Daniil Medvedev and Casper Ruud will face off in the semifinal of the Nitto ATP Finals for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.35
Casper Ruud -> 3.44
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Casper Ruud
This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Casper Ruud square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Medvedev won 7-5 6-1 in the quarter in Mallorca back in June 2021.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Casper Ruud – Mallorca 24-June-2021
Daniil Medvedev
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Medvedev got to the semifinal after defeating Hubert Hurkacz 6-75 6-3 6-4, Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-73 7-66 and Jannik Sinner 6-0 6-75 7-68.
In the previous match, The Russian defeated Sinner (6-0 6-75 7-68). During the match, Medvedev scored 111 points vs Sinner’s 95. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev scored 18 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was quite effective on serve to win 76% (55/72) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Medvedev broke Sinner 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 70% of his matches (373-160). 12-2 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an overall103-46 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Marseille where he overcame Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 and in in Mallorca where he beat Sam Querrey in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Toronto where he defeated Reilly Opelka in the final 6-4 6-3 and in at the U.S. Open where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-4 6-4 6-4.
The Russian has a composed 57-12 win-loss record in 2021, 12-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2020. See his history.
Casper Ruud
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Ruud reached the semifinal after defeating Cameron Norrie 1-6 6-3 6-4 and Andrey Rublev 2-6 7-5 7-65.
In the previous match against Rublev, Ruud recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 7-65).-98) than Rublev. In fact, the world no. 2 won 98 points vs Rublev’s. That means that Ruud was more focused during the important points. Ruud was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Ruud managed to score 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (50/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the 2nd serve. Ruud broke Rublev 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ruud started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 49% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Geneva where he beat Denis Shapovalov in the final 7-6(6) 6-4 and in in Bastad where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 6-3 6-3 and in in Gstaad where he defeated Hugo Gaston in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Kitzbuhel where he defeated Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-1 4-6 6-3 and in in San Diego where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-0 6-2.
Ruud has an overall 55-16 win-loss record in 2021, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Ruud has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 99 | 59 |
| Pts | 319-280 | 176-185 |
| Total Points | 599 | 361 |
| Winners | 168 | 85 |
| %Winners | 53% | 48% |
Medvedev played 3 matches while Ruud competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev dropped 3 sets, while Casper Ruud surrendered 2 sets. Medvedev has played 3 sets more than Ruud (9 vs 6). Therefore, Medvedev played 40 games more than Ruud. The Russian scored 168 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, The Norwegian recorded 85 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 47 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 15.7 | 12 |
| 1st in | 212/298 | 122/187 |
| %1st in | 71% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 168/212 | 85/122 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 52/86 | 34/65 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 52% |
Medvedev fired 47 aces (15.7 per match). Ruud made 24 aces (12 per match). Medvedev won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 5 |
| Converted | 8/19 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Saved | 7 | 7 |
| % Saved | 78% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Ruud broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Norwegian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| Round Robin Sinner |
Round Robin Zverev |
Round Robin Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-75 7-68 | 6-3 6-73 7-66 | 6-75 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 35 | 32 | 99 | |
| pts | 111-95 | 112-104 | 96-81 | 319-280 | |
| Total points | 206 | 216 | 177 | 599 | |
| Winners | 55 | 59 | 54 | 168 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 53% | 56% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 18 | 14 | 15 | 47 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 72/102 | 75/107 | 65/89 | 212/298 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 70% | 73% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 55/72 | 59/75 | 54/65 | 168/212 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 83% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 19/32 | 15/24 | 52/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 59% | 63% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 1/4 | 2/4 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 25% | 50% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | – | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Ruud | |||||
| Round Robin Rublev |
Round Robin Norrie |
Round Robin Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-5 7-65 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 26 | 21 | 80 | |
| pts | 98-110 | 78-75 | – | 176-185 | |
| Total points | 208 | 153 | 0 | 361 | |
| Winners | 50 | 35 | 85 | ||
| %Winners | 51% | 45% | NAN% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 14 | 10 | 0 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 1st in | 77/116 | 45/71 | / | 122/187 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 63% | – | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 50/77 | 35/45 | / | 85/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 78% | – | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 14/26 | / | 34/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 54% | – | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | ||
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/5 | / | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | – | 50% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 2 | 13 | ||
| Saved | 7/11 | 0/2 | 0/ | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 0% | – | 21% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
WWWLWWWWLW Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Casper RuudRuud (2-0) – H2H and prediction
