Kaia Kanepi and Maddison Inglis will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kaia Kanepi who should win in 2 sets.
Kaia Kanepi -> 1.47
Maddison Inglis -> 2.85
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Prediction and head to head Kaia Kanepi vs. Maddison Inglis
There is no head to head record between Kaia Kanepi and Maddison Inglis since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Kaia Kanepi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-22 | 6-10 | 11-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-19 | 15-11 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-14 | 16-8 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-5 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 115, the Estonian reached the 3rd round after defeating Angelique Kerber 6-4 6-3 and Marie Bouzkova 6-2 7-63.
In the 2nd round, The Estonian had a good straight sets win against Bouzkova (6-2 7-63). During the match, Kanepi scored 72 points vs Bouzkova’s 58. Kaia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kanepi recorded 3 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Kaia Kanepi lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kanepi put 48% of her first serves in, winning 72% (21/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Kaia broke Bouzkova 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Estonian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Kanepi has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (207-109). 3-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kanepi has an overall 84-50 match record in the last years on hard.
Kanepi has a composed 3-1 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Maddison Inglis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-28 | 28-23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-24 | 36-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 1-2 |
| 2023 | 35-24 | 23-16 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 18-16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-23 | 11-13 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133, Inglis reached the 3rd round after defeating Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-2 and Hailey Baptiste 7-64 2-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Inglis defeated Baptiste (7-64 2-6 6-2). During the match Inglis scored 90 points vs Baptiste’s 88. Maddison was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Inglis struck 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maddison Inglis lost the serve 6 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Inglis put 64% of her first serves in, winning 52% (27/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Baptiste 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Inglis started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Maddison has a compiled 5-2 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2016 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kanepi | Inglis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 47 |
| Pts | 145-117 | 160-142 |
| Total Points | 262 | 302 |
| Winners | 46 | 62 |
| %Winners | 32% | 39% |
Both Kanepi and Inglis played 2 matches. At the moment, Maddison Inglis surrendered 1 set while Kaia Kanepi hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kanepi has played 1 set(s) less than Inglis (4 vs 5). Therefore, Kanepi played 7 games less than Inglis. The Estonian scored 46 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Maddison bagged 62 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kanepi | Inglis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 70/131 | 100/145 |
| %1st in | 53% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 46/70 | 62/100 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 33/61 | 25/45 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 56% |
Kanepi recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Inglis blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Kanepi won 66% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Inglis won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kanepi | Inglis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 9 |
| Converted | 9/20 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 38% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Kanepi broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Kaia lost her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. Maddison broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Inglis conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kanepi | ||||
| R1 Kerber | R2 Bouzkova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 40 | |
| pts | 73-59 | 72-58 | 145-117 | |
| Total points | 132 | 130 | 262 | |
| Winners | 25 | 21 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 29% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 9 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 29/60 | 70/131 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 48% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 21/29 | 46/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 72% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 15/31 | 33/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 48% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/11 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 25% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Inglis | ||||
| R1 Annie | R2 Baptiste | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-64 2-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 29 | 47 | |
| pts | 70-54 | 90-88 | 160-142 | |
| Total points | 124 | 178 | 302 | |
| Winners | 35 | 27 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 30% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 48/64 | 52/81 | 100/145 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 64% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 35/48 | 27/52 | 62/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 52% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 17/29 | 25/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 6/13 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 46% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (7-63 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysKeys – Qiang WangWang (4-6 6-3 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 5-7 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Clara TausonTauson – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Shuai ZhangZhang (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Danka KovinicKovinic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Alize CornetCornet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Maddison InglisInglis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction