Aidan Mchugh and Matteo Arnaldi will face off in the qualifications of the Forli 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on CITTA’ DI FORLI’. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aidan Mchugh who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aidan Mchugh is the pick to win this match.
Aidan Mchugh -> 1.64
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Aidan Mchugh vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Aidan Mchugh and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Aidan Mchugh
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-17 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 52-30 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-26 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 23-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-28 | 34-15 | 7-5 | 10-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 4-8 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 340, Aidan reached the qualifications after defeating Elmar Ejupovic 3-6 7-67 6-1.
In the qualifications against Ejupovic, The Brit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-67 6-1). During the match, Mchugh scored 92 points vs Ejupovic’s 81. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mchugh recorded 7 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aidan Mchugh was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (42/55) of his 1st serve and 67% (20/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Aidan broke Ejupovic twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Mchugh has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (108-80). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mchugh has a composed22-17 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
Aidan has a composed 2-1 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Forli 2 Challenger
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-8 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 363, Matteo reached the qualifications after defeating Lorenzo Angelini 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Angelini (7-5 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 76 points vs Angelini’s 66. Matteo was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Matteo broke Angelini 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
The Italian has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mchugh | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 22 |
| Pts | 92-81 | 76-66 |
| Total Points | 173 | 142 |
| Winners | 42 | 31 |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% |
Both Mchugh and Arnaldi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Aidan Mchugh surrendered 1 set while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mchugh has played 1 set more than Arnaldi (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mchugh played 7 games more than Arnaldi. Aidan scored 42 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo made 31 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mchugh | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 55/85 | 40/63 |
| %1st in | 65% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 31/40 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 12/23 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 52% |
Mchugh struck 7 aces . Arnaldi made 4 aces . Mchugh won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mchugh | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 29% | 33% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 33% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Brit broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Arnaldi conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mchugh | |||
| Q1 Ejupovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-67 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 92-81 | 92-81 | |
| Total points | 173 | 173 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 55/85 | 55/85 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 42/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 20/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Arnaldi | |||
| Q1 Angelini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 76-66 | 76-66 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 40/63 | 40/63 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 31/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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