Rafael Nadal and Adrian Mannarino will face off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.053
Adrian Mannarino -> 12.25
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 3rd time that Rafael Nadal and Adrian Mannarino face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Nadal won 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2019.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Adrian Mannarino – Paris 30-October-2019
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Rafael got to the 4th round after defeating Marcos Giron 6-1 6-4 6-2, Yannick Hanfmann 6-2 6-3 6-4 and Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1). During the match, Nadal scored 118 points vs Khachanov’s 89. Rafael was quite aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nadal blasted 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was very effective on serve to win 83% (55/66) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Khachanov 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Nadal has a fantastic record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (451-87). 6-0 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nadal has an aggregate 182-43 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Melbourne where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3.
Nadal has an overall 6-0 win-loss record in 2022, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 8-7 | 0-3 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, the French player got to the 4th round after beating James Duckworth 6-4 2-6 3-6 6-2 6-1, Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 6-2 6-3 and Aslan Karatsev 7-64 6-74 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Adrian defeated Karatsev (7-64 6-74 7-5 6-4). During the match Mannarino scored 174 points vs Karatsev’s 168. Mannarino was quite aggressive to blast 66 winners.
About the serving games, Mannarino managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (66/93) of his 1st serve and 61% (38/62) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The French player broke Karatsev 5 times after converting 21% of his break points (5/24).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Adrian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Adrian has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 117 |
| Pts | 311-223 | 418-371 |
| Total Points | 534 | 789 |
| Winners | 133 | 163 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Both Nadal and Mannarino played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal dropped 1 set, while Adrian Mannarino dropped 3 sets. Nadal has played 2 set(s) less than Mannarino (10 vs 12). Therefore, Nadal played 32 games less than Mannarino. The Spaniard scored 133 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Adrian blasted 163 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 11.7 |
| 1st in | 163/255 | 231/373 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 133/163 | 163/231 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 56/92 | 79/142 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 56% |
Nadal blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Mannarino struck 35 aces (11.7 per match). Nadal won 82% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 19 |
| Converted | 14/40 | 19/53 |
| % Converted | 35% | 36% |
| Conceded | 9 | 36 |
| Saved | 8 | 26 |
| % Saved | 89% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 10 |
Nadal broke his opponents 14 times with a 35% conversion rate. Nadal surrendered his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 19 times with a 36% conversion rate. Adrian conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | |||||
| R1 Giron |
R2 Hanfmann |
R3 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 27 | 33 | 85 | |
| pts | 91-55 | 102-79 | 118-89 | 311-223 | |
| Total points | 146 | 181 | 207 | 534 | |
| Winners | 43 | 35 | 55 | 133 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 34% | 47% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 51/72 | 46/85 | 66/98 | 163/255 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 54% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 43/51 | 35/46 | 55/66 | 133/163 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 76% | 83% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 25/39 | 18/32 | 56/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 64% | 56% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/16 | 5/15 | 14/40 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 25% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 80% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mannarino | |||||
| R1 Duckworth |
R2 Hurkacz |
R3 Karatsev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 3-6 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 6-3 | 7-64 6-74 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 42 | 27 | 48 | 117 | |
| pts | 141-125 | 103-78 | 174-168 | 418-371 | |
| Total points | 266 | 181 | 342 | 789 | |
| Winners | 55 | 42 | 66 | 163 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 18 | 6 | 11 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 79/129 | 59/89 | 93/155 | 231/373 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 66% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 55/79 | 42/59 | 66/93 | 163/231 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 71% | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/50 | 17/30 | 38/62 | 79/142 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 57% | 61% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 8 | 6 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 8/15 | 6/14 | 5/24 | 19/53 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 43% | 21% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 10 | 9 | 36 | |
| Saved | 11/17 | 9/10 | 6/9 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 65% | 90% | 67% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWW
LLWLLLWWLW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Rafael NadalNadal – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 7-5 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (7-64 6-74 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (6-2 7-63 4-6 2-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-64 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Cristian GarinGarin (7-64 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-78 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo AndujarAndujar – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Benoit PairePaire – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Marin CilicCilic (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel EvansEvans – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Maxime CressyCressy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Rafael NadalNadal (0-2) – H2H and prediction
