Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Luca Nardi will square off in the semifinal of the Forli 1 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CITTÀ DI FORLÌ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.87
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Cedrik-Marcel Stebe vs. Luca Nardi
This will be the 2nd time that Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Luca Nardi square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Stebe (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Stebe won 7-6(6) 6-3 in the 1st round in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2020.
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-25 | 2-6 | 10-13 | 15-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-20 | 4-7 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2019 | 18-18 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 11-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 227, the German reached the semifinal after beating Alexandar Lazarov 7-63 6-3, Julian Lenz 6-2 7-62 and Luca Potenza 7-5 6-3.
In the quarter, The German had a good straight sets win against Potenza (7-5 6-3). During the match, Stebe scored 75 points vs Potenza’s 58. Cedrik-Marcel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Stebe struck 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Cedrik-Marcel Stebe was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The German broke Potenza 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Stebe has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (170-108). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Stebe has an overall 36-20 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Cedrik-Marcel has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Forli 1 Challenger
Cedrik-Marcel has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-27 | 13-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 364, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Lucas Catarina 3-6 6-3 6-2, Evan Furness 6-75 6-4 6-1 and Christian Harrison 1-6 7-5 6-2.
In the quarter against Harrison, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 6-2). During the match Nardi scored 89 points vs Harrison’s 80. Nardi was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Nardi scored 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 56% of his first serves in, winning 74% (31/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Nardi broke Harrison 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Italian has an aggregate 3-0 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Stebe | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 83 |
| Pts | 227-175 | 280-240 |
| Total Points | 402 | 520 |
| Winners | 92 | 98 |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% |
Both Stebe and Nardi played 3 matches. At the moment, Luca Nardi surrendered 3 sets while Cedrik-Marcel Stebe hasn’t dropped a set so far. Stebe has played 3 set(s) less than Nardi (6 vs 9). Therefore, Stebe played 19 games less than Nardi. The German scored 92 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Nardi recorded 98 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Stebe | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 125/187 | 129/239 |
| %1st in | 67% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 92/125 | 98/129 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 36/62 | 61/110 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 55% |
Stebe struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Nardi made 17 aces (5.7 per match). Stebe won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Nardi won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Stebe | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 12 |
| Converted | 11/25 | 12/35 |
| % Converted | 44% | 34% |
| Conceded | 14 | 16 |
| Saved | 8 | 10 |
| % Saved | 57% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
The German broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. The German dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 12 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Stebe | |||||
| R1 Lazarov |
R2 Lenz |
1/4 Potenza |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | 6-2 7-62 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 21 | 64 | |
| pts | 76-60 | 76-57 | 75-58 | 227-175 | |
| Total points | 136 | 133 | 133 | 402 | |
| Winners | 33 | 27 | 32 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 46/65 | 36/62 | 43/60 | 125/187 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 58% | 72% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 33/46 | 27/36 | 32/43 | 92/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 75% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 17/26 | 9/17 | 36/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 65% | 53% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/8 | 4/9 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 3/4 | 1/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 75% | 33% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Nardi | |||||
| R1 Catarina |
R2 Furness |
1/4 Harrison |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-75 6-4 6-1 | 1-6 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 30 | 27 | 83 | |
| pts | 90-77 | 101-83 | 89-80 | 280-240 | |
| Total points | 167 | 184 | 169 | 520 | |
| Winners | 27 | 40 | 31 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 40% | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 37/77 | 50/87 | 42/75 | 129/239 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 57% | 56% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 40/50 | 31/42 | 98/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 80% | 74% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/40 | 22/37 | 16/33 | 61/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 59% | 48% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/7 | 4/16 | 12/35 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 57% | 25% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 6 | 16 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/2 | 2/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 33% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Forli 1 Challenger
- Sasi Kumar MukundKumar Mukund – Elliot BenchetritBenchetrit (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Zsombor PirosPiros – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe – Luca PotenzaPotenza (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Christian HarrisonHarrison (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Zsombor PirosPiros – Sasi Kumar MukundKumar Mukund (0-0) – H2H and prediction
