H2H, PREDICTION Rafael Nadal vs Karen Khachanov | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Nadal and Khachanov will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Karen Khachanov

Rafael Nadal and Karen Khachanov will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.24
Karen Khachanov -> 4.45

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 8th time that Rafael Nadal and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 7-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Nadal won 6-3 7-6(7) in the Rubber 1 in Davis Cup, Finals, Group B back in 2019.

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
647
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 1-3 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Nadal reached the 3rd round after defeating Marcos Giron 6-1 6-4 6-2 and Yannick Hanfmann 6-2 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-2 6-3 6-4). During the match, Nadal scored 102 points vs Hanfmann’s 79. Nadal was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nadal scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 5 double faults. Rafael Nadal was very effective on serve to win 76% (35/46) of his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Hanfmann 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Nadal has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (450-87). 5-0 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a compiled 181-43 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3.

Rafael has a compiled 5-0 win-loss record in 2022, 5-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Nadal
Australian Open
Nadal's Record

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
16
High
8
LWWLLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-6 10-5 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0
2020 20-15 12-6 4-3 4-6 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 30, Karen reached the 3rd round after defeating Denis Kudla 3-6 6-3 6-2 7-62 and Benjamin Bonzi 6-4 6-0 7-5.

In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Bonzi (6-4 6-0 7-5). During the match Khachanov scored 108 points vs Bonzi’s 87. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Khachanov made 19 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 72% of his first serves in, winning 70% (47/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. Khachanov broke Bonzi 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karen started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Adelaide.

The Russian has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2022, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019, 2020 and 2021. See his history.

Khachanov
Australian Open
Khachanov's Record
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

R.Nadal
K.Khachanov
4h:31
4h:31
Time on court​
4h:33
4h:33
!
2h:42
2h:42
Last match​
!
2h:04
2h:04
2
2
Match played
2
2
52
52
Games Played​
67
67
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
193
193
Total points​
225
225
96.5
96.5
Avg point​
112.5
112.5
78
78
Winners
109
109
39
39
Avg Winners​
54.5
54.5
40%
40%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
36
36
4
4
Avg Aces
!
18
18
7
7
Double Faults
4
4
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
78/97
78/97
1st won total​
109/138
109/138
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
38/60
38/60
2nd won total​
31/61
31/61
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
9/25
9/25
BP won
10/24
10/24
4.5/12.5
4.5/12.5
Avg BP won
5/12
5/12
36%
36%
Won
42%
42%
4
4
Conceded
10
10
2
2
Avg Conceded
5
5
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
4
4
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Khachanov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 52 67
Pts 193-134 225-184
Total Points 327 409
Winners 78 109
%Winners 40% 48%

Both Nadal and Khachanov played 2 matches. At the moment, Karen Khachanov surrendered 1 set while Rafael Nadal hasn’t lost a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set(s) less than Khachanov (6 vs 7). Therefore, Nadal played 15 games less than Khachanov. Rafael scored 78 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 109 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Khachanov
Aces 8 36
Avg per match 4 18
1st in 97/157 138/199
%1st in 62% 69%
1st pts 78/97 109/138
%1st pts 80% 79%
2nd pts 38/60 31/61
%2nd pts 63% 51%

Nadal struck 8 aces (4 per match). Khachanov struck 36 aces (18 per match). Nadal won 80% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Khachanov
Won 9 10
Converted 9/25 10/24
% Converted 36% 42%
Conceded 4 10
Saved 4 7
% Saved 100% 70%
Times Broken 0 3

The Spaniard broke his opponents 9 times with a 36% conversion rate. Nadal was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 4 break points. Khachanov broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R1
Giron
R2
Hanfmann
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 25 27 52
pts 91-55 102-79 193-134
Total points 146 181 327
Winners 43 35 78
%Winners 47% 34% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 1 8
Double Faults 2 5 7
1st in 51/72 46/85 97/157
% 1st in 71% 54% 62%
1st pts 43/51 35/46 78/97
% 1st pts 84% 76% 80%
2nd pts 13/21 25/39 38/60
% 2nd pts 62% 64% 63%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/9 4/16 9/25
Converted % 56% 25% 36%
Conceded 2 2 4
Saved 2/2 2/2 4
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Khachanov
R1
Kudla
R2
Bonzi
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 6-2 7-62 6-4 6-0 7-5
Tot Set 4 3 7
Tot Games 39 28 67
pts 117-97 108-87 225-184
Total points 214 195 409
Winners 62 47 109
%Winners 53% 44% 48%
SERVE
Aces 17 19 36
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 71/106 67/93 138/199
% 1st in 67% 72% 69%
1st pts 62/71 47/67 109/138
% 1st pts 87% 70% 79%
2nd pts 17/35 14/26 31/61
% 2nd pts 49% 54% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 6 10
Converted 4/11 6/13 10/24
Converted % 36% 46% 42%
Conceded 6 4 10
Saved 4/6 3/4 7
Saved % 67% 75% 71%
Times Broken 2 1 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nadal
LWW
Khachanov
LWWLLWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
2 - 1
12 - 6
2-1
Hard
10-5
0-0
I Hard
2-1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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