Elena Rybakina and Shuai Zhang will face off in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.24
Shuai Zhang -> 4.25

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Shuai Zhang

This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Shuai Zhang fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 6-3 6-2 in the quarter in Strasbourg back in 2020.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Shuai Zhang – Strasbourg 24-September-2020

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Elena got to the 2nd round after beating Zarina Diyas 6-73 7-63 6-1.

In the 1st round against Diyas, Rybakina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 7-63 6-1). During the match, Rybakina scored 119 points vs Diyas’s 101. Rybakina was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina scored 9 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (51/70) of her 1st serve and 57% (26/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Kazakhstani broke Diyas 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).

Rybakina has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (208-97). 6-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an overall84-44 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Rybakina’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Elena has an overall 6-1 win-loss record in 2022, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Rybakina's Record

Shuai Zhang

Shuai Zhang

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
102
High
22
WLWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-14 24-8 4-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2024 6-14 6-12 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 4-19 3-10 0-4 1-1 0-4 0-0
2022 39-31 17-14 4-7 10-7 8-3 0-0
2021 23-28 8-11 4-8 5-5 6-4 0-0

Ranked no. 74, the Chinese got to the 2nd round after defeating Viktorija Golubic 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, Zhang had a good straight sets win against Golubic (6-3 6-4). During the match Zhang scored 64 points vs Golubic’s 53. Shuai was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Zhang made 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Shuai Zhang lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zhang put 61% of her first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. Shuai broke Golubic 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

The Chinese has an aggregate 1-2 win-loss record in 2022, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See her history.

Australian Open
Zhang's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

E.Rybakina
S.Zhang
!
2h:35
2h:35
Time on court​
1h:17
1h:17
!
2h:35
2h:35
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
1
1
Match played
1
1
33
33
Games Played​
19
19
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
119
119
Total points​
64
64
119
119
Avg point​
64
64
51
51
Winners
27
27
51
51
Avg Winners​
27
27
43%
43%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
6
6
9
9
Avg Aces
6
6
5
5
Double Faults
1
1
5
5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
51/70
51/70
1st won total​
27/39
27/39
!
73%
73%
1st won %
69%
69%
26/46
26/46
2nd won total​
16/25
16/25
57%
57%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
3/6
3/6
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
33%
33%
Won
50%
50%
10
10
Conceded
3
3
10
10
Avg Conceded
3
3
2
2
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
8
8
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Zhang
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 33 19
Pts 119-101 64-53
Total Points 220 117
Winners 51 27
%Winners 43% 42%

Both Rybakina and Zhang played 1 match. At the moment, Elena Rybakina dropped 1 set while Shuai Zhang hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set more than Zhang (3 vs 2). Therefore, Rybakina played 14 games more than Zhang. The Kazakhstani scored 51 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Shuai scored 27 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Zhang
Aces 9 6
Avg per match 9 6
1st in 70/116 39/64
%1st in 60% 61%
1st pts 51/70 27/39
%1st pts 73% 69%
2nd pts 26/46 16/25
%2nd pts 57% 64%

Rybakina scored 9 aces . Zhang fired 6 aces . Rybakina won 73% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Zhang won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Zhang
Won 4 3
Converted 4/12 3/6
% Converted 33% 50%
Conceded 10 3
Saved 8 2
% Saved 80% 67%
Times Broken 2 1

The Kazakhstani broke her opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani surrendered her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Shuai broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R1
Diyas
Total
Score 6-73 7-63 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 33 33
pts 119-101 119-101
Total points 220 220
Winners 51 51
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 70/116 70/116
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 51/70 51/70
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 26/46 26/46
% 2nd pts 57% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 8/10 8
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 2 2
Zhang
R1
Golubic
Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 64-53 64-53
Total points 117 117
Winners 27 27
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 39/64 39/64
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 27/39 27/39
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 16/25 16/25
% 2nd pts 64% 64%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw