Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Baez will play each other in the 2nd round of the Sydney Tennis Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Sonego who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Sonego is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Sonego -> 1.63
Sebastian Baez -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Sonego vs. Sebastian Baez

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Baez since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
39
High
21
LWWWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-29 11-14 1-5 8-6 5-4 0-0
2024 27-33 10-14 10-11 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 30-31 10-12 9-7 9-8 2-4 0-0
2022 30-29 7-9 8-11 10-5 5-4 0-0
2021 30-24 9-11 9-4 6-6 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 27, Lorenzo reached the 2nd round after beating Hugo Gaston 3-6 6-3 7-5.

In the 1st round against Gaston, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Sonego scored 101 points vs Gaston’s 94. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sonego bagged 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Sonego lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sonego put 64% of his first serves in, winning 81% (44/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. Sonego broke Gaston 3 times after converting 21% of his break points (3/14).

Sonego has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (276-187). 1-0 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sonego has an aggregate48-43 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

Sonego has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Sydney

Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.

Sydney
Sonego's Record

Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
45
High
18
LLLLLWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-27 3-9 17-14 0-3 0-1 0-0
2024 31-28 5-9 26-11 0-5 0-3 0-0
2023 33-27 9-7 22-13 1-5 1-2 0-0
2022 35-32 6-12 27-12 0-6 2-2 0-0
2021 56-16 2-1 52-12 2-2 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 95 (career-high), Baez got to the 2nd round after beating Moerani Bouzige 6-3 7-5, Daniel Altmaier 7-64 7-5 and Christopher O Connell 6-2 1-6 7-64.

In the 1st round, The Argentine defeated O Connell (6-2 1-6 7-64). During the match Baez scored 95 points vs O Connell’s 90. Sebastian was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Baez managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 64% of his first serves in, winning 67% (40/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke O Connell 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

The Argentine has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2022, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Sydney
Baez's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Sonego
S.Baez
2h:42
2h:42
Time on court​
!
6h:03
6h:03
!
2h:42
2h:42
Last match​
!
2h:14
2h:14
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
30
30
Games Played​
74
74
3
3
Set played​​
7
7
101
101
Total points​
263
263
101
101
Avg point​
87.7
87.7
44
44
Winners
111
111
44
44
Avg Winners​
37
37
44%
44%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
12
12
8
8
Avg Aces
4
4
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
44/54
44/54
1st won total​
111/162
111/162
!
81%
81%
1st won %
69%
69%
13/30
13/30
2nd won total​
44/78
44/78
43%
43%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
3/14
3/14
BP won
11/29
11/29
3/14
3/14
Avg BP won
3.7/9.7
3.7/9.7
!
21%
21%
Won
38%
38%
3
3
Conceded
18
18
3
3
Avg Conceded
6
6
2
2
Broken
7
7
2
2
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
1
1
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sonego Baez
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 7
Tot Games 30 74
Pts 101-94 263-237
Total Points 195 500
Winners 44 111
%Winners 44% 42%

Sonego played 1 match while Baez competed in 3 matches. Baez started his run from the qualifications while Sonego had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Sonego lost 1 set, while Sebastian Baez dropped 1 set. Sonego has played 4 set(s) less than Baez (3 vs 7). Therefore, Sonego played 44 games less than Baez. Lorenzo scored 44 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian scored 111 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sonego Baez
Aces 8 12
Avg per match 8 4
1st in 54/84 162/240
%1st in 64% 68%
1st pts 44/54 111/162
%1st pts 81% 69%
2nd pts 13/30 44/78
%2nd pts 43% 56%

Sonego managed to score 8 aces . Baez managed to score 12 aces (4 per match). Sonego won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sonego Baez
Won 3 11
Converted 3/14 11/29
% Converted 21% 38%
Conceded 3 18
Saved 1 11
% Saved 33% 61%
Times Broken 2 7

Sonego broke his opponent 3 times with a 21% conversion rate. Sonego conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Baez broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

Sonego
R1
Gaston
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 101-94 101-94
Total points 195 195
Winners 44 44
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 54/84 54/84
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 44/54 44/54
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 13/30 13/30
% 2nd pts 43% 43%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/14 3/14
Converted % 21% 21%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2
Baez
Q1
Bouzige
Q3
Altmaier
R1
O
Total
Score 6-3 7-5 7-64 7-5 6-2 1-6 7-64
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 21 25 28 74
pts 73-59 95-88 95-90 263-237
Total points 132 183 185 500
Winners 30 41 40 111
%Winners 41% 43% 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 8 12
Double Faults 0 2 1 3
1st in 41/52 61/94 60/94 162/240
% 1st in 79% 65% 64% 68%
1st pts 30/41 41/61 40/60 111/162
% 1st pts 73% 67% 67% 69%
2nd pts 8/11 17/33 19/34 44/78
% 2nd pts 73% 52% 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4 3 11
Converted 4/13 4/12 3/4 11/29
Converted % 31% 33% 75% 38%
Conceded 2 6 10 18
Saved 1/2 3/6 7/10 11
Saved % 50% 50% 70% 170%
Times Broken 1 3 3 7

Tennis Scores in Sydney

Upcoming matches in the draw