Iga Swiatek and Daria Kasatkina will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.58
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Daria Kasatkina square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kasatkina won 4-6 6-0 6-1 in the 2nd round in Eastbourne back in 2021.
Highlights Daria Kasatkina vs Iga Swiatek – Eastbourne 23-June-2021
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-4 | 22-3 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Pole got to the 3rd round after defeating Harriet Dart 6-3 6-0 and Rebecca Peterson 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Iga had a good straight sets win against Peterson (6-2 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 64 points vs Peterson’s 42. Swiatek was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once. Furthermore, Swiatek put 65% of her first serves in, winning 67% (22/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Peterson 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Swiatek started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 62% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 76% of her matches (155-48). 5-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a composed54-24 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Iga’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Pole has an aggregate 5-1 win-loss record in 2022, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-9 | 12-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Stefanie Voegele 6-3 6-1 and Magda Linette 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-2 6-3). During the match Kasatkina scored 68 points vs Linette’s 48. Darya was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Daria Kasatkina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 74% of her first serves in, winning 85% (34/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Linette 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.
The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne and Sydney.
The Russian has an aggregate 8-2 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 33 |
| Pts | 127-79 | 135-91 |
| Total Points | 206 | 226 |
| Winners | 41 | 62 |
| %Winners | 32% | 46% |
Both Swiatek and Kasatkina played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Kasatkina have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Swiatek played 2 games less than Kasatkina. Swiatek scored 41 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 62 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 58/95 | 76/112 |
| %1st in | 61% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 41/58 | 62/76 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 25/37 | 13/36 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 36% |
Swiatek struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Kasatkina also made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Swiatek won 71% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 10 |
| Converted | 10/16 | 10/17 |
| % Converted | 63% | 59% |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 71% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. Iga dropped her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Darya conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||
| R1 Dart |
R2 Peterson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 31 | |
| pts | 63-37 | 64-42 | 127-79 | |
| Total points | 100 | 106 | 206 | |
| Winners | 19 | 22 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 34% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 25/44 | 33/51 | 58/95 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 65% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 22/33 | 41/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 12/18 | 25/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 67% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/9 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 56% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 0% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Voegele |
R2 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 33 | |
| pts | 67-43 | 68-48 | 135-91 | |
| Total points | 110 | 116 | 226 | |
| Winners | 28 | 34 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 50% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/58 | 40/54 | 76/112 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 74% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 34/40 | 62/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/22 | 5/14 | 13/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 4/6 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 67% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 4/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Simona HalepHalep – Danka KovinicKovinic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Alize CornetCornet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Maddison InglisInglis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
