Elena Rybakina and Shuai Zhang will face off in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.24
Shuai Zhang -> 4.25
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Shuai Zhang
This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Shuai Zhang fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 6-3 6-2 in the quarter in Strasbourg back in 2020.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Shuai Zhang – Strasbourg 24-September-2020
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Elena got to the 2nd round after beating Zarina Diyas 6-73 7-63 6-1.
In the 1st round against Diyas, Rybakina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 7-63 6-1). During the match, Rybakina scored 119 points vs Diyas’s 101. Rybakina was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina scored 9 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (51/70) of her 1st serve and 57% (26/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Kazakhstani broke Diyas 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Rybakina has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (208-97). 6-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an overall84-44 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Rybakina’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Elena has an overall 6-1 win-loss record in 2022, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Shuai Zhang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-14 | 24-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 6-14 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 4-19 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 17-14 | 4-7 | 10-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-28 | 8-11 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, the Chinese got to the 2nd round after defeating Viktorija Golubic 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Zhang had a good straight sets win against Golubic (6-3 6-4). During the match Zhang scored 64 points vs Golubic’s 53. Shuai was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Zhang made 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Shuai Zhang lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zhang put 61% of her first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. Shuai broke Golubic 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
The Chinese has an aggregate 1-2 win-loss record in 2022, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 19 |
| Pts | 119-101 | 64-53 |
| Total Points | 220 | 117 |
| Winners | 51 | 27 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Rybakina and Zhang played 1 match. At the moment, Elena Rybakina dropped 1 set while Shuai Zhang hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set more than Zhang (3 vs 2). Therefore, Rybakina played 14 games more than Zhang. The Kazakhstani scored 51 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Shuai scored 27 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 6 |
| 1st in | 70/116 | 39/64 |
| %1st in | 60% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 51/70 | 27/39 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 26/46 | 16/25 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 64% |
Rybakina scored 9 aces . Zhang fired 6 aces . Rybakina won 73% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Zhang won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 |
| Saved | 8 | 2 |
| % Saved | 80% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani surrendered her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Shuai broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R1 Diyas | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 7-63 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 119-101 | 119-101 | |
| Total points | 220 | 220 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 70/116 | 70/116 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 51/70 | 51/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/46 | 26/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Zhang | |||
| R1 Golubic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-53 | 64-53 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 39/64 | 39/64 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 27/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Bernarda PeraPera (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Alison RiskeRiske (4-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-0 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysKeys – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vasek PospisilPospisil – Alexandr DolgopolovDolgopolov (7-62 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Janko TipsarevicTipsarevic (6-76 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ivo KarlovicKarlovic – Stefan KozlovKozlov (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gilles MullerMuller – Andreas SeppiSeppi (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aljaz BedeneBedene – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Belinda BencicBencic – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Maryna ZanevskaZanevska (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xiyu WangWang (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Harmony TanTan – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck – Qiang WangWang (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ana KonjuhKonjuh – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Heather WatsonWatson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Kristina KucovaKucova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Samantha StosurStosur – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Maddison InglisInglis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-1) – H2H and prediction