Naomi Osaka and Andrea Petkovic will square off in the quarter of the Melbourne Summer Set 1 for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.168
Andrea Petkovic -> 5.7
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Andrea Petkovic
This will be the 3rd time that Naomi Osaka and Andrea Petkovic square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Osaka and Petkovic (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Osaka won 6-2 6-0 in the 2nd round in Beijing back in 2019.
Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Andrea Petkovic – Beijing 01-October-2019
Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-9 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 13-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-3 | 16-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Japanese reached the quarter after defeating Alize Cornet 6-4 3-6 6-3 and Maryna Zanevska 6-1 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Naomi had a good straight sets win against Zanevska (6-1 6-1). During the match, Osaka scored 57 points vs Zanevska’s 31. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Osaka struck 3 aces and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Naomi Osaka was pretty efficient on serve to win 90% (18/20) of her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Osaka broke Zanevska 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Osaka started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Osaka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 66% of her matches (226-118). 2-0 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Osaka has a composed158-72 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Naomi has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Melbourne
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Andrea Petkovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14-15 | 6-7 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 5-8 | 14-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 26-27 | 11-12 | 7-7 | 7-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 28-24 | 15-12 | 5-6 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 75, Petkovic got to the quarter after beating Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 7-63 and Clara Burel 7-5 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Petkovic defeated Burel (7-5 2-6 6-4). During the match Petkovic and Burel scored the same amount of points (97). However, the world no. 13 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Andrea was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Petkovic bagged 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Andrea Petkovic lost the serve 8 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Petkovic put 76% of her first serves in, winning 52% (37/71) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Andrea broke Burel 8 times after converting 67% of her break points (8/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Petkovic started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
Andrea has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Melbourne
Petkovic has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Osaka | Petkovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 52 |
| Pts | 151-121 | 167-160 |
| Total Points | 272 | 327 |
| Winners | 42 | 77 |
| %Winners | 28% | 46% |
Both Osaka and Petkovic played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Naomi Osaka dropped 1 set, while Andrea Petkovic surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Osaka and Petkovic have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Osaka played 10 games less than Petkovic. Naomi scored 42 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Andrea blasted 77 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Osaka | Petkovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 51/121 | 120/165 |
| %1st in | 42% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 42/51 | 77/120 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 41/70 | 21/45 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 47% |
Osaka scored 6 aces (3 per match). Petkovic fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Osaka won 82% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Petkovic won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Osaka | Petkovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/23 | 9/17 |
| % Converted | 35% | 53% |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 33% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
Naomi broke her opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Naomi surrendered her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Petkovic broke her opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. The German conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded.
| Osaka | ||||
| R1 Cornet |
R2 Zanevska |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 14 | 42 | |
| pts | 94-90 | 57-31 | 151-121 | |
| Total points | 184 | 88 | 272 | |
| Winners | 24 | 18 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 32% | 28% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 31/81 | 20/40 | 51/121 | |
| % 1st in | 38% | 50% | 42% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 18/20 | 42/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 90% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/50 | 12/20 | 41/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 60% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 5/12 | 8/23 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 42% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Petkovic | ||||
| R1 Samsonova |
R2 Burel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 30 | 52 | |
| pts | 70-63 | 97-97 | 167-160 | |
| Total points | 133 | 194 | 327 | |
| Winners | 40 | 37 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 38% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/71 | 71/94 | 120/165 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 76% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 40/49 | 37/71 | 77/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 52% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 10/23 | 21/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 43% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 8/12 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 67% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/13 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 38% | 19% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 8 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWLW
Tennis Scores in Melbourne
- Mischa ZverevZverev – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Kevin AndersonAnderson (2-6 6-4 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey KuznetsovKuznetsov – Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe (6-2 1-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Sam QuerreyQuerrey (4-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Nao HibinoHibino (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Andrea PetkovicPetkovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ana KonjuhKonjuh – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Simona HalepHalep (0-1) – H2H and prediction
