Rafael Nadal and Maxime Cressy will play each other in the final of the Melbourne Summer Set for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 7:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.2
Maxime Cressy -> 5.05
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Maxime Cressy
There is no head to head record between Rafael Nadal and Maxime Cressy since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-3 | 2-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Rafael reached the final after beating Richard Berankis 6-2 7-5, Tallon Griekspoor w/o and Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Nadal had a good straight sets win against Ruusuvuori (6-4 7-5). During the match, Nadal scored 77 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 63. Rafael was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nadal managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Rafael Nadal was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (36/47) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nadal broke Ruusuvuori 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nadal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Nadal has an extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (447-87). 2-0 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nadal has a composed 178-43 match record in the last years on hard.
The Spaniard’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.
Rafael has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Melbourne
Rafael has never competed in this tournament before.
Maxime Cressy
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-11 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 15-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 34-30 | 15-11 | 5-7 | 3-8 | 11-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-32 | 14-10 | 2-8 | 16-8 | 4-4 | 7-2 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 112 (career-high), Cressy got to the final after defeating Joao Sousa 6-2 6-3, Andrea Vavassori 7-66 7-610, Rinky Hijikata 6-3 6-0, Reilly Opelka 4-6 7-65 7-69, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-63 6-4 and Grigor Dimitrov 7-5 7-69.
In the semifinal, Maxime had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (7-5 7-69). During the match Cressy scored 90 points vs Dimitrov’s 83. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Talking about serving, Cressy managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Maxime Cressy conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Cressy put 72% of his first serves in, winning 77% (55/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Dimitrov once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cressy started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.
Maxime has a composed 6-0 win-loss record in 2022, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Melbourne
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Cressy |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 142 |
| Pts | 145-116 | 503-443 |
| Total Points | 261 | 946 |
| Winners | 64 | 267 |
| %Winners | 44% | 53% |
Nadal played 2 matches while Cressy competed in 6 matches. Cressy started his run from the qualifications while Nadal had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Maxime Cressy surrendered 1 set while Rafael Nadal hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nadal has played 9 set(s) less than Cressy (4 vs 13). Therefore, Nadal played 100 games less than Cressy. Nadal scored 64 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Maxime managed to score 267 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Cressy |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 74 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 12.3 |
| 1st in | 83/125 | 346/508 |
| %1st in | 66% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 64/83 | 267/346 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 20/42 | 80/162 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 49% |
Nadal struck 6 aces (3 per match). Cressy fired 74 aces (12.3 per match). Nadal won 77% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Cressy won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Cressy |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 13 |
| Converted | 8/12 | 13/29 |
| % Converted | 67% | 45% |
| Conceded | 8 | 32 |
| Saved | 5 | 27 |
| % Saved | 63% | 84% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Rafael broke his opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 13 times with a 45% conversion rate. Cressy conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | |||||
| R2 Berankis |
1/4 Griekspoor |
1/2 Ruusuvuori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | w/o | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | – | 22 | 42 | |
| pts | 68-53 | – | 77-63 | 145-116 | |
| Total points | 121 | – | 140 | 261 | |
| Winners | 28 | – | 36 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 41% | – | 47% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | – | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/57 | – | 47/68 | 83/125 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | – | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | – | 36/47 | 64/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | – | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | – | 11/21 | 20/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | – | 52% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | – | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | – | 3/4 | 8/12 | |
| Converted % | 63% | – | 75% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | – | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | – | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 83% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | – | 1 | 3 | |
| Cressy | ||||||||
| Q1 Sousa |
Q3 Vavassori |
R1 Hijikata |
R2 Opelka |
1/4 Munar Clar |
1/2 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-66 7-610 | 6-3 6-0 | 4-6 7-65 7-69 | 7-63 6-4 | 7-5 7-69 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 26 | 15 | 36 | 23 | 25 | 142 | |
| pts | 64-43 | 91-84 | 57-31 | 111-120 | 90-82 | 90-83 | 503-443 | |
| Total points | 107 | 175 | 88 | 231 | 172 | 173 | 946 | |
| Winners | 30 | 47 | 24 | 68 | 43 | 55 | 267 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 52% | 42% | 61% | 48% | 61% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 11 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 74 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | |
| 1st in | 41/66 | 60/86 | 33/45 | 85/125 | 56/88 | 71/98 | 346/508 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 70% | 73% | 68% | 64% | 72% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 47/60 | 24/33 | 68/85 | 43/56 | 55/71 | 267/346 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 78% | 73% | 80% | 77% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 13/26 | 10/12 | 20/40 | 13/32 | 12/27 | 80/162 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 41% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 2/5 | 4/6 | 0/2 | 2/9 | 1/2 | 13/29 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 40% | 67% | 0% | 22% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 9/10 | 3/4 | 5/5 | 27 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 50% | – | 90% | 75% | 100% | 135% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Maxime CressyCressy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
