Alex Molcan and Joao Sousa will play each other in the final of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Molcan who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Molcan is the pick to win this match.
Alex Molcan -> 1.41
Joao Sousa -> 2.91
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Prediction and head to head Alex Molcan vs. Joao Sousa
There is no head to head record between Alex Molcan and Joao Sousa since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Alex Molcan
Ranked no. 103 (career-high), Alex reached the final after beating Tim Van Rijthoven 6-4 0-6 7-61, Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-2, Oscar Otte 6-3 4-6 6-1 and Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 7-64.
In the semifinal, Alex had a good straight sets win against Shevchenko (6-2 7-64). During the match, Molcan scored 76 points vs Shevchenko’s 63. Alex was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Molcan fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Molcan was very efficient on serve to win 81% (35/43) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Shevchenko twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Molcan has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (198-116). 12-6 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Molcan has an aggregate24-21 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in the Liberec Challenger where he overcame Tomas Machac in the final 6-0 6-1.
Alex has a composed 64-24 win-loss record in 2021, 12-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See his history.
Joao Sousa
Ranked no. 147, Joao reached the final after beating Patrik Niklas-Salminen 6-3 7-69, Jonas Forejtek 5-7 6-4 6-4, Liam Broady 6-73 6-2 7-61 and Henri Laaksonen 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, Sousa had a good straight sets win against Laaksonen (6-4 6-3). During the match Sousa scored 61 points vs Laaksonen’s 46. Sousa was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Sousa managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Joao Sousa lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sousa put 66% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Sousa broke Laaksonen 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sousa started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Sousa’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Brest Challenger.
Joao has an aggregate 28-30 win-loss record in 2021, 11-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Molcan | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 107 |
| Pts | 314-280 | 357-313 |
| Total Points | 594 | 670 |
| Winners | 138 | 157 |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% |
Both Molcan and Sousa played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Molcan lost 2 sets, while Joao Sousa dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Molcan and Sousa have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Molcan played 14 games less than Sousa. The Slovakian scored 138 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese made 157 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Molcan | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 2.8 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 196/292 | 216/332 |
| %1st in | 67% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 138/196 | 157/216 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 54/96 | 68/116 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 59% |
Molcan bagged 11 aces (2.8 per match). Sousa made 29 aces (7.3 per match). Molcan won 70% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Sousa won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Molcan | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 14 |
| Converted | 14/33 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 42% | 54% |
| Conceded | 18 | 23 |
| Saved | 10 | 16 |
| % Saved | 56% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 7 |
Alex broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Molcan lost his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Joao conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Molcan | ||||||
| R1 Van Rijthoven |
R2 Mochizuki |
1/4 Otte |
1/2 Shevchenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 0-6 7-61 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 4-6 6-1 | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 17 | 26 | 21 | 93 | |
| pts | 78-89 | 72-53 | 88-75 | 76-63 | 314-280 | |
| Total points | 167 | 125 | 163 | 139 | 594 | |
| Winners | 41 | 22 | 40 | 35 | 138 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 31% | 45% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 63/90 | 32/53 | 58/82 | 43/67 | 196/292 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 60% | 71% | 64% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 41/63 | 22/32 | 40/58 | 35/43 | 138/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 69% | 69% | 81% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/27 | 14/21 | 15/24 | 14/24 | 54/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 67% | 63% | 58% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/9 | 5/12 | 2/8 | 14/33 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 44% | 42% | 25% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 2/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| Sousa | ||||||
| R1 Niklas-Salminen |
R2 Forejtek |
1/4 Broady |
1/2 Laaksonen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-69 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 6-73 6-2 7-61 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 | 34 | 19 | 107 | |
| pts | 87-69 | 99-102 | 110-96 | 61-46 | 357-313 | |
| Total points | 156 | 201 | 206 | 107 | 670 | |
| Winners | 30 | 49 | 47 | 31 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 49% | 43% | 51% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 41/67 | 73/108 | 65/101 | 37/56 | 216/332 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 68% | 64% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 49/73 | 47/65 | 31/37 | 157/216 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 67% | 72% | 84% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 19/35 | 25/36 | 9/19 | 68/116 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 54% | 69% | 47% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/7 | 4/9 | 3/4 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 43% | 44% | 75% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/7 | 6/8 | 4/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 71% | 75% | 80% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Joao SousaSousa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
