Pavel Kotov and Keegan Smith will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Forli 3 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on CAMPO CITTÀ DI FORLÌ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pavel Kotov is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.48
Keegan Smith -> 2.65

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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Keegan Smith

There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Keegan Smith since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Pavel Kotov

Ranked no. 271, Kotov reached the 2nd round after defeating Zizou Bergs 7-5 6-75 7-5.

In the 1st round, Pavel defeated Bergs (7-5 6-75 7-5). During the match, Kotov scored 115 points vs Bergs’s 107. Pavel was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kotov bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Pavel Kotov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 68% of his first serves in, winning 74% (53/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Bergs 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Kotov has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (166-108). 13-9 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kotov has an aggregate62-35 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Sultan 4 Challenger.

The Russian has an aggregate 25-25 win-loss record in 2021, 13-9 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Forli 3 Challenger

Forli 3 Challenger
Kotov's Record

Keegan Smith

Ranked no. 675, Keegan got to the 2nd round after defeating Lorenzo Rottoli 6-3 7-5, Moez Echargui 6-4 6-2 and Valentin Vacherot 7-5 6-4.

In the 1st round, Keegan had a good straight sets win against Vacherot (7-5 6-4). During the match Smith scored 67 points vs Vacherot’s 54. Smith was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Smith struck 8 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Keegan Smith was very efficient on serve to win 86% (37/43) of his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Vacherot twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Keegan’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Lubbock.

Keegan has a composed 16-4 win-loss record in 2021, 8-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Forli 3 Challenger
Smith's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

P.Kotov
K.Smith
2h:37
2h:37
Time on court​
3h:46
3h:46
!
2h:37
2h:37
Last match​
1h:15
1h:15
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
37
37
Games Played​
61
61
3
3
Set played​​
6
6
115
115
Total points​
198
198
115
115
Avg point​
66
66
53
53
Winners
98
98
53
53
Avg Winners​
32.7
32.7
46%
46%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
24
24
7
7
Avg Aces
8
8
1
1
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
53/72
53/72
1st won total​
98/124
98/124
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
15/34
15/34
2nd won total​
27/44
27/44
44%
44%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
6/13
6/13
BP won
8/19
8/19
6/13
6/13
Avg BP won
2.7/6.3
2.7/6.3
46%
46%
Won
42%
42%
10
10
Conceded
5
5
10
10
Avg Conceded
1.7
1.7
4
4
Broken
1
1
4
4
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
6
6
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kotov Smith
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 6
Tot Games 37 61
Pts 115-107 198-160
Total Points 222 358
Winners 53 98
%Winners 46% 49%

Kotov played 1 match while Smith competed in 3 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Kotov had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Pavel Kotov dropped 1 set while Keegan Smith hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kotov has played 3 set(s) less than Smith (3 vs 6). Therefore, Kotov played 24 games less than Smith. Kotov scored 53 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 98 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kotov Smith
Aces 7 24
Avg per match 7 8
1st in 72/106 124/168
%1st in 68% 74%
1st pts 53/72 98/124
%1st pts 74% 79%
2nd pts 15/34 27/44
%2nd pts 44% 61%

Kotov managed to score 7 aces . Smith blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Kotov won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kotov Smith
Won 6 8
Converted 6/13 8/19
% Converted 46% 42%
Conceded 10 5
Saved 6 4
% Saved 60% 80%
Times Broken 4 1

Pavel broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Pavel conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Kotov
R1
Bergs		 Total
Score 7-5 6-75 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 37 37
pts 115-107 115-107
Total points 222 222
Winners 53 53
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 72/106 72/106
% 1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 53/72 53/72
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 15/34 15/34
% 2nd pts 44% 44%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/13 6/13
Converted % 46% 46%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 6/10 6
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 4 4
Smith
Q1
Rottoli		 Q3
Echargui		 R1
Vacherot		 Total
Score 6-3 7-5 6-4 6-2 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 21 18 22 61
pts 61-49 70-57 67-54 198-160
Total points 110 127 121 358
Winners 35 26 37 98
%Winners 57% 37% 55% 49%
SERVE
Aces 11 5 8 24
Double Faults 2 3 0 5
1st in 44/59 37/56 43/53 124/168
% 1st in 75% 66% 81% 74%
1st pts 35/44 26/37 37/43 98/124
% 1st pts 80% 70% 86% 79%
2nd pts 10/15 10/19 7/10 27/44
% 2nd pts 67% 53% 70% 61%
Breaks
Won 2 4 2 8
Converted 2/3 4/11 2/5 8/19
Converted % 67% 36% 40% 42%
Conceded 0 5 0 5
Saved 0/0 4/5 0/0 4
Saved % – 80% – 80%
Times Broken 0 1 0 1

Tennis Scores in Forli 3 Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Kotov
More Stats
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Smith

Click for FULL STATS