Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Roy Smith will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rio De Janeiro Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Alvarez Varona who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Alvarez Varona is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.41
Roy Smith -> 2.91
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs. Roy Smith
There is no head to head record between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Roy Smith since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Ranked no. 371, Nicolas got to the quarter after beating Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-3 4-6 6-3 and Luciano Darderi 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Alvarez Varona had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-3 6-1). During the match, Alvarez Varona scored 61 points vs Darderi’s 42. Nicolas was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alvarez Varona blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Nicolas Alvarez Varona was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alvarez Varona broke Darderi 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alvarez Varona started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Alvarez Varona has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (125-81). 9-7 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alvarez Varona has a compiled68-38 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Nicolas’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Alkmaar and M25 Santander.
Nicolas has a composed 38-25 win-loss record in 2021, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rio De Janeiro Challenger
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Roy Smith
Ranked no. 651, Smith got to the quarter after beating Victor Fernandes 6-0 6-4, Federico Zeballos 6-4 7-64 and Pedro Sakamoto 6-78 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Sakamoto, Smith recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 6-4 6-3). During the match Smith scored 112 points vs Sakamoto’s 93. The American was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.
About the serving games, Smith struck 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Roy Smith was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (52/63) of his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Smith was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Sakamoto 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Roy started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Smith’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Santo Domingo.
Roy has an overall 19-23 win-loss record in 2021, 14-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alvarez Varona | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 71 |
| Pts | 155-120 | 257-201 |
| Total Points | 275 | 458 |
| Winners | 68 | 103 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Alvarez Varona played 2 matches while Smith competed in 3 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Alvarez Varona had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Nicolas Alvarez Varona lost 1 set, while Roy Smith conceded 1 set. Alvarez Varona has played 2 set(s) less than Smith (5 vs 7). Therefore, Alvarez Varona played 27 games less than Smith. Nicolas scored 68 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 103 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alvarez Varona | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 10 |
| 1st in | 93/139 | 132/200 |
| %1st in | 67% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 68/93 | 103/132 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 28/46 | 42/68 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 62% |
Alvarez Varona fired 8 aces (4 per match). Smith fired 30 aces (10 per match). Alvarez Varona won 73% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alvarez Varona | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 12 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 12/21 |
| % Converted | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded | 10 | 15 |
| Saved | 8 | 11 |
| % Saved | 80% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Nicolas broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alvarez Varona lost his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alvarez Varona | ||||
| R1 Diaz Acosta |
R2 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 16 | 44 | |
| pts | 94-78 | 61-42 | 155-120 | |
| Total points | 172 | 103 | 275 | |
| Winners | 38 | 30 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 55/88 | 38/51 | 93/139 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 75% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/55 | 30/38 | 68/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/33 | 7/13 | 28/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 54% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/9 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 44% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Smith | ||||||
| Q1 Fernandes |
Q3 Castelnuovo |
R1 Zeballos |
R2 Sakamoto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | 7-67 3-6 6-2 | 6-4 7-64 | 6-78 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 30 | 23 | 32 | 101 | |
| pts | 62-35 | – | 83-73 | 112-93 | 257-201 | |
| Total points | 97 | 0 | 156 | 205 | 458 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 52 | 103 | ||
| %Winners | 37% | 0% | 34% | 46% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | ||
| 1st in | 26/40 | / | 43/69 | 63/91 | 132/200 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 0% | 62% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | / | 28/43 | 52/63 | 103/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 0% | 65% | 83% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | / | 16/26 | 18/28 | 42/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 0% | 62% | 64% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | ||
| Converted | 5/11 | / | 4/7 | 3/3 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 0% | 57% | 100% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | ||
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/ | 3/6 | 5/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 50% | 100% | 113% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWL
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