Maria Sakkari and Jessica Pegula will square off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.74
Jessica Pegula -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 3rd time that Maria Sakkari and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sakkari won 6-4 2-6 7-6(6) in the 4th round in Miami back in 2021.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-8 | 12-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Greek got to the 4th round after beating Tatjana Maria 6-4 7-62, Qinwen Zheng 6-1 6-4 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-4 6-1.
In the 3rd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-4 6-1). During the match, Sakkari scored 63 points vs Kudermetova’s 42. Maria was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari blasted 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Maria Sakkari was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sakkari broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maria started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (334-208). 4-1 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sakkari has an overall157-103 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Sakkari has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-6 | 11-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the American got to the 4th round after beating Anhelina Kalinina 4-6 7-61 7-5, Bernarda Pera 6-4 6-4 and Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 7-63 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Parrizas-Diaz (7-63 6-2). During the match Pegula scored 67 points vs Parrizas-Diaz’s 58. The American was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Pegula fired 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 57% of her first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Parrizas-Diaz 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Pegula has an aggregate 3-2 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 76 |
| Pts | 214-163 | 257-238 |
| Total Points | 377 | 495 |
| Winners | 77 | 91 |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% |
Both Sakkari and Pegula played 3 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula dropped 1 set while Maria Sakkari hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sakkari has played 1 set(s) less than Pegula (6 vs 7). Therefore, Sakkari played 19 games less than Pegula. The Greek scored 77 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 91 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 105/168 | 149/255 |
| %1st in | 63% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 77/105 | 91/149 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 36/63 | 65/106 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 61% |
Sakkari managed to score 11 aces (3.7 per match). Pegula recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Sakkari won 73% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 12 |
| Converted | 12/23 | 12/31 |
| % Converted | 52% | 39% |
| Conceded | 7 | 31 |
| Saved | 4 | 23 |
| % Saved | 57% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
Sakkari broke her opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Sakkari conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponents 12 times with a 39% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||||
| R1 Maria |
R2 Zheng |
R3 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-62 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 17 | 17 | 57 | |
| pts | 80-69 | 71-52 | 63-42 | 214-163 | |
| Total points | 149 | 123 | 105 | 377 | |
| Winners | 32 | 25 | 20 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% | 32% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 44/73 | 35/51 | 26/44 | 105/168 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 69% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 25/35 | 20/26 | 77/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 71% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 8/16 | 11/18 | 36/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 50% | 61% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/9 | 5/8 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 56% | 63% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 0% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Pegula | |||||
| R1 Kalinina |
R2 Pera |
R3 Parrizas-Diaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-61 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 20 | 21 | 76 | |
| pts | 119-115 | 71-65 | 67-58 | 257-238 | |
| Total points | 234 | 136 | 125 | 495 | |
| Winners | 41 | 26 | 24 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 37% | 36% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 7 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 66/116 | 46/74 | 37/65 | 149/255 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 62% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 41/66 | 26/46 | 24/37 | 91/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 57% | 65% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/50 | 19/28 | 16/28 | 65/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 68% | 57% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/17 | 4/7 | 4/7 | 12/31 | |
| Converted % | 24% | 57% | 57% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 10 | 7 | 31 | |
| Saved | 10/14 | 8/10 | 5/7 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 80% | 71% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLWW
WWLWWWLWWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Maddison InglisInglis (2-6 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Alize CornetCornet – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Shuai ZhangZhang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Clara TausonTauson (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Simona HalepHalep – Danka KovinicKovinic (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (4-6 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Qiang WangWang (4-6 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Clara TausonTauson (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Shuai ZhangZhang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Simona HalepHalep – Danka KovinicKovinic (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Alize CornetCornet – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Maddison InglisInglis (2-6 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elise MertensMertens (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Alize CornetCornet (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
