Kaia Kanepi and Maddison Inglis will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kaia Kanepi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Kaia Kanepi is the pick to win this match.
Kaia Kanepi -> 1.47
Maddison Inglis -> 2.85

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Prediction and head to head Kaia Kanepi vs. Maddison Inglis

There is no head to head record between Kaia Kanepi and Maddison Inglis since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Kaia Kanepi

Kaia Kanepi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
578
High
15
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 0-3 0-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 17-22 6-10 11-9 0-2 0-1 0-0
2022 29-19 15-11 10-4 3-1 1-3 0-0
2021 23-14 16-8 6-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2020 17-5 1-3 6-1 10-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 115, the Estonian reached the 3rd round after defeating Angelique Kerber 6-4 6-3 and Marie Bouzkova 6-2 7-63.

In the 2nd round, The Estonian had a good straight sets win against Bouzkova (6-2 7-63). During the match, Kanepi scored 72 points vs Bouzkova’s 58. Kaia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kanepi recorded 3 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Kaia Kanepi lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kanepi put 48% of her first serves in, winning 72% (21/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Kaia broke Bouzkova 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Estonian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.

Kanepi has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (207-109). 3-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kanepi has an overall 84-50 match record in the last years on hard.

Kanepi has a composed 3-1 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Kanepi's Record

Maddison Inglis

Maddison Inglis

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
177
High
112
LWLWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-28 28-23 1-2 0-0 2-3 0-0
2024 46-24 36-18 0-0 0-0 9-4 1-2
2023 35-24 23-16 4-3 0-0 8-5 0-0
2022 23-24 18-16 0-5 0-0 5-3 0-0
2021 16-23 11-13 4-5 0-2 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 133, Inglis reached the 3rd round after defeating Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-2 and Hailey Baptiste 7-64 2-6 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Inglis defeated Baptiste (7-64 2-6 6-2). During the match Inglis scored 90 points vs Baptiste’s 88. Maddison was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Inglis struck 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maddison Inglis lost the serve 6 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Inglis put 64% of her first serves in, winning 52% (27/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Baptiste 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Inglis started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Maddison has a compiled 5-2 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2016 and 2021. See her history.

Australian Open
Inglis's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

K.Kanepi
M.Inglis
2h:56
2h:56
Time on court​
3h:30
3h:30
1h:36
1h:36
Last match​
!
2h:07
2h:07
2
2
Match played
2
2
40
40
Games Played​
47
47
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
145
145
Total points​
160
160
72.5
72.5
Avg point​
80
80
46
46
Winners
62
62
23
23
Avg Winners​
31
31
32%
32%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
4
4
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
2
2
10
10
Double Faults
6
6
5
5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
46/70
46/70
1st won total​
62/100
62/100
66%
66%
1st won %
62%
62%
33/61
33/61
2nd won total​
25/45
25/45
54%
54%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
9/20
9/20
BP won
9/18
9/18
4.5/10
4.5/10
Avg BP won
4.5/9
4.5/9
45%
45%
Won
50%
50%
8
8
Conceded
12
12
4
4
Avg Conceded
6
6
5
5
Broken
6
6
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
3
3
3
3
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kanepi Inglis
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 40 47
Pts 145-117 160-142
Total Points 262 302
Winners 46 62
%Winners 32% 39%

Both Kanepi and Inglis played 2 matches. At the moment, Maddison Inglis surrendered 1 set while Kaia Kanepi hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kanepi has played 1 set(s) less than Inglis (4 vs 5). Therefore, Kanepi played 7 games less than Inglis. The Estonian scored 46 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Maddison bagged 62 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kanepi Inglis
Aces 7 4
Avg per match 3.5 2
1st in 70/131 100/145
%1st in 53% 69%
1st pts 46/70 62/100
%1st pts 66% 62%
2nd pts 33/61 25/45
%2nd pts 54% 56%

Kanepi recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Inglis blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Kanepi won 66% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Inglis won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kanepi Inglis
Won 9 9
Converted 9/20 9/18
% Converted 45% 50%
Conceded 8 12
Saved 3 6
% Saved 38% 50%
Times Broken 5 6

Kanepi broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Kaia lost her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. Maddison broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Inglis conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Kanepi
R1
Kerber
R2
Bouzkova
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-2 7-63
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 21 40
pts 73-59 72-58 145-117
Total points 132 130 262
Winners 25 21 46
%Winners 34% 29% 32%
SERVE
Aces 4 3 7
Double Faults 1 9 10
1st in 41/71 29/60 70/131
% 1st in 58% 48% 53%
1st pts 25/41 21/29 46/70
% 1st pts 61% 72% 66%
2nd pts 18/30 15/31 33/61
% 2nd pts 60% 48% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/9 5/11 9/20
Converted % 44% 45% 45%
Conceded 4 4 8
Saved 2/4 1/4 3
Saved % 50% 25% 38%
Times Broken 2 3 5
Inglis
R1
Annie
R2
Baptiste
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 7-64 2-6 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 29 47
pts 70-54 90-88 160-142
Total points 124 178 302
Winners 35 27 62
%Winners 50% 30% 39%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 4
Double Faults 4 2 6
1st in 48/64 52/81 100/145
% 1st in 75% 64% 69%
1st pts 35/48 27/52 62/100
% 1st pts 73% 52% 62%
2nd pts 8/16 17/29 25/45
% 2nd pts 50% 59% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 6 9
Converted 3/5 6/13 9/18
Converted % 60% 46% 50%
Conceded 3 9 12
Saved 3/3 3/9 6
Saved % 100% 33% 67%
Times Broken 0 6 6

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw