Alex Molcan and Joao Sousa will play each other in the final of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Molcan who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Molcan is the pick to win this match.
Alex Molcan -> 1.41
Joao Sousa -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Alex Molcan vs. Joao Sousa

There is no head to head record between Alex Molcan and Joao Sousa since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Alex Molcan

Ranked no. 103 (career-high), Alex reached the final after beating Tim Van Rijthoven 6-4 0-6 7-61, Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-2, Oscar Otte 6-3 4-6 6-1

and Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 7-64.

In the semifinal, Alex had a good straight sets win against Shevchenko (6-2 7-64). During the match, Molcan scored 76 points vs Shevchenko’s 63. Alex was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Molcan fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Molcan was very efficient on serve to win 81% (35/43) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Shevchenko twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

Molcan has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (198-116). 12-6 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Molcan has an aggregate24-21 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in the Liberec Challenger where he overcame Tomas Machac in the final 6-0 6-1.

Alex has a composed 64-24 win-loss record in 2021, 12-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See his history.

Helsinki Challenger
Molcan's Record

Joao Sousa

Ranked no. 147, Joao reached the final after beating Patrik Niklas-Salminen 6-3 7-69, Jonas Forejtek 5-7 6-4 6-4, Liam Broady 6-73 6-2 7-61 and Henri Laaksonen 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal, Sousa had a good straight sets win against Laaksonen (6-4 6-3). During the match Sousa scored 61 points vs Laaksonen’s 46. Sousa was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Sousa managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Joao Sousa lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sousa put 66% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Sousa broke Laaksonen 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sousa started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Sousa’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Brest Challenger.

Joao has an aggregate 28-30 win-loss record in 2021, 11-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Helsinki Challenger
Sousa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Molcan
J.Sousa
6h:08
6h:08
Time on court​
7h:32
7h:32
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
1h:06
1h:06
4
4
Match played
4
4
93
93
Games Played​
107
107
10
10
Set played​​
10
10
314
314
Total points​
357
357
78.5
78.5
Avg point​
89.3
89.3
138
138
Winners
157
157
34.5
34.5
Avg Winners​
39.3
39.3
44%
44%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
29
29
2.8
2.8
Avg Aces
7.3
7.3
5
5
Double Faults
9
9
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
138/196
138/196
1st won total​
157/216
157/216
70%
70%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
54/96
54/96
2nd won total​
68/116
68/116
56%
56%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
14/33
14/33
BP won
14/26
14/26
3.5/8.3
3.5/8.3
Avg BP won
3.5/6.5
3.5/6.5
42%
42%
Won
!
54%
54%
18
18
Conceded
23
23
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
5.8
5.8
8
8
Broken
7
7
2
2
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
10
10
Saved
16
16

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Molcan Sousa
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 10
Tot Games 93 107
Pts 314-280 357-313
Total Points 594 670
Winners 138 157
%Winners 44% 44%

Both Molcan and Sousa played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Molcan lost 2 sets, while Joao Sousa dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Molcan and Sousa have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Molcan played 14 games less than Sousa. The Slovakian scored 138 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese made 157 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Molcan Sousa
Aces 11 29
Avg per match 2.8 7.3
1st in 196/292 216/332
%1st in 67% 65%
1st pts 138/196 157/216
%1st pts 70% 73%
2nd pts 54/96 68/116
%2nd pts 56% 59%

Molcan bagged 11 aces (2.8 per match). Sousa made 29 aces (7.3 per match). Molcan won 70% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Sousa won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Molcan Sousa
Won 14 14
Converted 14/33 14/26
% Converted 42% 54%
Conceded 18 23
Saved 10 16
% Saved 56% 70%
Times Broken 8 7

Alex broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Molcan lost his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Joao conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Molcan
R1
Van Rijthoven
R2
Mochizuki
1/4
Otte
1/2
Shevchenko
Total
Score 6-4 0-6 7-61 6-3 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-1 6-2 7-64
Tot Set 3 2 3 2 10
Tot Games 29 17 26 21 93
pts 78-89 72-53 88-75 76-63 314-280
Total points 167 125 163 139 594
Winners 41 22 40 35 138
%Winners 53% 31% 45% 46% 44%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 4 3 11
Double Faults 2 1 0 2 5
1st in 63/90 32/53 58/82 43/67 196/292
% 1st in 70% 60% 71% 64% 67%
1st pts 41/63 22/32 40/58 35/43 138/196
% 1st pts 65% 69% 69% 81% 70%
2nd pts 11/27 14/21 15/24 14/24 54/96
% 2nd pts 41% 67% 63% 58% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 4 5 2 14
Converted 3/4 4/9 5/12 2/8 14/33
Converted % 75% 44% 42% 25% 42%
Conceded 9 1 6 2 18
Saved 4/9 0/1 4/6 2/2 10
Saved % 44% 0% 67% 100% 53%
Times Broken 5 1 2 0 8
Sousa
R1
Niklas-Salminen
R2
Forejtek
1/4
Broady
1/2
Laaksonen
Total
Score 6-3 7-69 5-7 6-4 6-4 6-73 6-2 7-61 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 3 2 10
Tot Games 22 32 34 19 107
pts 87-69 99-102 110-96 61-46 357-313
Total points 156 201 206 107 670
Winners 30 49 47 31 157
%Winners 34% 49% 43% 51% 44%
SERVE
Aces 10 6 9 4 29
Double Faults 2 4 0 3 9
1st in 41/67 73/108 65/101 37/56 216/332
% 1st in 61% 68% 64% 66% 65%
1st pts 30/41 49/73 47/65 31/37 157/216
% 1st pts 73% 67% 72% 84% 73%
2nd pts 15/26 19/35 25/36 9/19 68/116
% 2nd pts 58% 54% 69% 47% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 3 4 3 14
Converted 4/6 3/7 4/9 3/4 14/26
Converted % 67% 43% 44% 75% 54%
Conceded 3 7 8 5 23
Saved 1/3 5/7 6/8 4/5 16
Saved % 33% 71% 75% 80% 65%
Times Broken 2 2 2 1 7

Upcoming matches in the draw