Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz Garfia who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia -> 1.64
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 6-1 6-7(2) 7-6(5) in the quarter in Vienna back in 2021.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Matteo Berrettini – Vienna 29-October-2021
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Italian reached the 3rd round after beating Brandon Nakashima 4-6 6-2 7-65 6-3 and Stefan Kozlov 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Berrettini defeated Kozlov (6-1 4-6 6-4 6-1). During the match, Berrettini scored 124 points vs Kozlov’s 90. Berrettini was extremely aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Regarding the service games, Berrettini buried his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (55/70) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matteo broke Kozlov 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (251-126). 3-2 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Berrettini has an overall109-52 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Berrettini has an overall 3-2 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|
Ranked no. 31 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after beating Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 6-2 6-3 and Dusan Lajovic 6-2 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-2 6-1 7-5). During the match Alcaraz scored 100 points vs Lajovic’s 71. Alcaraz was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Alcaraz fired 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia was quite effective on serve to win 74% (45/61) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alcaraz broke Lajovic 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
The Spaniard has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 74 | 52 |
| Pts | 252-208 | 200-142 |
| Total Points | 460 | 342 |
| Winners | 112 | 78 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Both Berrettini and Alcaraz played 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini surrendered 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz Garfia hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Berrettini has played 2 sets more than Alcaraz (8 vs 6). Therefore, Berrettini played 22 games more than Alcaraz. Berrettini scored 112 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos bagged 78 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 42 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 21 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 148/229 | 103/151 |
| %1st in | 65% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 112/148 | 78/103 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 47/81 | 28/48 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 58% |
Berrettini fired 42 aces (21 per match). Alcaraz recorded 15 aces (7.5 per match). Berrettini won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 13 |
| Converted | 9/27 | 13/27 |
| % Converted | 33% | 48% |
| Conceded | 14 | 2 |
| Saved | 12 | 0 |
| % Saved | 86% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Carlos broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Kozlov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 7-65 6-3 | 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 40 | 34 | 74 | |
| pts | 128-118 | 124-90 | 252-208 | |
| Total points | 246 | 214 | 460 | |
| Winners | 57 | 55 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 21 | 21 | 42 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 78/129 | 70/100 | 148/229 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 57/78 | 55/70 | 112/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 79% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/51 | 17/30 | 47/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 6/16 | 9/27 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 38% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 4/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 80% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R1 Tabilo |
R2 Lajovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 27 | 52 | |
| pts | 100-71 | 100-71 | 200-142 | |
| Total points | 171 | 171 | 342 | |
| Winners | 33 | 45 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 45% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 3 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 42/68 | 61/83 | 103/151 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 45/61 | 78/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 74% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 13/22 | 28/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 59% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 6/11 | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 55% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWLW
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Marin CilicCilic – Norbert GombosGombos (6-2 6-3 3-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-66 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (w/o) – See score progression
- Maxime CressyCressy – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 3-6 6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber (6-1 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo AndujarAndujar – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 7-66 0-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Richard BerankisBerankis (6-4 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Corentin MoutetMoutet (3-6 6-4 6-72 7-5 7-66) – See score progression
- Radu AlbotAlbot – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-2 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (3-6 6-2 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Alexander BublikBublik (6-1 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-76 7-63 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (7-66 6-73 6-76 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Tommy PaulPaul (7-67 7-5 7-68) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-71 7-64 2-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – John MillmanMillman (6-4 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-2 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-4 6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Oscar OtteOtte (2-6 6-2 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Stefan KozlovKozlov (6-1 4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-4 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo AndujarAndujar – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 7-6(6) 0-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber (6-1 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Richard BerankisBerankis (6-4 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Norbert GombosGombos (6-2 6-3 3-6 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (w/o) – See score progression
- Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-6(6) 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Maxime CressyCressy – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 3-6 6-1 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Taro DanielDaniel (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Steve JohnsonJohnson – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Benoit PairePaire (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Christian GarinGarin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Radu AlbotAlbot (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Rafael NadalNadal (0-7) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo AndujarAndujar – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Marin CilicCilic (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Maxime CressyCressy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
