Andrey Rublev and Marin Cilic will play each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 9:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.34
Marin Cilic -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Marin Cilic
This will be the 6th time that Andrey Rublev and Marin Cilic fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Rublev won 5-7 6-3 6-1 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2021.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-7 | 13-5 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Rublev got to the 3rd round after beating Gianluca Mager 6-3 6-2 6-2 and Richard Berankis 6-4 6-2 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Berankis (6-4 6-2 6-0). During the match, Rublev scored 103 points vs Berankis’s 72. Andrey was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev recorded 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Andrey Rublev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (34/40) of his 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Berankis 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (330-190). 2-0 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a composed 125-67 match record in the last years on hard.
Rublev has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Marin Cilic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-21 | 16-10 | 9-5 | 4-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 13-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Marin got to the 3rd round after defeating Emilio Gomez 6-3 6-1 6-2 and Norbert Gombos 6-2 6-3 3-6 7-66.
In the 2nd round, The Croatian had a good straight sets win against Gombos (6-2 6-3 3-6 7-66). During the match Cilic scored 127 points vs Gombos’s 103. Marin was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.
About the serving games, Cilic overwhelmed his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Marin Cilic was quite effective on serve to win 86% (51/59) of his 1st serve and 62% (29/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Cilic broke Gombos 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Croatian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Marin’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
Cilic has a composed 6-2 win-loss record in 2022, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 63 |
| Pts | 189-131 | 213-156 |
| Total Points | 320 | 369 |
| Winners | 64 | 86 |
| %Winners | 34% | 40% |
Both Rublev and Cilic played 2 matches. At the moment, Marin Cilic lost 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rublev has played 1 set(s) less than Cilic (6 vs 7). Therefore, Rublev played 14 games less than Cilic. Rublev scored 64 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Marin recorded 86 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 37 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 18.5 |
| 1st in | 77/144 | 100/175 |
| %1st in | 53% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 64/77 | 86/100 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 38/67 | 43/75 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 57% |
Rublev managed to score 26 aces (13 per match). Cilic scored 37 aces (18.5 per match). Rublev won 83% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Cilic won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 11 |
| Converted | 13/25 | 11/19 |
| % Converted | 52% | 58% |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 |
| Saved | 8 | 3 |
| % Saved | 89% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Rublev broke his opponents 13 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. The Croatian broke his opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Cilic conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R1 Mager |
R2 Berankis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 24 | 49 | |
| pts | 86-59 | 103-72 | 189-131 | |
| Total points | 145 | 175 | 320 | |
| Winners | 30 | 34 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 33% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 37/64 | 40/80 | 77/144 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 50% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 34/40 | 64/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 85% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 21/40 | 38/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 53% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 6/15 | 13/25 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 40% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cilic | ||||
| R1 Gomez |
R2 Gombos |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 3-6 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 39 | 63 | |
| pts | 86-53 | 127-103 | 213-156 | |
| Total points | 139 | 230 | 369 | |
| Winners | 35 | 51 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 17 | 20 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/69 | 59/106 | 100/175 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 35/41 | 51/59 | 86/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 29/47 | 43/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 62% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 4/8 | 11/19 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 50% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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