Thiago Moura Monteiro and Sebastian Baez will clash against each other in the final of the Campinas Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:25 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL JOÃO LIMA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.533
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 2nd time that Thiago Moura Monteiro and Sebastian Baez fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Baez won 6-4 6-0 in the final in the Buenos Aires Challenger back in October 2021.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
Ranked no. 94, Thiago reached the final after defeating Johan Nikles 6-2 6-1, Juan Pablo Varillas 5-1 ret., Timofey Skatov 6-74 6-3 7-64 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1-6 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal against Martin Etcheverry, Thiago recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Moura Monteiro scored 89 points vs Martin Etcheverry’s 82. Moura Monteiro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Moura Monteiro bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 61% of his first serves in, winning 65% (32/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the 2nd serve. Moura Monteiro broke Martin Etcheverry 3 times after converting 21% of his break points (3/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Moura Monteiro started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Moura Monteiro has a favorable record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (376-261). 25-17 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Moura Monteiro has an overall 312-194 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in the Braga Challenger where he defeated Nikola Milojevic in the final 7-5 7-5.
Moura Monteiro has a compiled 33-26 win-loss record in 2021, 25-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 111 (career-high), the Argentine reached the final after beating Facundo Mena 7-60 6-2, Nicolas Alvarez 6-4 6-3, Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 2-6 7-61 6-1 and Francisco Cerundolo 4-6 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal against Cerundolo, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Baez scored 98 points vs Cerundolo’s 80. Baez was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Baez wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 71% of his first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 25% (6/24) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Cerundolo 9 times after converting 53% of his break points (9/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in the Concepcion Challenger where he overcame Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(5) and in the Santiago Challenger where he defeated Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in the Zagreb Challenger where he defeated Juan Pablo Varillas in the final 3-6 6-3 6-1 and in the Santiago 3 Challenger where he defeated Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves in the final 3-6 7-6(6) 6-1 and in the Buenos Aires Challenger where he beat Thiago Moura Monteiro in the final 6-4 6-0.
Sebastian has a composed 55-16 win-loss record in 2021, 51-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moura Monteiro | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 93 |
| Pts | 307-259 | 341-281 |
| Total Points | 566 | 622 |
| Winners | 130 | 134 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Both Moura Monteiro and Baez played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Thiago Moura Monteiro conceded 2 sets, while Sebastian Baez dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Moura Monteiro and Baez have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Moura Monteiro played 13 games less than Baez. The Brazilian scored 130 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian blasted 134 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moura Monteiro | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 197/284 | 195/295 |
| %1st in | 69% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 130/197 | 134/195 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 50/87 | 53/100 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 53% |
Moura Monteiro struck 15 aces (3.8 per match). Baez made 6 aces (1.5 per match). Moura Monteiro won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moura Monteiro | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 19 |
| Converted | 14/38 | 19/44 |
| % Converted | 37% | 43% |
| Conceded | 23 | 28 |
| Saved | 17 | 18 |
| % Saved | 74% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 10 |
Thiago broke his opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. Moura Monteiro lost his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 19 times with a 43% conversion rate. Baez conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moura Monteiro | ||||||
| R1 Nikles |
R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/4 Skatov |
1/2 Martin Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 5-1 ret. | 6-74 6-3 7-64 | 1-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 80 | |
| pts | 61-38 | 28-19 | 129-120 | 89-82 | 307-259 | |
| Total points | 99 | 47 | 249 | 171 | 566 | |
| Winners | 28 | 11 | 59 | 32 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% | 46% | 36% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 35/47 | 17/21 | 96/136 | 49/80 | 197/284 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 81% | 71% | 61% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 11/17 | 59/96 | 32/49 | 130/197 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 65% | 61% | 65% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 3/4 | 21/40 | 19/31 | 50/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 75% | 53% | 61% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/4 | 5/10 | 3/14 | 14/38 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/1 | 6/10 | 8/10 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 60% | 80% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Baez | ||||||
| R1 Mena |
R2 Alvarez |
1/4 Fa Rodriguez Taverna |
1/2 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-60 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | 2-6 7-61 6-1 | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 93 | |
| pts | 81-65 | 73-55 | 89-81 | 98-80 | 341-281 | |
| Total points | 146 | 128 | 170 | 178 | 622 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | 34 | 38 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 38% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 45/70 | 40/68 | 51/74 | 59/83 | 195/295 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 59% | 69% | 71% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/45 | 31/40 | 34/51 | 38/59 | 134/195 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 78% | 67% | 64% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/25 | 14/28 | 14/23 | 6/24 | 53/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 50% | 61% | 25% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 3/10 | 5/9 | 9/17 | 19/44 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 30% | 56% | 53% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 7/8 | 1/5 | 5/10 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 20% | 50% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
