Ashleigh Barty and Elena Rybakina will face off in the final of the Adelaide International 1 for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ashleigh Barty who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ashleigh Barty is the pick to win this match.
Ashleigh Barty -> 1.35
Elena Rybakina -> 3.44
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Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Elena Rybakina
This will be the 2nd time that Ashleigh Barty and Elena Rybakina fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Barty (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Barty won 6-3 6-2 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in 2020.
Highlights Ashleigh Barty vs Elena Rybakina – Australian Open 24-January-2020
Ashleigh Barty
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 11-0 | 11-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-8 | 21-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-3 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 57-13 | 32-9 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 46-19 | 24-10 | 7-5 | 3-1 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Ashleigh got to the final after beating Cori Gauff 4-6 7-5 6-1, Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-4 and Iga Swiatek 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Ashleigh had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-2 6-4). During the match, Barty scored 68 points vs Swiatek’s 51. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Barty fired 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Ashleigh Barty was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ashleigh broke Swiatek 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ashleigh started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Barty has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 74% of her matches (251-86). 3-0 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Barty has an overall 133-43 record in the last years on hard.
Barty’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Australian has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-9 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Elena reached the final after beating Storm Sanders 6-4 1-6 6-1, Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-4, Shelby Rogers 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Misaki Doi 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, Elena had a good straight sets win against Doi (6-4 6-3). During the match Rybakina scored 70 points vs Doi’s 54. Rybakina was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakina bagged 9 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (21/28) of her 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Rybakina broke Doi 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elena started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Elena’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Kazakhstani has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2022, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Elena has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Barty | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 88 |
| Pts | 245-196 | 318-272 |
| Total Points | 441 | 590 |
| Winners | 110 | 107 |
| %Winners | 45% | 34% |
Barty played 3 matches while Rybakina competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ashleigh Barty dropped 1 set, while Elena Rybakina conceded 2 sets. Barty has played 3 set(s) less than Rybakina (7 vs 10). Therefore, Barty played 22 games less than Rybakina. The Australian scored 110 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani fired 107 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Barty | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 146/220 | 145/269 |
| %1st in | 66% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 110/146 | 107/145 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 40/74 | 72/124 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 58% |
Barty bagged 26 aces (8.7 per match). Rybakina bagged 31 aces (7.8 per match). Barty won 75% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Barty | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 15 |
| Converted | 10/23 | 15/46 |
| % Converted | 43% | 33% |
| Conceded | 17 | 21 |
| Saved | 14 | 14 |
| % Saved | 82% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Ashleigh broke her opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded. Rybakina broke her opponents 15 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Barty | |||||
| R2 Gauff |
1/4 Kenin |
1/2 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 19 | 18 | 66 | |
| pts | 108-96 | 69-49 | 68-51 | 245-196 | |
| Total points | 204 | 118 | 119 | 441 | |
| Winners | 50 | 31 | 29 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 17 | 5 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 76/116 | 32/48 | 38/56 | 146/220 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 67% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 50/76 | 31/32 | 29/38 | 110/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 97% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 9/16 | 12/18 | 40/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 56% | 67% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 2/9 | 3/5 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 22% | 60% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 0 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 12/15 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 100% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Rybakina | ||||||
| R1 Sanders |
R2 Bouzkova |
1/4 Rogers |
1/2 Doi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 19 | 26 | 19 | 88 | |
| pts | 91-87 | 69-50 | 88-81 | 70-54 | 318-272 | |
| Total points | 178 | 119 | 169 | 124 | 590 | |
| Winners | 34 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 50/95 | 27/50 | 40/76 | 28/48 | 145/269 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 54% | 53% | 58% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 34/50 | 23/27 | 29/40 | 21/28 | 107/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 85% | 73% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/45 | 15/23 | 24/36 | 14/20 | 72/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 65% | 67% | 70% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 3/8 | 3/13 | 4/11 | 15/46 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 38% | 23% | 36% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 21 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
