Mirza Basic and Pavel Kotov will fight against each other in the quarter of the Forli 3 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on CAMPO CITTÀ DI FORLÌ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mirza Basic who should win in 3 sets.
Mirza Basic -> 1.727
Pavel Kotov -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Mirza Basic vs. Pavel Kotov
There is no head to head record between Mirza Basic and Pavel Kotov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Mirza Basic
Ranked no. 234, Basic reached the quarter after defeating Savriyan Danilov 6-3 6-4 and Lucas Miedler 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Basic had a good straight sets win against Miedler (6-2 6-3). During the match, Basic scored 54 points vs Miedler’s 37. The Bosnian was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Basic fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Mirza Basic was quite effective on serve to win 92% (24/26) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Bosnian broke Miedler 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Bosnian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Basic has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (334-247). 10-4 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Basic has an aggregate 97-68 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Basic’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Almaty 2 Challenger and the Ortisei Challenger.
Basic has an aggregate 37-26 win-loss record in 2021, 10-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in the Forli 3 Challenger
Pavel Kotov
Ranked no. 271, Kotov got to the quarter after defeating Zizou Bergs 7-5 6-75 7-5 and Keegan Smith 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Smith (7-5 6-2). During the match Kotov scored 73 points vs Smith’s 52. Kotov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Kotov made 4 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Pavel Kotov was pretty efficient on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kotov broke Smith 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pavel started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Kotov’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Sultan 4 Challenger.
The Russian has an aggregate 26-25 win-loss record in 2021, 14-9 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Basic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 57 |
| Pts | 119-91 | 188-159 |
| Total Points | 210 | 347 |
| Winners | 52 | 86 |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% |
Both Basic and Kotov played 2 matches. At the moment, Pavel Kotov dropped 1 set while Mirza Basic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Basic has played 1 set(s) less than Kotov (4 vs 5). Therefore, Basic played 21 games less than Kotov. Basic scored 52 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Kotov made 86 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Basic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 64/102 | 113/157 |
| %1st in | 63% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 52/64 | 86/113 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 23/38 | 21/44 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 48% |
Basic bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Kotov blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Basic won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Basic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 10 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 |
| Saved | 2 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Basic broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Basic quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Pavel broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Basic | ||||
| R1 Danilov | R2 Miedler | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 36 | |
| pts | 65-54 | 54-37 | 119-91 | |
| Total points | 119 | 91 | 210 | |
| Winners | 28 | 24 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/62 | 26/40 | 64/102 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 24/26 | 52/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 92% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 8/14 | 23/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 57% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/7 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kotov | ||||
| R1 Bergs | R2 Smith | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-75 7-5 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 20 | 57 | |
| pts | 115-107 | 73-52 | 188-159 | |
| Total points | 222 | 125 | 347 | |
| Winners | 53 | 33 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 72/106 | 41/51 | 113/157 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 80% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 53/72 | 33/41 | 86/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/34 | 6/10 | 21/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 60% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/9 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 44% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 2 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 1/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 50% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Michail PervolarakisPervolarakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Mirza BasicBasic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime CressyCressy – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (1-0) – H2H and prediction