Denis Shapovalov and Roman Safiullin will face off in the semifinal of the the ATP Cup for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on KEN ROSEWALL ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.188
Roman Safiullin -> 5.3

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Roman Safiullin

There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Roman Safiullin since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
23
High
10
LLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 14-11 2-5 9-3 1-3 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 14, Denis reached the semifinal after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 7-65 4-6 6-3.

In the previous match, Shapovalov defeated Struff (7-65 4-6 6-3). During the match, Shapovalov scored 114 points vs Struff’s 104. Denis was exceptionally aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shapovalov blasted 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (60/85) of his 1st serve and 70% (19/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Denis broke Struff once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).

Shapovalov has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (230-144). 1-1 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has an overall97-62 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Shapovalov has a composed 1-1 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Sydney
Shapovalov's Record

Roman Safiullin

Roman Safiullin

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
170
High
36
LWLLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-20 9-12 3-4 0-0 1-4 0-0
2024 31-28 18-14 5-8 6-3 2-3 0-0
2023 41-25 13-12 8-4 11-5 9-4 0-0
2022 37-18 16-6 6-2 14-9 1-1 0-0
2021 18-21 7-5 5-7 5-8 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 167, Safiullin got to the semifinal after beating Arthur Rinderknech 2-6 7-5 6-3 and James Duckworth 7-66 6-4.

The Russian has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Safiullin has never competed in this tournament before.

Sydney
Safiullin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Shapovalov
R.Safiullin
3h:56
3h:56
Time on court​
!
6h:19
6h:19
!
2h:34
2h:34
Last match​
1h:56
1h:56
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
52
52
Games Played​
74
74
5
5
Set played​​
7
7
158
158
Total points​
270
270
79
79
Avg point​
90
90
86
86
Winners
104
104
43
43
Avg Winners​
34.7
34.7
54%
54%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
18
18
7.5
7.5
Avg Aces
6
6
9
9
Double Faults
12
12
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
4
4
86/121
86/121
1st won total​
104/152
104/152
!
71%
71%
1st won %
68%
68%
29/48
29/48
2nd won total​
52/102
52/102
60%
60%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
1/4
1/4
BP won
9/33
9/33
0.5/2
0.5/2
Avg BP won
3/11
3/11
!
25%
25%
Won
!
27%
27%
9
9
Conceded
29
29
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
9.7
9.7
3
3
Broken
9
9
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
3
3
6
6
Saved
20
20

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shapovalov Safiullin
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 5
Tot Games 32 52
Pts 114-104 193-176
Total Points 218 369
Winners 60 75
%Winners 53% 39%

Shapovalov played 1 match while Safiullin competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Shapovalov surrendered 1 set, while Roman Safiullin lost 1 set. Shapovalov has played 2 set(s) less than Safiullin (3 vs 5). Therefore, Shapovalov played 20 games less than Safiullin. Denis scored 60 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Safiullin bagged 75 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shapovalov Safiullin
Aces 9 14
Avg per match 9 7
1st in 85/112 109/184
%1st in 76% 59%
1st pts 60/85 75/109
%1st pts 71% 69%
2nd pts 19/27 38/75
%2nd pts 70% 51%

Shapovalov made 9 aces . Safiullin scored 14 aces (7 per match). Shapovalov won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Safiullin won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shapovalov Safiullin
Won 1 8
Converted 1/4 8/21
% Converted 25% 38%
Conceded 6 24
Saved 5 17
% Saved 83% 71%
Times Broken 1 7

Shapovalov broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Denis lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Roman broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Safiullin conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Shapovalov
Round Robin
Struff
Round Robin
Evans
Total
Score 7-65 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 32 20 52
pts 114-104 114-104
Total points 218 0 218
Winners 60 60
%Winners 53% 0% 53%
SERVE
Aces 9 0 9
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 85/112 / 85/112
% 1st in 76% 0% 76%
1st pts 60/85 / 60/85
% 1st pts 71% 0% 71%
2nd pts 19/27 / 19/27
% 2nd pts 70% 0% 70%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/4 / 1/4
Converted % 25% 0% 25%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 0/ 5
Saved % 83% 42%
Times Broken 1 1
Safiullin
Round Robin
Sinner
Round Robin
Duckworth
Round Robin
Rinderknech
Total
Score 7-66 6-3 7-66 6-4 2-6 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 22 23 29 74
pts 90-73 103-103 193-176
Total points 0 163 206 369
Winners 29 46 75
%Winners 0% 32% 45% 39%
SERVE
Aces 0 12 2 14
Double Faults 3 7 10
1st in / 36/62 73/122 109/184
% 1st in 0% 58% 60% 59%
1st pts / 29/36 46/73 75/109
% 1st pts 0% 81% 63% 69%
2nd pts / 15/26 23/49 38/75
% 2nd pts 0% 58% 47% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted / 4/14 4/7 8/21
Converted % 0% 29% 57% 38%
Conceded 5 19 24
Saved 0/ 2/5 15/19 17
Saved % 40% 79% 60%
Times Broken 3 4 7

Tennis Scores in ATP Cup

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Denis ShapovalovShapovalovRoman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Felix Auger AliassimeAuger AliassimeDaniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction