H record is 4-1 for Alex De Minaur.

1/2 – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Daniil Medvedev

45 - 19win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0
2017 28-28 8-11 0-4 10-9 10-4 0-0
2016 69-27 15-6 13-7 23-8 9-3 9-3
2015 53-26 23-10 17-8 7-6 0-0 6-2

Daniil Medvedev has a 6-1 record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. As for the previous 10 years, Medvedev has a 161-55 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year in Australian Open Medvedev capitulated to Novak Djokovic in the final 7-5 6-2 6-2.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Alex De Minaur could fight against Felix Auger Aliassime. Their H2H is 1-1.

Final – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 7-0 win-loss record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. In the last 20 years, Rafael has a 425-106 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

His most significant result of this year was conquering the tournament in Melbourne where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3.

Last year in Australian Open Rafael capitulated to Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarter 3-6 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 7-5.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Rafael Nadal

This contest would be 4th time that Alex De Minaur and Rafael Nadal play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Alex De Minaur could play Matteo Berrettini. Their H2H record is 2-1 for Alex De Minaur.