Elise Mertens and Danielle Rose Collins will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.9
Danielle Rose Collins -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Danielle Rose Collins
This will be the 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Danielle Rose Collins face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Collins won 6-2 6-4 in the 3rd round in Chicago back in 2021.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 17-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Elise got to the 4th round after defeating Vera Zvonareva 6-4 7-5, Irina-Camelia Begu 6-3 6-2 and Shuai Zhang 6-2 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-2 6-2). During the match, Mertens scored 59 points vs Zhang’s 35. Mertens was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mertens blasted 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Elise Mertens was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of her 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Mertens broke Zhang 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Mertens has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (361-190). 4-1 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Mertens has an aggregate 203-91 match record in the last years on hard.
Elise has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Danielle Rose Collins
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-17 | 20-10 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, the American reached the 4th round after defeating Caroline Dolehide 6-1 6-3, Ana Konjuh 6-4 6-3 and Clara Tauson 4-6 6-4 7-5.
In the 3rd round against Tauson, Danielle recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-5). During the match Collins scored 105 points vs Tauson’s 92. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Collins managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Collins put 57% of her first serves in, winning 81% (43/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (19/40) on the 2nd serve. Danielle broke Tauson 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Danielle started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Collins has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 67 |
| Pts | 202-145 | 238-185 |
| Total Points | 347 | 423 |
| Winners | 78 | 97 |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% |
Both Mertens and Collins played 3 matches. At the moment, Danielle Rose Collins surrendered 1 set while Elise Mertens hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mertens has played 1 set(s) less than Collins (6 vs 7). Therefore, Mertens played 12 games less than Collins. Elise scored 78 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Collins made 97 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 108/173 | 127/211 |
| %1st in | 62% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 78/108 | 97/127 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 39/65 | 46/84 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 55% |
Mertens managed to score 16 aces (5.3 per match). Collins struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Mertens won 72% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 12 |
| Converted | 12/18 | 12/25 |
| % Converted | 67% | 48% |
| Conceded | 8 | 17 |
| Saved | 5 | 12 |
| % Saved | 63% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Elise broke her opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. Mertens dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Danielle conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | |||||
| R1 Zvonareva |
R2 Begu |
R3 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 16 | 55 | |
| pts | 80-68 | 63-42 | 59-35 | 202-145 | |
| Total points | 148 | 105 | 94 | 347 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 21 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 1 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 43/73 | 37/59 | 28/41 | 108/173 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 63% | 68% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 28/37 | 21/28 | 78/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 76% | 75% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 13/22 | 10/13 | 39/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 59% | 77% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/4 | 5/8 | 12/18 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 63% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 50% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Collins | |||||
| R1 Dolehide |
R2 Konjuh |
R3 Tauson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 32 | 67 | |
| pts | 64-40 | 69-53 | 105-92 | 238-185 | |
| Total points | 104 | 122 | 197 | 423 | |
| Winners | 23 | 31 | 43 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 32/51 | 42/67 | 53/93 | 127/211 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | 57% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 31/42 | 43/53 | 97/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 74% | 81% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 15/25 | 19/40 | 46/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 60% | 48% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/3 | 4/13 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 100% | 31% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 80% | 50% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLWLWW
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- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elise MertensMertens (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Alize CornetCornet (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Madison KeysKeys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
