Alison Riske and Madison Keys will play each other in the final of the Adelaide International 2 for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.31
Alison Riske -> 3.74
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Prediction and head to head Alison Riske vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 7th time that Alison Riske and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Keys won 4-6 7-6(5) 6-2 in the 1st round in New York back in 2016.
Alison Riske
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-21 | 15-14 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-16 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 7-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-8 | 6-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 36-24 | 22-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 14-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, the American got to the final after defeating Magda Linette 6-4 6-4, Anhelina Kalinina 6-1 6-3, Madison Brengle 3-3 ret. and Tamara Zidansek w/o.
In the semifinal, Riske defeated Zidansek (w/o). During the match, Riske and Zidansek scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 57 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Alison was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Regarding the service games, Riske couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Alison Riske conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alison started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Riske has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (236-200). 3-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Riske has an aggregate 128-118 match record in the last years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
Alison has a compiled 3-1 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-8 | 3-2 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 87, Keys got to the final after beating Elina Svitolina 6-2 6-4, Tereza Martincova 6-1 6-3, Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 3-6 6-3 and Cori Gauff 3-6 6-2 7-5.
In the semifinal against Gauff, Madison recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 7-5). During the match Keys scored 111 points vs Gauff’s 102. Keys was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Keys recorded 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 65% of her first serves in, winning 78% (47/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Gauff 4 times after converting 24% of her break points (4/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Madison’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The American has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2022, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Riske | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 90 |
| Pts | 156-118 | 321-255 |
| Total Points | 274 | 576 |
| Winners | 70 | 134 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Riske played 3 matches while Keys competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Madison Keys surrendered 2 sets while Alison Riske hasn’t conceded a set so far. Riske has played 4 set(s) less than Keys (6 vs 10). Therefore, Riske played 48 games less than Keys. The American scored 70 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Keys made 134 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Riske | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 8.8 |
| 1st in | 102/142 | 172/261 |
| %1st in | 72% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 70/102 | 134/172 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 54/89 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 61% |
Riske blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Keys bagged 35 aces (8.8 per match). Riske won 69% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 78% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Riske | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 13 |
| Converted | 10/18 | 13/37 |
| % Converted | 56% | 35% |
| Conceded | 14 | 17 |
| Saved | 11 | 14 |
| % Saved | 79% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The American broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 13 times with a 35% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded.
| Riske | ||||||
| R1 Linette |
R2 Kalinina |
1/4 Brengle |
1/2 Zidansek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | 3-3 ret. | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 1 | – | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 | 6 | – | 42 | |
| pts | 74-60 | 61-38 | 21-20 | – | 156-118 | |
| Total points | 134 | 99 | 41 | – | 274 | |
| Winners | 32 | 29 | 9 | – | 70 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% | 43% | – | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 1 | – | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 0 | – | 4 | |
| 1st in | 48/66 | 39/56 | 15/20 | – | 102/142 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 70% | 75% | – | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 32/48 | 29/39 | 9/15 | – | 70/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 74% | 60% | – | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 8/17 | 3/5 | – | 20/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 47% | 60% | – | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 1 | – | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/9 | 1/1 | – | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 100% | – | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 4 | – | 14 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 3/4 | 4/4 | – | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 100% | – | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | – | 3 | |
| Keys | ||||||
| R1 Svitolina |
R2 Martincova |
1/4 Samsonova |
1/2 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 3-6 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 | 27 | 29 | 90 | |
| pts | 72-51 | 60-34 | 78-68 | 111-102 | 321-255 | |
| Total points | 123 | 94 | 146 | 213 | 576 | |
| Winners | 28 | 24 | 35 | 47 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 14 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/46 | 32/49 | 47/74 | 60/92 | 172/261 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 65% | 64% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 24/32 | 35/47 | 47/60 | 134/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 75% | 74% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 12/17 | 20/27 | 14/32 | 54/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 71% | 74% | 44% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 4/17 | 13/37 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 67% | 50% | 24% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/4 | 2/3 | 8/10 | 14 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 67% | 80% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWWW
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alison RiskeRiske – Madison KeysKeys (1-5) – H2H and prediction
