Luca Potenza and Francesco Maestrelli will face off in the qualifications of the Forli 3 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on CAMPO CITTÀ DI FORLÌ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Potenza who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Potenza is the pick to win this match.
Luca Potenza -> 1.69
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head Luca Potenza vs. Francesco Maestrelli
This will be the 2nd time that Luca Potenza and Francesco Maestrelli play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Potenza (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Potenza won 6-4 7-5 in the 1st round in M15 Perugia back in July 2021.
Luca Potenza
Ranked no. 589, the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Gabriele Maria Noce 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Maria Noce (6-3 7-5). During the match, Potenza scored 75 points vs Maria Noce’s 57. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Potenza fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Luca Potenza was very effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Maria Noce 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Potenza has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (87-47). 5-3 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Potenza has a compiled8-4 record in the last 4 years on indoor hard courts.
Luca’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
Luca has an overall 35-24 win-loss record in 2021, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Forli 3 Challenger
Francesco Maestrelli
Ranked no. 770 (career-high), Maestrelli got to the qualifications after defeating Matteo Vavassori 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Vavassori (6-2 6-1). During the match Maestrelli scored 55 points vs Vavassori’s 27. Maestrelli was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Maestrelli scored 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Francesco Maestrelli was extremely efficient on serve to win 90% (19/21) of his 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francesco broke Vavassori 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Maestrelli’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Heraklion.
The Italian has a composed 32-17 win-loss record in 2021, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Potenza | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 |
| Pts | 75-57 | 55-27 |
| Total Points | 132 | 82 |
| Winners | 25 | 19 |
| %Winners | 33% | 35% |
Both Potenza and Maestrelli played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Potenza and Maestrelli have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Potenza played 6 games more than Maestrelli. The Italian scored 25 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Francesco bagged 19 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Potenza | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 11 |
| 1st in | 32/58 | 21/32 |
| %1st in | 55% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 19/21 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 90% |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 9/11 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 82% |
Potenza managed to score 4 aces . Maestrelli bagged 11 aces . Potenza won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 90% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 82% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Potenza | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 44% | 71% |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Luca broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Potenza surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Maestrelli was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Potenza | |||
| Q1 Maria Noce |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 75-57 | 75-57 | |
| Total points | 132 | 132 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/58 | 32/58 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 25/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Maestrelli | |||
| Q1 Vavassori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 55-27 | 55-27 | |
| Total points | 82 | 82 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 21/32 | 21/32 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 19/21 | 19/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/11 | 9/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 82% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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